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Jena vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyBBLRound 21· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jena v Wurzburg
12 Feb 2027
JEN v WUR
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
JEN69
WUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 69
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 69
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 69
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 69
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 69
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 69
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 69
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 69
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
11-33
28-17
16-30
23-17
165.5Avg total
76.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.989.6167.4-11.722%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)76.688.9165.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.696.8175.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.689.0167.6-10.424%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 71
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 71
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 71
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 71
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 71
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 71
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
JenaWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
39.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.186.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.047.887.8-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.685.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.346.888.1-5.532%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LLLLLWWLLL
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
#18
League position
#9
-12.9
Net rating
+4.1
85.5
Offensive rating
92.6
98.4
Defensive rating
88.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
33.1%
60.5%
Assist %
54.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 92.6Defence98.4 · 88.5Shooting51.1% · 49.0%3-point %32.8% · 33.1%Ball care19.0% · 14.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Jena   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jena wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Jena v Wurzburg69-87
31/10/25Wurzburg v Jena97-92 OT
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUlm78-97
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game77.982.574.2
Allowed / game89.682.895.0
Point differential-11.7-0.2-20.8
Avg total167.4165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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