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Jurbarkas vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-73
19-19 20-25 15-24 25-5
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.8
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Vytis VDU
Lithuania
Position#7
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU
24 Nov 2026
JURB v VYTI
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
JURB92
VYTI86
12 Nov 2024
JURB86
VYTI77
25 Mar 2024
JURB98
VYTI94
20 Mar 2024
JURB104
VYTI98
14 Mar 2024
JURB115
VYTI116
02 Mar 2024
JURB85
VYTI70
19 Oct 2023
JURB79
VYTI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 72
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 72
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
58avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
64avg 72
A14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-21
21-22
19-22
19-23
32-20
23-17
16-22
8-20
16-18
14-21
32-14
20-20
22-23
17-17
16-12
155.8Avg total
79.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.076.8155.8+2.275%
Season at home (2)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
Season away (2)82.577.0159.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (4)79.076.8155.8+2.275%
Last 5 (4)79.076.8155.8+2.275%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.375.0150.3+0.367%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H11/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H15/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
A18/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
no box
H21/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
A29/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 71
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 71
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 71
A10/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
17-19
19-20
23-26
24-14
25-16
27-20
15-24
25-20
15-12
16-14
22-18
29-16
28-29
30-23
14-27
23-8
13-21
12-20
22-23
26-16
16-23
12-23
19-17
16-21
22-21
23-28
12-17
22-17
24-21
21-19
12-25
25-22
17-21
24-22
18-25
14-28
23-13
21-17
20-22
162.6Avg total
80.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.384.0164.3-3.70%
Season at home (2)81.586.0167.5-4.50%
Season away (1)78.080.0158.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)80.781.9162.6-1.230%
Last 5 (5)77.483.6161.0-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.780.9156.6-5.230%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.983.7162.6-4.914%
vs Weaker (13)82.076.2158.2+5.862%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
JurbarkasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
NKL
79.5Avg total
39.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (2)32.537.069.5-4.550%-
Last 30 away (2)46.543.089.5+3.550%-
Last 10 (4)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (4)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.739.074.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (1)51.043.094.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H15/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H21/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A29/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
NKL
81.4Avg total
42.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.279.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.240.483.6+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)36.537.574.1-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.981.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.440.978.3-3.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.039.780.7+1.357%-
vs Weaker (13)42.237.579.7+4.662%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.8
53.8%
51.9%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.3%
33.3%26.2
🏀 Free throws24.016.2
67.7%
70.3%16.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.0
54.0%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.312.0
42.4%
33.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.37.7
74.2%
70.3%7.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWW
Vytis VDU
LLLLLLWWWL
#4
League position
#7
+1.7
Net rating
-5.1
106.1
Offensive rating
111.8
104.4
Defensive rating
117.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
58.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.3%
3-point %
42.4%
70.8%
Assist %
48.9%
75%
Form (last 4/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 111.8Defence104.4 · 117.0Shooting52.8% · 58.4%3-point %34.3% · 42.4%Ball care17.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.17Form (last 4/10)75% · 30%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
0
Vytis VDU wins
No previous meetings.
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-72
12/10/23HUkmerges Stekas70-73
07/10/23ANeptunas 290-82
05/10/23HKauno Atletas81-80
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23ATelsiai78-80
07/10/23HKretinga84-90
05/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga79-82
04/04/23AMazeikiai73-87
01/04/23HMazeikiai73-79
29/03/23AMazeikiai70-72
21/03/23HPalangos Kursiai101-95
18/03/23APalangos Kursiai78-64
15/03/23HPalangos Kursiai91-74
11/03/23HKauno Atletas80-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game79.075.582.5
Allowed / game76.876.577.0
Point differential+2.2-1.0+5.5
Avg total155.8152.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.381.578.0
Allowed / game84.086.080.0
Point differential-3.7-4.5-2.0
Avg total164.3167.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga440100%88.071.8+16.2
2 Telsiai440100%88.576.0+12.5
3 Vilkaviskis54180%80.672.4+8.2
4 BC Olimpas Palanga43175%86.278.2+8.0
5 Jurbarkas43175%79.076.8+2.2
6 Delikatesas Joniskis43175%79.882.5-2.8
7 Kretinga52340%80.280.6-0.4
8 Kauno Atletas52340%79.681.4-1.8
9 Silute52340%76.482.2-5.8
10 Ukmerges Stekas52340%72.679.8-7.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 251420%71.875.6-3.8
12 Neptunas 251420%77.483.8-6.4
13 Vytis VDU3030%80.384.0-3.7
14 Rytas 24040%74.086.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1920152579
Vytis VDU192524573
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