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Jilin vs Guangdong Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
ChinaCBARound 26· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jilin v Guangdong
12 Jan 2027
JILI v GUAN
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
JILI98
GUAN119
28 Dec 2024
JILI65
GUAN106
23 Jan 2024
JILI111
GUAN116
27 Oct 2023
JILI104
GUAN105
28 Dec 2022
JILI102
GUAN108
30 Dec 2021
JILI99
GUAN116
19 Jan 2021
JILI106
GUAN111
10 Nov 2019
JILI120
GUAN115
03 Mar 2019
JILI111
GUAN132
19 Dec 2017
JILI86
GUAN102
28 Dec 2016
JILI113
GUAN119
13 Jan 2016
JILI114
GUAN118
05 Nov 2014
JILI111
GUAN135
17 Nov 2013
JILI88
GUAN99
21 Dec 2012
JILI103
GUAN113
11 Dec 2011
JILI95
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 74
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
38avg 74
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
21-33
24-15
18-28
16-14
24-25
25-27
21-24
28-22
170.1Avg total
81.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.987.1174.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)83.886.0169.8-2.220%
Season away (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.588.6170.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.394.5174.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.686.0166.6-5.440%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 88
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 88
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
JilinGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A03/11
CBA
88.4Avg total
40.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.288.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.489.0-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.750.588.2-12.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.888.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.749.187.8-10.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.645.688.2-3.020%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
#11
League position
#12
-12.7
Net rating
+6.1
90.3
Offensive rating
102.5
103.1
Defensive rating
96.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
56.0%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
36.5%
66.2%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 102.5Defence103.1 · 96.4Shooting48.8% · 56.0%3-point %31.2% · 36.5%Ball care13.9% · 14.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jilin wins
10
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Guangdong v Jilin117-84
28/01/26Guangdong v Jilin89-81
21/01/26Jilin v Guangdong98-119
27/03/25Guangdong v Jilin106-94
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanghai109-110 OT
01/11/26HGuangzhou79-90
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game86.983.892.0
Allowed / game87.186.089.0
Point differential-0.2-2.2+3.0
Avg total174.0169.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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