PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jilin vs Jiangsu Dragons Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.9
ChinaCBARound 35· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jilin v Jiangsu Dragons
10 Mar 2027
JILI v JIAN
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
JILI83
JIAN72
20 Dec 2024
JILI93
JIAN70
22 Dec 2023
JILI84
JIAN110
11 Oct 2022
JILI100
JIAN85
02 Mar 2022
JILI99
JIAN82
02 Apr 2021
JILI111
JIAN94
20 Oct 2020
JILI110
JIAN92
30 Jun 2020
JILI102
JIAN105
11 Dec 2018
JILI108
JIAN94
30 Oct 2016
JILI101
JIAN83
04 Dec 2015
JILI92
JIAN106
01 Feb 2015
JILI113
JIAN97
16 Feb 2014
JILI123
JIAN103
23 Jan 2013
JILI114
JIAN113
28 Dec 2011
JILI111
JIAN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 72
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
38avg 72
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
21-33
24-15
18-28
16-14
24-25
25-27
21-24
28-22
170.1Avg total
81.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.987.1174.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)83.886.0169.8-2.220%
Season away (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.588.6170.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.394.5174.8-14.225%
vs Similar (5)80.686.0166.6-5.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
101-85
101
85
+16
98avg 78
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
89-108
89
108
-19
86avg 78
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A01/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
30-28
17-17
24-20
27-26
18-24
25-31
19-27
21-19
15-28
22-20
27-22
31-25
19-14
14-29
17-21
16-27
20-24
32-18
14-24
19-30
23-20
13-29
24-22
23-18
22-24
21-24
22-12
20-21
25-24
18-18
17-19
17-16
18-15
11-20
16-19
30-24
17-18
21-27
27-24
173.0Avg total
84.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.586.9168.4-5.425%
Season at home (3)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
Season away (5)79.687.8167.4-8.220%
Last 10 (10)84.288.8173.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.291.0172.2-9.923%
vs Similar (5)86.687.8174.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (3)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
This opponent (Jilin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
JilinJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A03/11
CBA
88.4Avg total
40.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.288.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.489.0-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.750.588.2-12.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.888.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.749.187.8-10.430%-
vs Similar (5)42.645.688.2-3.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A01/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/11
CBA
88.6Avg total
44.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.989.1-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.388.6-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.148.589.6-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.588.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.084.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.448.488.7-8.018%-
vs Similar (5)44.444.488.8+0.040%-
vs Weaker (3)52.040.392.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.9
57.1%
53.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
35.0%16.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
74.8%18.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
Jiangsu Dragons
WLLWLLLLLW
#11
League position
#17
-12.7
Net rating
-5.4
90.3
Offensive rating
97.7
103.1
Defensive rating
103.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.2%
3-point %
28.6%
66.2%
Assist %
58.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 97.7Defence103.1 · 103.1Shooting48.8% · 52.7%3-point %31.2% · 28.6%Ball care13.9% · 14.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Jilin   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Jilin wins
3
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanghai109-110 OT
01/11/26HGuangzhou79-90
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ANanjing Tongxi95-93
01/11/26AZhejiang Chouzhou62-70
29/10/26AGuangdong80-82
27/10/26HFujian88-78
25/10/26AShanxi Zhongyu79-101
23/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters82-93
19/10/26HShenzhen81-89
17/10/26HFujian85-89
24/04/26HLiaoning89-108
20/04/26HSichuan101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game86.983.892.0
Allowed / game87.186.089.0
Point differential-0.2-2.2+3.0
Avg total174.0169.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.584.779.6
Allowed / game86.985.387.8
Point differential-5.4-0.7-8.2
Avg total168.4170.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.