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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-79
20-21 23-16 21-21 23-21
Position#2
Record27-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#3
Record21-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game85.6
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Semi-finals· IKH Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
87avg 74
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-71
90
71
+19
80avg 74
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 74
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 74
A14/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
74avg 74
H19/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
76avg 74
H23/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
98avg 74
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
107-78
107
78
+29
105avg 74
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
85avg 74
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 74
A09/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
40-20
11-20
16-14
23-15
17-16
27-19
23-21
18-21
19-23
20-20
18-18
29-15
24-13
12-21
20-24
15-21
26-18
23-22
21-22
21-26
23-20
17-15
26-20
25-21
35-30
23-27
20-20
25-26
32-14
31-20
19-18
26-21
25-15
16-21
26-22
19-19
23-30
32-18
22-15
171.5Avg total
91.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.480.3165.7+5.273%
Season at home (19)87.176.6163.7+10.584%
Season away (18)83.784.2167.8-0.561%
Last 10 (10)91.679.9171.5+11.790%
Last 5 (5)97.283.6180.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.387.3165.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.182.4166.5+1.760%
vs Weaker (17)88.080.0168.0+8.082%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
105-84
105
84
+21
105avg 81
H28/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 81
A05/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
82avg 81
H08/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 81
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
90avg 81
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
109-69
109
69
+40
117avg 81
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
89avg 81
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 81
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 81
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 81
H09/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
21-24
31-23
24-22
13-23
18-22
21-15
19-22
21-18
23-19
20-20
18-18
23-26
37-19
23-37
11-19
35-24
21-30
16-24
29-29
24-15
36-11
27-23
22-20
16-30
23-16
26-18
29-12
13-25
30-16
21-20
29-20
21-26
15-25
21-16
22-26
19-19
30-23
18-32
15-22
177.4Avg total
91.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)88.985.6174.4+3.357%
Season at home (19)91.987.0178.9+4.963%
Season away (18)85.784.1169.7+1.650%
Last 10 (10)91.086.4177.4+4.650%
Last 5 (5)91.483.0174.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.396.0184.3-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.788.1174.9-1.447%
vs Weaker (12)88.881.5170.2+7.267%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H01/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A14/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H23/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/04
Korisliiga
89.5Avg total
49.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.386.0+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.783.6+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)45.743.188.9+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.340.289.5+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.844.495.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.741.080.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.641.381.9-0.740%-
vs Weaker (17)48.141.489.4+6.765%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/04
Korisliiga
89.4Avg total
46.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.485.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.188.5+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.140.682.8+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.689.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.748.096.7+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.341.385.6+2.960%-
vs Weaker (12)43.639.883.4+3.867%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.4
52.8%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
34.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.412.7
62.3%
73.9%12.7
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.2
58.9%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.514.0
80.0%
73.9%14.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WWWWWWWLWW
Kataja
LLWWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#3
+15.4
Net rating
+6.7
117.7
Offensive rating
117.6
102.2
Defensive rating
110.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
36.1%
57.9%
Assist %
66.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 117.6Defence102.2 · 110.8Shooting53.9% · 56.7%3-point %36.9% · 36.1%Ball care14.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds37.5% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Karhu Basket wins
5
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
02/03/24Kataja v Karhu Basket84-92
03/01/24Kataja v Karhu Basket78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25AKataja96-82
05/04/25HKataja93-79
28/03/25HPyrinto Tampere107-78
26/03/25APyrinto Tampere103-98
23/03/25HPyrinto Tampere87-81
19/03/25HSalon Vilpas85-83
14/03/25ABisons Loimaa85-73
08/03/25AKataja75-82
05/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls90-71
01/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95-72
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HKarhu Basket82-96
05/04/25AKarhu Basket79-93
29/03/25HBisons Loimaa93-81
26/03/25ABisons Loimaa94-76
22/03/25HBisons Loimaa109-69
19/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-107
12/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94-101
08/03/25HKarhu Basket82-75
05/03/25ABisons Loimaa71-82
28/02/25HSalon Vilpas105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %73%84%61%
Points / game85.487.183.7
Allowed / game80.376.684.2
Point differential+5.2+10.5-0.5
Avg total165.7163.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %57%63%50%
Points / game88.991.985.7
Allowed / game85.687.084.1
Point differential+3.3+4.9+1.6
Avg total174.4178.9169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls3933685%94.882.3+12.5
2 Karhu Basket37271073%85.480.3+5.2
3 Kataja37211657%88.985.6+3.3
4 Salon Vilpas40211952%84.083.2+0.8
5 BC Nokia32161650%84.985.0-0.1
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki37181949%82.182.8-0.7
7 Pyrinto Tampere35171849%84.686.1-1.5
8 Kouvot Kouvola36171947%83.986.1-2.2
9 Bisons Loimaa35142140%79.583.5-4.1
10 Honka32122038%83.387.5-4.1
11 KTP Kotka Basket32112134%85.887.6-1.9
12 Kobrat3252716%78.188.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2023212387
Kataja2116212179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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