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Guangdong vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 121-113
32-30 38-32 28-18 23-33
Position#4
Record26-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#16
Record15-25
FormLWWWL
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game107.6
ChinaCBARound 41· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Jilin
08 Jan 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
GUAN117
JILI84
28 Jan 2026
GUAN89
JILI81
27 Mar 2025
GUAN106
JILI94
09 Mar 2024
GUAN121
JILI113
27 Dec 2023
GUAN112
JILI102
16 Dec 2022
GUAN117
JILI91
08 Jan 2022
GUAN99
JILI95
08 Jan 2021
GUAN110
JILI111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN123
JILI100
13 Dec 2018
GUAN96
JILI105
09 Feb 2018
GUAN93
JILI67
04 Nov 2016
GUAN99
JILI77
11 Nov 2015
GUAN107
JILI86
19 Dec 2014
GUAN116
JILI93
03 Jan 2014
GUAN92
JILI85
29 Jan 2013
GUAN141
JILI99
29 Jan 2012
GUAN107
JILI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
99-109
99
109
-10
79avg 100
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 100
H19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
87avg 100
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
116-111
116
111
+5
118avg 100
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
91-105
91
105
-14
82avg 100
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
138-112
138
112
+26
134avg 100
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
117-133
117
133
-16
110avg 100
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
77avg 100
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
122-126
122
126
-4
118avg 100
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
no box
H07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-34
22-23
36-35
26-12
24-26
22-25
32-24
28-28
26-28
25-22
18-26
31-36
26-22
32-29
27-24
29-33
20-24
24-28
18-20
32-28
34-34
34-22
38-28
28-28
34-31
22-34
33-40
25-23
22-24
18-26
25-24
33-37
36-21
25-34
28-34
31-38
37-27
24-26
28-29
222.3Avg total
110.8Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)109.0105.1214.1+3.965%
Season at home (20)113.8105.2218.9+8.670%
Season away (20)104.2105.1209.3-0.960%
Last 10 (10)110.8111.5222.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)120.2119.8240.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)101.2106.7207.9-5.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)114.1105.7219.8+8.581%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
111-106
111
106
+5
107avg 94
A17/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
113-118
113
118
-5
96avg 94
A19/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
101-103
101
103
-2
93avg 94
H21/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
111-116
111
116
-5
96avg 94
H23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
116-118
116
118
-2
109avg 94
H26/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
110-124
110
124
-14
104avg 94
A28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
110-91
110
91
+19
121avg 94
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
104-96
104
96
+8
86avg 94
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
112-104
112
104
+8
95avg 94
H05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
86avg 94
A06/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
28-27
20-23
30-32
31-37
30-25
28-29
24-27
21-27
30-28
23-19
27-29
36-31
22-26
29-32
24-27
32-23
22-32
26-37
36-26
21-35
34-35
21-33
34-21
28-20
25-23
31-15
26-33
34-26
25-31
26-18
19-21
36-34
27-24
33-23
16-23
19-42
22-33
26-24
30-20
218.0Avg total
108.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)103.8107.6211.5-3.838%
Season at home (20)104.9104.9209.8+0.050%
Season away (20)102.8110.3213.1-7.525%
Last 10 (10)108.5109.5218.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)106.6106.8213.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)104.2109.9214.1-5.635%
vs Similar (8)113.1115.0228.1-1.938%
vs Weaker (5)107.6101.6209.2+6.080%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
GuangdongJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/03
CBA
111.4Avg total
56.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.453.1109.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.553.8113.3+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)52.352.2104.5+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.1111.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)62.458.2120.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)50.056.8106.8-6.822%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)59.151.5110.7+7.676%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A17/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A19/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H21/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H26/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A06/03
CBA
113.9Avg total
55.6Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.658.0112.6-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.856.0110.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)54.460.3114.7-5.943%-
Last 10 (10)55.658.3113.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.260.6114.8-6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)52.157.6109.7-5.529%-
vs Similar (8)59.960.2120.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)54.655.8110.4-1.260%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.827.3
59.6%
52.7%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.3
38.7%
34.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.0%14.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.1
51.5%
52.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.6
37.5%
34.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.418.2
77.8%
76.0%18.2
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLLLWLWLWL
Jilin
LWWWLLLLLW
#4
League position
#16
+3.4
Net rating
+0.2
119.7
Offensive rating
117.3
116.3
Defensive rating
117.1
59.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
37.5%
52.6%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 117.3Defence116.3 · 117.1Shooting59.0% · 53.6%3-point %38.7% · 37.5%Ball care12.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds26.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
16/12/22Guangdong v Jilin117-91
08/01/22Guangdong v Jilin99-95
30/12/21Jilin v Guangdong99-116
19/01/21Jilin v Guangdong106-111
08/01/21Guangdong v Jilin110-111
14/01/20Guangdong v Jilin123-100
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters134-131 OT
05/02/24HZhejiang Chouzhou122-126
03/02/24AShenzhen90-97
30/01/24HTianjin117-133
28/01/24HNanjing Tongxi138-112
26/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha91-105
23/01/24AJilin116-111
21/01/24HLiaoning97-104
19/01/24HBeijing104-87
16/01/24HQingdao99-109
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ALiaoning97-119
05/02/24HShandong112-104
03/02/24AShanghai104-96
01/02/24ANingbo Rockets110-91
28/01/24ATianjin110-124
26/01/24HShenzhen116-118
23/01/24HGuangdong111-116
21/01/24HQingdao101-103
19/01/24AShanxi Zhongyu113-118
17/01/24AJiangsu Dragons111-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW65%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game109.0113.8104.2
Allowed / game105.1105.2105.1
Point differential+3.9+8.7-0.9
Avg total214.1218.9209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)50% (4)100% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Jilin
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game103.8104.9102.8
Allowed / game107.6104.9110.3
Point differential-3.8+0.0-7.5
Avg total211.5209.8213.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)33% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang4033782%107.096.2+10.8
2 Liaoning4033782%103.993.3+10.6
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou40291172%108.5100.2+8.3
4 Zhejiang Guangsha40261465%103.896.7+7.1
5 Guangdong40261465%109.0105.1+3.9
6 Shenzhen40261465%106.2102.5+3.7
7 Shanghai40241660%105.8103.1+2.7
8 Qingdao40241660%102.299.9+2.2
9 Beijing Royal Fighters40231757%106.6104.0+2.6
10 Guangzhou40202050%101.799.0+2.6
11 Shanxi Zhongyu40202050%109.2111.0-1.8
12 Beijing40192148%100.9101.0-0.1
13 Tianjin40182245%106.3108.6-2.2
14 Nanjing Tongxi40182245%102.5104.9-2.4
15 Shandong40162440%102.0104.0-2.0
16 Fujian40152538%103.0106.5-3.5
17 Jilin40152538%103.8107.6-3.8
18 Ningbo Rockets4063415%92.1105.5-13.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons4053512%93.4103.9-10.5
20 Sichuan4043610%98.0112.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong32382823121
Jilin30321833113
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