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Duke vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-70
34-32 44-38
Position#32
Record7-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game66.1
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#58
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Duke v Baylor
23 Mar 2025
DUKE89
BAYL66
20 Dec 2023
DUKE78
BAYL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#352
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-21
50-33
33-41
40-37
31-20
43-45
44-29
46-31
39-29
56-37
31-35
49-27
32-33
43-47
31-35
37-37
45-27
35-29
44-39
45-29
147.7Avg total
81.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.666.1147.7+15.570%
Season at home (7)85.663.4149.0+22.186%
Season away (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)81.666.1147.7+15.570%
Last 5 (5)78.467.6146.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.266.4137.5+4.864%
vs Weaker (17)78.865.0143.8+13.882%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H08/11
NCAA
John Brown
#414
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
99-61
99
61
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
108-70
108
70
+38
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
54-39
47-34
49-36
40-34
37-28
51-33
48-28
44-26
44-46
41-41
54-50
50-25
58-45
40-14
51-26
42-32
36-28
17-45
47-43
158.0Avg total
88.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.469.6158.0+18.890%
Season at home (7)91.063.6154.6+27.4100%
Season away (3)82.383.7166.0-1.367%
Last 10 (10)88.469.6158.0+18.890%
Last 5 (5)87.269.8157.0+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.075.6151.6+0.456%
vs Weaker (11)84.563.0147.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +10.9+10.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +10.9+10.9
DukeBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#352
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.067.0+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.870.5+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)32.430.162.5+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.968.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.870.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.432.566.8+1.973%-
vs Weaker (17)37.730.868.5+6.971%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/11
NCAA
John Brown
#414
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H12/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
40-14
40
14
+26
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
17-45
17
45
-28
A16/12
NCAA
73.3Avg total
40.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.270.7+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.432.871.2+5.668%-
Last 30 away (11)36.034.070.0+2.055%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.773.3+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.469.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.035.470.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)41.928.770.6+13.291%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Baylor wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HHofstra89-68
09/12/23HCharlotte80-56
02/12/23AGeorgia Tech68-72
30/11/23AArkansas75-80
24/11/23HSouthern Indiana80-62
22/11/23HLa Salle95-66
17/11/23HBucknell90-60
15/11/23AMichigan State74-65
11/11/23HArizona73-78
07/11/23HDartmouth92-54
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AMichigan State64-88
06/12/23HSeton Hall78-60
02/12/23HNorthwestern St.91-40
29/11/23HNicholls State108-70
24/11/23AFlorida95-91
23/11/23AOregon State88-72
15/11/23HUMKC99-61
12/11/23HGardner Webb77-62
09/11/23HJohn Brown96-70
08/11/23HAuburn88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%86%33%
Points / game81.685.672.3
Allowed / game66.163.472.3
Point differential+15.5+22.1+0.0
Avg total147.7149.0144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%100%67%
Points / game88.491.082.3
Allowed / game69.663.683.7
Point differential+18.8+27.4-1.3
Avg total158.0154.6166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 Wake Forest107370%79.968.4+11.5
10 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
11 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
12 SMU Mustangs128467%75.162.0+13.1
13 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Florida State105550%77.274.6+2.6
16 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
17 California114736%76.075.9+0.1
18 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston11110100%75.851.2+24.6
2 Brigham Young1110191%89.161.2+27.9
3 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
4 Baylor109190%88.469.6+18.8
5 Arizona98189%92.967.0+25.9
6 TCU98189%87.466.2+21.2
7 Iowa State119282%86.959.1+27.8
8 Cincinnati119282%82.565.7+16.8
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Texas Tech108280%75.665.5+10.1
11 Utah Utes108280%80.271.0+9.2
12 Kansas State118373%77.771.5+6.2
13 UCF Knights107370%77.666.0+11.6
14 Arizona State106460%69.070.0-1.0
15 Oklahoma State116555%74.766.8+7.9
16 West Virginia104640%65.767.9-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke344478
Baylor323870
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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