PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jiangsu Dragons vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 109-115
31-30 42-28 18-31 18-26
Position#20
Record6-29
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#13
Record12-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game107.3
ChinaCBARound 36· Suzhou Sports Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jiangsu Dragons v Shenzhen
19 Mar 2027
JIAN v SHEN
upcoming
19 Oct 2026
JIAN81
SHEN89
01 Feb 2026
JIAN71
SHEN90
27 Mar 2025
JIAN83
SHEN106
06 Mar 2025
JIAN109
SHEN115
28 Mar 2024
JIAN77
SHEN89
19 Jan 2023
JIAN85
SHEN106
22 Jan 2022
JIAN80
SHEN90
29 Dec 2020
JIAN95
SHEN114
20 Jun 2020
JIAN105
SHEN98
13 Nov 2018
JIAN102
SHEN118
07 Jan 2018
JIAN97
SHEN100
18 Dec 2016
JIAN124
SHEN116
22 Nov 2015
JIAN110
SHEN86
30 Nov 2014
JIAN99
SHEN108
09 Feb 2014
JIAN97
SHEN115
09 Jan 2013
JIAN126
SHEN119
25 Nov 2011
JIAN103
SHEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jiangsu Dragons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
85avg 81
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
97avg 81
H05/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 81
H07/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 81
A10/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
95-121
95
121
-26
82avg 81
A12/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 81
H14/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
85-110
85
110
-25
77avg 81
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
86-102
86
102
-16
74avg 81
A19/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
99-93
99
93
+6
94avg 81
H21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
92-113
92
113
-21
77avg 81
H25/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
20-32
24-17
16-21
18-33
28-21
29-25
24-14
28-24
24-33
27-24
12-19
26-25
25-31
24-24
22-21
18-27
31-34
23-26
23-34
21-27
18-21
16-28
27-16
26-21
17-31
26-36
16-22
29-32
15-18
16-24
26-28
30-27
22-24
25-17
22-25
23-24
24-38
28-30
17-21
193.7Avg total
92.2Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)93.7103.4197.1-9.717%
Season at home (16)95.6100.8196.4-5.225%
Season away (19)92.2105.6197.8-13.511%
Last 10 (10)92.2101.5193.7-9.330%
Last 5 (5)88.8102.0190.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.4105.1197.5-12.812%
vs Similar (11)94.797.0191.7-2.336%
vs Weaker (3)90.784.3175.0+6.367%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
122-112
122
112
+10
130avg 96
A03/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 96
H06/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
79avg 96
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
115-99
115
99
+16
116avg 96
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
112-115
112
115
-3
108avg 96
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 96
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
118-96
118
96
+22
124avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
99avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
28-25
41-26
22-29
28-27
21-28
22-17
13-19
29-33
22-30
19-21
25-23
29-26
28-36
33-17
25-20
46-21
21-41
25-25
20-28
32-30
30-17
27-23
19-31
29-23
39-20
24-25
26-28
23-28
33-31
32-24
14-29
16-30
23-35
24-22
23-17
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
210.6Avg total
106.0Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)104.5107.3211.7-2.834%
Season at home (19)105.0102.8207.8+2.247%
Season away (16)103.9112.5216.4-8.619%
Last 10 (10)106.0104.6210.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)106.4104.4210.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)95.9104.4200.3-8.520%
vs Similar (2)104.599.0203.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)114.0101.5215.5+12.575%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
Jiangsu DragonsShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H05/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H07/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A10/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A12/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A19/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H25/01
CBA
100.4Avg total
46.7Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.752.6102.2-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.951.5102.5-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)48.453.6102.0-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)46.753.7100.4-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)45.052.697.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)47.853.3101.1-5.631%-
vs Similar (11)53.253.1106.3+0.155%-
vs Weaker (3)47.046.793.7+0.333%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A03/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H06/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H08/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
113.3Avg total
57.4Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.353.4106.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.252.5106.7+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)51.854.7106.5-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)57.455.9113.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.0110.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)50.455.2105.6-4.925%-
vs Similar (2)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)59.450.6110.0+8.8100%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.625.0
47.5%
52.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.5
28.1%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.719.2
71.9%
76.3%19.2
They take 79.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.629.7
56.5%
52.6%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.9
35.6%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
76.3%16.1
They take 80.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jiangsu Dragons
LWLLLLLLWW
Shenzhen
WLLWWLWLLW
#20
League position
#13
-9.8
Net rating
+1.7
100.1
Offensive rating
111.3
109.9
Defensive rating
109.6
45.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.1%
3-point %
35.6%
63.1%
Assist %
66.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 111.3Defence109.9 · 109.6Shooting45.7% · 55.4%3-point %28.1% · 35.6%Ball care18.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Jiangsu Dragons   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jiangsu Dragons wins
9
Shenzhen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HShanxi Zhongyu92-113
21/01/25HTianjin99-93
19/01/25AShandong86-102
17/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters85-110
14/01/25HXinjiang82-92
12/01/25AShanghai95-121
10/01/25ANanjing Tongxi97-101
07/01/25HGuangzhou91-100
05/01/25HZhejiang Chouzhou99-93
03/01/25AGuangzhou96-90 OT
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109
22/01/25ABeijing86-104
19/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters102-112
17/01/25HJilin118-96
15/01/25HNanjing Tongxi108-101
13/01/25AJilin112-115
11/01/25HShandong115-99
08/01/25HQingdao95-107
06/01/25HGuangdong84-91
03/01/25AFujian122-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %17%25%11%
Points / game93.795.692.2
Allowed / game103.4100.8105.6
Point differential-9.7-5.2-13.5
Avg total197.1196.4197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW34%
HomeLWWWW47%
AwayWWLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %34%47%19%
Points / game104.5105.0103.9
Allowed / game107.3102.8112.5
Point differential-2.8+2.2-8.6
Avg total211.7207.8216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3631586%103.992.2+11.7
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3627975%114.5108.1+6.4
3 Xinjiang35251071%111.1102.8+8.3
4 Qingdao36251169%104.999.3+5.7
5 Shandong36251169%104.799.5+5.2
6 Guangdong36241267%104.797.8+6.9
7 Beijing36241267%101.696.1+5.5
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou35231266%112.3104.1+8.3
9 Liaoning36231364%104.799.6+5.1
10 Shanghai35221363%112.0103.3+8.7
11 Beijing Royal Fighters34191556%106.3101.3+5.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi36171947%106.0108.3-2.3
13 Jilin36132336%102.8110.8-8.0
14 Shenzhen35122334%104.5107.3-2.8
15 Tianjin36112531%101.9110.8-8.8
16 Sichuan3682822%101.0110.6-9.6
17 Ningbo Rockets3682822%102.6114.1-11.4
18 Guangzhou3672919%96.9108.1-11.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons3562917%93.7103.4-9.7
20 Fujian3562917%103.2115.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jiangsu Dragons31421818109
Shenzhen30283126115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.