PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jiangsu Dragons vs Shenzhen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#19
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#13
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game95.0
ChinaCBARound 39· Suzhou Sports Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jiangsu Dragons v Shenzhen
19 Mar 2027
JIAN v SHEN
upcoming
19 Oct 2026
JIAN81
SHEN89
01 Feb 2026
JIAN71
SHEN90
27 Mar 2025
JIAN83
SHEN106
06 Mar 2025
JIAN109
SHEN115
28 Mar 2024
JIAN77
SHEN89
19 Jan 2023
JIAN85
SHEN106
22 Jan 2022
JIAN80
SHEN90
29 Dec 2020
JIAN95
SHEN114
20 Jun 2020
JIAN105
SHEN98
13 Nov 2018
JIAN102
SHEN118
07 Jan 2018
JIAN97
SHEN100
18 Dec 2016
JIAN124
SHEN116
22 Nov 2015
JIAN110
SHEN86
30 Nov 2014
JIAN99
SHEN108
09 Feb 2014
JIAN97
SHEN115
09 Jan 2013
JIAN126
SHEN119
25 Nov 2011
JIAN103
SHEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jiangsu Dragons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
89-108
89
108
-19
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-28
19-16
21-18
20-24
21-23
30-19
16-20
30-20
30-28
17-17
24-20
27-26
18-24
25-31
19-27
21-19
15-28
22-20
27-22
31-25
19-14
14-29
17-21
16-27
20-24
32-18
14-24
19-30
23-20
13-29
24-22
23-18
22-24
21-24
22-12
20-21
25-24
18-18
17-19
174.3Avg total
84.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.588.7171.2-6.217%
Season at home (3)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
Season away (3)80.392.0172.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)84.889.5174.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)82.088.6170.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)81.691.2172.8-9.525%
vs Similar (3)86.088.0174.0-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A16/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
22-42
28-20
25-27
15-25
27-27
24-19
19-21
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
178.2Avg total
83.2Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.795.0172.7-17.350%
Season at home (2)82.593.0175.5-10.550%
Season away (4)75.296.0171.2-20.850%
Last 10 (10)83.295.0178.2-11.840%
Last 5 (5)79.693.6173.2-14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.795.0172.7-17.350%
vs Similar (11)98.196.2194.3+1.955%
vs Weaker (13)105.192.3197.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Jiangsu DragonsShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/10
CBA
90.5Avg total
43.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.547.590.0-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.388.6-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.649.791.3-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.990.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.248.789.9-7.517%-
vs Similar (3)43.345.088.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)52.040.392.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A16/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A18/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
93.5Avg total
41.3Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.449.2100.5+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.148.3102.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)49.049.998.9-0.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.352.293.5-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.054.093.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.852.590.3-14.717%-
vs Similar (11)52.750.8103.5+1.964%-
vs Weaker (13)56.546.2102.7+10.292%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.9
57.1%
53.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
34.9%16.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
74.8%18.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jiangsu Dragons
LWLLLLLWWL
Shenzhen
WWLLWLLWLL
#19
League position
#13
-5.4
Net rating
-14.8
97.7
Offensive rating
88.7
103.1
Defensive rating
103.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.6%
3-point %
33.5%
58.4%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 88.7Defence103.1 · 103.5Shooting52.7% · 51.4%3-point %28.6% · 33.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jiangsu Dragons   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jiangsu Dragons wins
10
Shenzhen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGuangdong80-82
27/10/26HFujian88-78
25/10/26AShanxi Zhongyu79-101
23/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters82-93
19/10/26HShenzhen81-89
17/10/26HFujian85-89
24/04/26HLiaoning89-108
20/04/26HSichuan101-85
18/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu87-86
16/04/26HFujian76-84
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
18/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha85-92
16/05/26AZhejiang Guangsha102-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game82.584.780.3
Allowed / game88.785.392.0
Point differential-6.2-0.7-11.7
Avg total171.2170.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.782.575.2
Allowed / game95.093.096.0
Point differential-17.3-10.5-20.8
Avg total172.7175.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.