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Jurbarkas vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-73
8-20 16-18 14-21 32-14
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game81.0
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas
19 Nov 2026
JURB v UKME
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
JURB80
UKME77
02 Nov 2024
JURB77
UKME65
12 Oct 2023
JURB70
UKME73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 82
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 82
A07/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-21
21-22
19-22
19-23
32-20
23-17
16-22
166.5Avg total
85.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.581.0166.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (2)85.581.0166.5+4.5100%
Last 5 (2)85.581.0166.5+4.5100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
A11/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
H16/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
60-88
60
88
-28
47avg 68
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 68
A07/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
23-17
15-20
18-18
16-20
19-22
10-10
22-24
21-25
13-15
20-30
34-14
26-22
19-10
20-19
25-12
26-20
18-13
22-25
13-26
26-25
23-25
18-24
19-20
28-21
24-19
29-21
20-23
18-22
23-17
28-25
16-28
12-32
15-20
18-15
15-21
22-25
24-18
30-22
19-21
165.3Avg total
83.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.587.0164.5-9.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)77.587.0164.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)83.082.3165.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.488.8174.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.077.5152.5-2.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.583.3157.8-8.817%
vs Weaker (22)85.777.0162.7+8.764%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
JurbarkasUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/10
NKL
85.5Avg total
46.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)46.039.585.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 at home (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)51.043.094.0+8.0100%-
Last 10 (2)46.039.585.5+6.5100%-
Last 5 (2)46.039.585.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)51.043.094.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A11/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/10
NKL
82.4Avg total
41.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.878.8+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.581.9+6.880%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.175.8-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.582.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.340.573.8-7.233%-
vs Weaker (22)43.437.080.5+6.482%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.017.0
56.7%
51.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.5
43.4%
33.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
70.3%16.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.5
28.3%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.3%13.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WW
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#5
+3.5
Net rating
-14.2
117.3
Offensive rating
98.1
113.8
Defensive rating
112.3
60.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
60.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
22.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
43.4%
3-point %
28.3%
70.2%
Assist %
70.9%
100%
Form (last 2/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 98.1Defence113.8 · 112.3Shooting60.6% · 48.8%3-point %43.4% · 28.3%Ball care22.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.9% · 19.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 2/10)100% · 50%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
No previous meetings.
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ANeptunas 290-82
05/10/23HKauno Atletas81-80
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ARytas 295-86
05/10/23AVilkaviskis60-88
23/03/23ARytas 285-92
21/03/23HRytas 2101-84
18/03/23ARytas 286-94
16/03/23HRytas 279-84
11/03/23AKretinga90-63
04/03/23HVilkaviskis88-84
02/03/23ADelikatesas Joniskis67-76
25/02/23HPalangos Kursiai79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.581.090.0
Allowed / game81.080.082.0
Point differential+4.5+1.0+8.0
Avg total166.5161.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game77.5-77.5
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-9.5--9.5
Avg total164.5-164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga330100%89.773.0+16.7
2 Vilkaviskis330100%86.373.0+13.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga220100%84.575.5+9.0
4 Delikatesas Joniskis330100%82.774.3+8.3
5 Telsiai220100%78.572.0+6.5
6 Jurbarkas220100%85.581.0+4.5
7 Kretinga21150%84.082.0+2.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas21150%77.587.0-9.5
9 Kauno Atletas31233%81.784.0-2.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 241325%71.875.8-4.0
11 Vytis VDU3030%80.384.0-3.7
12 Neptunas 23030%80.091.0-11.0
13 Rytas 23030%74.385.7-11.3
14 Silute3030%71.084.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas816143270
Ukmerges Stekas2018211473
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