PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jurbarkas vs Vytis VDU Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 90-86
Projected total 176.5
Scheduled
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
Vs
65%
35%
■ JURB 65%■ VYTI 35%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 8· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU
24 Nov 2026
JURB v VYTI
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
JURB92
VYTI86
12 Nov 2024
JURB86
VYTI77
25 Mar 2024
JURB98
VYTI94
20 Mar 2024
JURB104
VYTI98
14 Mar 2024
JURB115
VYTI116
02 Mar 2024
JURB85
VYTI70
19 Oct 2023
JURB79
VYTI73
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Jurbarkas host Vytis VDU in the NKL. Pythia makes Jurbarkas the favourite at 65% and projects 90-86, about 176 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Jurbarkas are 11-2 this season (88.6 scored, 78.3 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Vytis VDU are 9-3 this season (96.1 scored, 89.1 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas win
65.3%fair 1.53
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU win
34.7%fair 2.88
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 80
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 80
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 80
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
21-16
23-11
22-29
27-26
20-17
12-20
12-17
23-28
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.3166.9+10.385%
Season at home (6)88.780.0168.7+8.783%
Season away (7)88.676.9165.4+11.786%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.085.6175.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.575.7161.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker (17)90.579.9170.5+10.688%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
85avg 84
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 84
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 84
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
63avg 84
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
76avg 84
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
no box
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
no box
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
107-98
107
98
+9
no box
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-21
23-18
29-31
30-19
33-28
25-23
16-22
34-21
25-16
14-22
24-26
21-24
22-26
18-25
25-22
12-20
23-27
23-25
30-19
21-23
24-21
35-19
27-18
26-21
26-21
17-20
32-15
21-19
25-23
22-24
30-24
28-17
28-24
24-28
27-29
23-22
17-19
22-15
20-19
187.1Avg total
97.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.189.1185.2+7.075%
Season at home (6)97.090.0187.0+7.083%
Season away (6)95.288.2183.3+7.067%
Last 10 (10)97.589.6187.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)99.084.2183.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.594.5184.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.285.9173.1+1.262%
vs Weaker (15)97.389.7187.0+7.573%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
77.4%
Under 164
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
67.0%
Under 169
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
55.1%
Under 174
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Jurbarkas total 81.5
Over 81.5
80.8%
Under 81.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 85.5
Over 85.5
68.4%
Under 85.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 89.5
Over 89.5
53.5%
Under 89.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vytis VDU total 79
Over 79
75.5%
Under 79
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vytis VDU total 83
Over 83
61.2%
Under 83
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vytis VDU total 87
Over 87
45.4%
Under 87
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jurbarkas -3
JURB -3
56.8%
VYTI +3
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
JURB
No market prices yet.
VYTI
No market prices yet.
Spread Jurbarkas 0
JURB 0
65.3%
VYTI 0
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
JURB
No market prices yet.
VYTI
No market prices yet.
Spread Jurbarkas +3
JURB +3
73.5%
VYTI -3
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
JURB
No market prices yet.
VYTI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
JurbarkasVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.084.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.036.280.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker (17)44.335.880.1+8.571%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H17/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H22/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/11
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/11
NKL
92.1Avg total
48.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.989.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.243.590.7+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)43.044.387.3-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.892.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.548.587.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.044.888.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker (15)47.542.489.9+5.167%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.426.0
61.3%
54.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.5
62.5%
67.1%10.5
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LWWWWLWWLW
Vytis VDU
WWWWWLLWWL
#2
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
+4.7
90.6
Offensive rating
99.3
81.9
Defensive rating
94.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
57.0%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.0%
3-point %
34.0%
69.6%
Assist %
52.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 99.3Defence81.9 · 94.6Shooting48.5% · 57.0%3-point %30.0% · 34.0%Ball care14.8% · 14.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jurbarkas wins
4
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU92-86
06/11/25Vytis VDU v Jurbarkas62-69
08/02/25Vytis VDU v Jurbarkas95-87
12/11/24Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU86-77
05/11/24Vytis VDU v Jurbarkas89-82
25/03/24Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU98-94
22/03/24Vytis VDU v Jurbarkas94-89
20/03/24Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU104-98
17/03/24Vytis VDU v Jurbarkas85-95
14/03/24Jurbarkas v Vytis VDU115-116 OT
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANeptunas 267-82
12/11/26HPlunges Olimpas93-82
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOmega-Tauras82-75
12/11/26HKretinga107-98
07/11/26HKedainiai BC98-90
05/11/26AMazeikiai101-77
03/11/26AVilkaviskis107-81
31/10/26HTelsiai88-91
29/10/26ASilute86-97
22/10/26HKauno Atletas97-85
17/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2104-92
15/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai105-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game88.688.788.6
Allowed / game78.380.076.9
Point differential+10.3+8.7+11.7
Avg total166.9168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game96.197.095.2
Allowed / game89.190.088.2
Point differential+7.0+7.0+7.0
Avg total185.2187.0183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.