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Jiangsu Dragons vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 83-106
23-31 18-28 26-29 16-18
Position#20
Record6-38
FormLLLLL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#13
Record16-28
FormLWLLL
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game107.3
ChinaCBARound 45· Suzhou Sports Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jiangsu Dragons v Shenzhen
19 Mar 2027
JIAN v SHEN
upcoming
19 Oct 2026
JIAN81
SHEN89
01 Feb 2026
JIAN71
SHEN90
27 Mar 2025
JIAN83
SHEN106
06 Mar 2025
JIAN109
SHEN115
28 Mar 2024
JIAN77
SHEN89
19 Jan 2023
JIAN85
SHEN106
22 Jan 2022
JIAN80
SHEN90
29 Dec 2020
JIAN95
SHEN114
20 Jun 2020
JIAN105
SHEN98
13 Nov 2018
JIAN102
SHEN118
07 Jan 2018
JIAN97
SHEN100
18 Dec 2016
JIAN124
SHEN116
22 Nov 2015
JIAN110
SHEN86
30 Nov 2014
JIAN99
SHEN108
09 Feb 2014
JIAN97
SHEN115
09 Jan 2013
JIAN126
SHEN119
25 Nov 2011
JIAN103
SHEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jiangsu Dragons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
92-113
92
113
-21
77avg 80
H25/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
109-115
109
115
-6
104avg 80
H06/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
58avg 80
H08/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
66avg 80
A10/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
95-96
95
96
-1
80avg 80
H13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
76avg 80
H15/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
98-106
98
106
-8
84avg 80
H17/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 80
A19/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
52avg 80
A21/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
71avg 80
A24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-38
28-30
17-21
31-30
42-28
18-31
18-26
18-34
14-29
23-19
24-19
24-18
26-20
16-32
17-23
21-20
25-24
21-30
28-22
21-29
27-21
23-28
17-16
22-24
25-27
29-39
22-16
24-28
30-35
18-34
23-18
27-27
16-35
19-15
21-25
23-22
18-24
24-37
20-12
193.7Avg total
90.7Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)93.1103.1196.2-10.014%
Season at home (21)95.1101.2196.3-6.019%
Season away (23)91.2104.9196.0-13.79%
Last 10 (10)90.7103.0193.7-12.30%
Last 5 (5)89.8102.4192.2-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)90.7103.9194.6-13.25%
vs Similar (9)97.998.4196.3-0.644%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 97
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 97
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 97
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
105-97
105
97
+8
100avg 97
A10/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
102-118
102
118
-16
90avg 97
A12/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
100-111
100
111
-11
84avg 97
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
114-95
114
95
+19
117avg 97
H17/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
100-117
100
117
-17
92avg 97
A19/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
91-105
91
105
-14
78avg 97
H21/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
105-131
105
131
-26
125avg 97
H23/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
30-31
28-42
31-18
26-18
31-24
24-18
26-22
23-22
29-28
28-31
23-17
25-21
32-28
15-31
27-29
28-30
34-30
27-32
28-22
11-27
29-27
30-26
25-20
30-22
29-28
27-31
21-38
23-20
24-28
20-28
28-27
19-22
27-24
25-43
27-35
26-29
213.2Avg total
105.4Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)104.4107.3211.7-3.036%
Season at home (23)104.6104.2208.7+0.443%
Season away (21)104.2110.8215.0-6.629%
Last 10 (10)105.4107.8213.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)102.0111.8213.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)101.1105.4206.5-4.326%
vs Similar (1)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)114.7107.7222.4+7.070%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Jiangsu DragonsShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H25/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H06/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
32-63
32
63
-31
H08/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A10/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H17/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A19/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A21/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/03
CBA
101.8Avg total
48.1Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.853.8103.6-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.453.6105.0-2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)47.654.1101.7-6.523%-
Last 10 (10)48.153.7101.8-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)46.654.4101.0-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.454.1101.5-6.824%-
vs Similar (9)55.353.0108.3+2.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A12/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H17/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H21/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H23/03
CBA
113.1Avg total
55.5Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.9111.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.155.1112.2+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)54.756.8111.5-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)55.557.6113.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)54.459.4113.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)53.256.2109.3-3.026%-
vs Similar (1)62.047.0109.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.756.3117.0+4.470%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.723.5
44.6%
52.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.3
28.4%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws28.521.2
74.4%
76.3%21.2
They take 78.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.829.8
54.4%
52.6%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
76.3%14.3
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jiangsu Dragons
LLLLLLLLLL
Shenzhen
LLLWLLWWWW
#20
League position
#13
-12.5
Net rating
-2.3
95.2
Offensive rating
107.7
107.7
Defensive rating
109.9
43.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.4%
3-point %
35.7%
56.2%
Assist %
65.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 107.7Defence107.7 · 109.9Shooting43.9% · 54.1%3-point %28.4% · 35.7%Ball care18.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 26.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Jiangsu Dragons   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jiangsu Dragons wins
9
Shenzhen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25AZhejiang Chouzhou85-95
21/03/25AShandong83-102
19/03/25AQingdao95-115
17/03/25HShandong98-106
15/03/25HLiaoning88-94
13/03/25HBeijing Royal Fighters95-96
10/03/25AShanxi Zhongyu83-93
08/03/25HXinjiang79-101
06/03/25HShenzhen109-115
25/01/25HShanxi Zhongyu92-113
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HFujian105-131
21/03/25HBeijing Royal Fighters91-105
19/03/25ALiaoning100-117
17/03/25HBeijing Royal Fighters114-95
15/03/25HShandong100-111
12/03/25AXinjiang102-118
10/03/25ASichuan105-97
08/03/25AGuangzhou104-86
06/03/25AJiangsu Dragons115-109
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %14%19%9%
Points / game93.195.191.2
Allowed / game103.1101.2104.9
Point differential-10.0-6.0-13.7
Avg total196.2196.3196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game104.4104.6104.2
Allowed / game107.3104.2110.8
Point differential-3.0+0.4-6.6
Avg total211.7208.7215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4437784%103.893.2+10.6
2 Shanxi Zhongyu44321273%114.5108.7+5.8
3 Shandong45321371%105.198.6+6.5
4 Beijing44311370%103.596.6+6.9
5 Liaoning45311469%106.899.8+7.0
6 Xinjiang44301468%108.9102.1+6.8
7 Qingdao45301567%105.5100.2+5.3
8 Guangdong44291566%104.497.3+7.1
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou44281664%112.1104.8+7.3
10 Shanghai44271761%110.5103.4+7.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters44261859%106.6102.6+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi44222250%106.6107.3-0.7
13 Shenzhen44162836%104.4107.3-3.0
14 Jilin44133130%102.5112.2-9.7
15 Tianjin44123227%102.3110.9-8.5
16 Guangzhou44113325%96.2106.9-10.6
17 Ningbo Rockets44103423%102.9114.0-11.1
18 Fujian4393421%105.0115.4-10.5
19 Sichuan4493520%99.1109.9-10.8
20 Jiangsu Dragons4463814%93.1103.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jiangsu Dragons2318261683
Shenzhen31282918106
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