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Kansas State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-64 (OT)
26-31 28-23 14-10
Position#151
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game67.6
Kansas State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#58
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kansas State v Baylor
17 Feb 2026
KANS90
BAYL74
16 Jan 2024
KANS68
BAYL64
21 Feb 2023
KANS75
BAYL65
09 Feb 2022
KANS60
BAYL75
19 Dec 2020
KANS69
BAYL100
03 Feb 2020
KANS67
BAYL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#294
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
H29/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
H02/12
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
H06/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A09/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H06/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
31-31
23-31
42-34
33-25
30-38
42-34
33-26
34-31
12-31
33-29
36-31
27-30
35-25
35-19
42-33
40-42
41-25
33-22
26-38
134.3Avg total
70.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.267.6142.8+7.675%
Season at home (11)75.666.6142.3+9.082%
Season away (5)74.269.6143.8+4.660%
Last 10 (10)70.463.9134.3+6.580%
Last 5 (5)69.658.8128.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.367.0127.3-6.70%
vs Similar (22)75.170.3145.4+4.873%
vs Weaker (5)82.869.2152.0+13.680%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
W
108-70
108
70
+38
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A16/12
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
107-48
107
48
+59
H23/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
75-70 OT
75
70
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-25
58-45
40-14
51-26
42-32
36-28
17-45
47-43
32-34
38-44
50-20
57-28
58-42
40-37
27-31
33-29
33-39
48-33
27-27
35-32
149.8Avg total
83.4Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.168.9154.9+17.288%
Season at home (11)89.563.9153.5+25.6100%
Season away (5)78.479.8158.2-1.460%
Last 10 (10)83.466.4149.8+17.080%
Last 5 (5)84.665.6150.2+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (18)74.773.9148.6+0.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.663.0151.6+25.6100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +9.8+9.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +9.8+9.8
Kansas StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#294
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H06/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H03/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H06/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A13/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
34.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.966.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (21)34.530.765.2+3.962%-
Last 30 away (9)33.834.968.7-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.464.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.462.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (22)32.732.164.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.272.2+9.860%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
40-14
40
14
+26
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
17-45
17
45
-28
A16/12
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H23/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H14/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
37.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.070.2+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.532.470.8+6.165%-
Last 30 away (10)34.834.269.0+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.968.5+6.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.870.8+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (18)33.935.169.1-1.239%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.028.571.5+14.591%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kansas State wins
7
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
22/02/23Kansas State v Baylor75-65
07/01/23Baylor v Kansas State95-97 OT
10/02/22Kansas State v Baylor60-75
26/01/22Baylor v Kansas State74-49
11/03/21Baylor v Kansas State74-68
28/01/21Baylor v Kansas State107-59
19/12/20Kansas State v Baylor69-100
26/02/20Baylor v Kansas State85-66
04/02/20Kansas State v Baylor67-73
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ATexas Tech59-60
10/01/24AWest Virginia81-67
06/01/24HUCF Knights77-52
03/01/24HChicago State62-55
22/12/23HWichita State69-60
17/12/23HNebraska46-62
09/12/23ALSU75-60
06/12/23HVillanova72-71 OT
02/12/23HNorth Alabama75-74 OT
29/11/23HOral Roberts88-78 OT
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HCincinnati62-59
10/01/24HBrigham Young81-72
06/01/24AOklahoma State75-70 OT
03/01/24HCornell98-79
23/12/23HMiss. Valley St.107-48
21/12/23ADuke70-78
16/12/23AMichigan State64-88
06/12/23HSeton Hall78-60
02/12/23HNorthwestern St.91-40
29/11/23HNicholls State108-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %75%82%60%
Points / game75.275.674.2
Allowed / game67.666.669.6
Point differential+7.6+9.0+4.6
Avg total142.8142.3143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %25%27%20%
Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %88%100%60%
Points / game86.189.578.4
Allowed / game68.963.979.8
Point differential+17.2+25.6-1.4
Avg total154.9153.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1614288%74.851.4+23.4
2 Baylor1614288%86.168.9+17.2
3 Texas Tech1614288%77.664.8+12.8
4 Kansas1614288%78.566.3+12.2
5 Iowa State1613381%81.758.4+23.3
6 Brigham Young1613381%85.663.1+22.5
7 TCU1713476%83.668.6+15.0
8 Cincinnati1713476%79.566.4+13.1
9 Arizona1612475%91.271.9+19.3
10 Kansas State1612475%75.267.6+7.6
11 Utah Utes1712571%80.570.5+10.0
12 Colorado1712571%80.271.1+9.2
13 UCF Knights1510567%74.564.7+9.9
14 Arizona State1610662%69.270.8-1.5
15 Oklahoma State168850%72.868.1+4.8
16 West Virginia1661038%67.971.7-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Kansas State26281468
Baylor31231064
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