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Jilin vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 65-106
22-25 17-38 13-27 13-16
Position#14
Record9-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game109.7
Jilin
China
vs
Guangdong 🏆
China
Position#8
Record12-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game101.5
ChinaCBARound 23· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jilin v Guangdong
12 Jan 2027
JILI v GUAN
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
JILI98
GUAN119
28 Dec 2024
JILI65
GUAN106
23 Jan 2024
JILI111
GUAN116
27 Oct 2023
JILI104
GUAN105
28 Dec 2022
JILI102
GUAN108
30 Dec 2021
JILI99
GUAN116
19 Jan 2021
JILI106
GUAN111
10 Nov 2019
JILI120
GUAN115
03 Mar 2019
JILI111
GUAN132
19 Dec 2017
JILI86
GUAN102
28 Dec 2016
JILI113
GUAN119
13 Jan 2016
JILI114
GUAN118
05 Nov 2014
JILI111
GUAN135
17 Nov 2013
JILI88
GUAN99
21 Dec 2012
JILI103
GUAN113
11 Dec 2011
JILI95
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
112-159
112
159
-47
104avg 96
A04/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
106-108
106
108
-2
97avg 96
A06/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 96
H09/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 96
H11/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
89-122
89
122
-33
72avg 96
A13/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
105-111
105
111
-6
92avg 96
A15/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
114-102
114
102
+12
105avg 96
H18/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
93-70
93
70
+23
82avg 96
H20/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
107-138
107
138
-31
94avg 96
A23/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
85-106
85
106
-21
72avg 96
A26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-34
20-50
30-40
27-35
30-17
33-30
19-33
24-28
14-21
30-22
27-28
26-20
36-29
27-19
35-22
18-35
19-40
26-18
18-36
26-28
21-26
33-19
21-31
30-35
36-21
41-17
18-38
19-26
25-20
31-20
17-15
20-15
27-33
45-31
18-41
17-33
21-29
22-24
22-22
20-31
213.6Avg total
102.4Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)105.5109.7215.2-4.341%
Season at home (12)106.999.8206.7+7.267%
Season away (10)103.7121.7225.4-18.010%
Last 10 (10)102.4111.2213.6-8.840%
Last 5 (5)100.8105.4206.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)96.4110.6207.0-14.321%
vs Similar (11)110.0106.8216.8+3.255%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
121-119
121
119
+2
120avg 105
H03/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
98-100
98
100
-2
92avg 105
H05/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 105
A08/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
106-90
106
90
+16
104avg 105
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
91-124
91
124
-33
106avg 105
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
103-86
103
86
+17
109avg 105
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 105
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
107-113
107
113
-6
113avg 105
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 105
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 105
H25/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
33-31
30-32
31-27
23-28
23-20
28-24
24-28
27-28
24-36
28-16
26-18
28-19
33-21
23-23
22-27
21-33
23-30
29-32
18-29
34-22
27-27
19-16
23-21
25-24
30-28
32-12
25-33
30-31
32-34
26-27
19-21
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
203.8Avg total
103.7Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)105.4101.5206.9+3.955%
Season at home (13)106.9100.2207.1+6.862%
Season away (9)103.2103.4206.7-0.244%
Last 10 (10)103.7100.1203.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)103.294.0197.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (17)100.2102.6202.8-2.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)109.693.7203.2+15.978%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
JilinGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A04/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A06/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H11/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A13/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
77-38
77
38
+39
H18/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H20/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A23/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A26/12
CBA
109.2Avg total
57.2Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.052.7103.7-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.947.999.7+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)50.257.5107.7-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)57.252.0109.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)60.448.0108.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)48.554.2102.7-5.732%-
vs Similar (11)55.450.1105.5+5.364%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H03/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H05/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A08/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
107.5Avg total
54.4Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.851.1104.0+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.549.6104.2+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)50.653.1103.7-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)54.453.1107.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.451.2107.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (17)50.352.0102.3-1.741%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)61.049.2110.2+11.889%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 101.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.7
51.5%
52.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.8
35.9%
35.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.820.6
76.9%
76.3%20.6
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.326.0
60.0%
52.6%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.5
34.2%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws27.320.6
75.5%
76.3%20.6
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLWWLLWWLL
Guangdong
LWLWWLWWLW
#14
League position
#8
-9.7
Net rating
+5.3
108.5
Offensive rating
113.5
118.2
Defensive rating
108.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.9%
3-point %
34.2%
58.0%
Assist %
75.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 113.5Defence118.2 · 108.2Shooting52.5% · 56.4%3-point %35.9% · 34.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jilin wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
16/12/22Guangdong v Jilin117-91
08/01/22Guangdong v Jilin99-95
30/12/21Jilin v Guangdong99-116
19/01/21Jilin v Guangdong106-111
08/01/21Guangdong v Jilin110-111
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24ANanjing Tongxi85-106
23/12/24AShanghai107-138
20/12/24HJiangsu Dragons93-70
18/12/24HLiaoning114-102
15/12/24ASichuan105-111
13/12/24AXinjiang89-122
11/12/24HFujian116-105
09/12/24HShandong97-91
06/12/24ANingbo Rockets106-108
04/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou112-159
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72
21/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-113
18/12/24ANanjing Tongxi112-97
16/12/24AJiangsu Dragons103-86
14/12/24HShanghai91-124
12/12/24HBeijing106-90
08/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters105-98
05/12/24HJiangsu Dragons98-100
03/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu121-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%67%10%
Points / game105.5106.9103.7
Allowed / game109.799.8121.7
Point differential-4.3+7.2-18.0
Avg total215.2206.7225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %55%62%44%
Points / game105.4106.9103.2
Allowed / game101.5100.2103.4
Point differential+3.9+6.8-0.2
Avg total206.9207.1206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2219386%104.092.8+11.3
2 Xinjiang2117481%113.0101.8+11.2
3 Shanxi Zhongyu2217577%115.4108.0+7.4
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2317674%115.0106.0+9.0
5 Beijing2115671%101.395.0+6.3
6 Shandong2316770%104.7101.0+3.6
7 Liaoning2215768%106.598.0+8.5
8 Qingdao2315865%103.399.5+3.8
9 Beijing Royal Fighters22121055%104.8100.7+4.0
10 Guangdong22121055%105.4101.5+3.9
11 Nanjing Tongxi22121055%105.5106.5-1.0
12 Shanghai21111052%108.3103.6+4.8
13 Jilin2291341%105.5109.7-4.3
14 Tianjin2371630%99.2108.6-9.4
15 Ningbo Rockets2371630%102.2114.0-11.8
16 Guangzhou2261627%100.6108.5-7.8
17 Sichuan2261627%101.2109.0-7.8
18 Shenzhen2351822%103.6108.7-5.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons2332013%94.3103.9-9.7
20 Fujian221215%100.4115.4-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jilin2217131365
Guangdong25382716106
← all games of the day
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