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Karhu Basket vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 89-103
23-19 21-31 23-27 22-26
Position#50
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Karhu Basket
vs
Juventus 🏆
Position#18
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Arena SamElyon
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
98avg 72
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
107-78
107
78
+29
105avg 72
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
85avg 72
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 72
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 72
H12/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
99-87
99
87
+12
94avg 72
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
35avg 72
A26/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
65avg 72
H29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 72
A03/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
56-68
56
68
-12
38avg 72
H06/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
35-30
23-27
20-20
25-26
32-14
31-20
19-18
26-21
25-15
16-21
26-22
19-19
23-30
32-18
22-15
20-21
23-16
21-21
23-21
25-30
16-26
28-18
30-13
17-17
12-24
12-28
15-20
26-20
11-16
19-25
24-28
22-14
19-28
22-21
16-19
11-18
17-18
15-13
13-19
168.7Avg total
85.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.683.1168.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)74.083.0157.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.881.8154.7-9.017%
vs Similar (10)85.880.4166.2+5.470%
vs Weaker (14)89.679.4169.0+10.193%
JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-96
75
96
-21
62avg 78
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
94-86
94
86
+8
81avg 78
H30/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
99avg 78
A03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-104
90
104
-14
80avg 78
H07/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 78
H10/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
92avg 78
H14/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
88-100
88
100
-12
86avg 78
A17/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
84avg 78
A20/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 78
A25/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
78avg 78
H27/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-21
18-31
24-26
27-23
27-24
23-21
17-18
25-18
23-26
23-21
23-20
21-21
23-30
24-26
22-27
22-19
26-23
26-22
28-15
29-22
29-24
22-22
21-23
15-25
28-21
28-28
17-26
20-32
26-22
15-22
28-18
25-28
21-18
13-23
18-14
25-19
26-23
17-22
22-29
181.1Avg total
90.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.091.1181.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)89.092.2181.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.293.3174.5-12.28%
vs Similar (14)91.493.3184.7-1.950%
vs Weaker (4)87.079.8166.8+7.275%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
Karhu BasketJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H06/05
Korisliiga
85.3Avg total
42.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.584.8+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.237.882.0+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.443.387.7+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.485.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.277.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.338.374.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)40.941.782.6-0.850%-
vs Weaker (14)50.140.690.8+9.571%-
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H07/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H10/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H14/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A20/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/05
LKL
92.8Avg total
47.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.688.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.944.389.2+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)43.145.088.1-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)47.145.792.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.846.895.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.345.186.4-3.825%-
vs Similar (14)46.945.192.1+1.857%-
vs Weaker (4)42.241.583.8+0.850%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.8
49.9%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.9
31.4%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
74.1%13.3
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.2
57.6%
52.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
74.1%17.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LLLLWWWWWW
Juventus
LLLLWWLWWL
#50
League position
#18
+3.3
Net rating
-1.4
111.8
Offensive rating
122.5
108.5
Defensive rating
123.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
57.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.4%
3-point %
37.5%
56.4%
Assist %
56.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 122.5Defence108.5 · 123.9Shooting48.7% · 57.2%3-point %31.4% · 37.5%Ball care13.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karhu Basket wins
0
Juventus wins
No previous meetings.
Karhu Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HHelsinki Seagulls56-68
03/05/25AHelsinki Seagulls79-82
29/04/25HHelsinki Seagulls80-89
26/04/25AHelsinki Seagulls56-89
15/04/25AKataja99-87
12/04/25HKataja87-79
09/04/25AKataja96-82
05/04/25HKataja93-79
28/03/25HPyrinto Tampere107-78
26/03/25APyrinto Tampere103-98
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/25HLietkabelis90-93
25/05/25ALietkabelis77-83
20/05/25ALietkabelis89-94
17/05/25ANeptunas88-100
14/05/25HNevezis101-91
10/05/25HSiauliai102-79
07/05/25HRytas90-104
03/05/25AMazeikiai94-85
30/04/25HBC Wolves94-86
26/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas75-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Champions League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Juventus
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chalon/Saone110100%107.080.0+27.0
2 PAOK110100%79.067.0+12.0
3 Reggiana110100%99.087.0+12.0
4 Antwerp Giants110100%79.071.0+8.0
5 Bursaspor110100%81.074.0+7.0
6 FC Porto110100%83.079.0+4.0
7 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
8 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
9 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
10 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
11 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
12 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2321232289
Juventus19312726103
← all games of the day
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