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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-99
30-25 26-16 18-28 13-30
Position#3
Record21-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#2
Record28-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.2
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Semi-finals· Motonet Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 82
A05/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
82avg 82
H08/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 82
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
90avg 82
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
109-69
109
69
+40
117avg 82
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
89avg 82
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 82
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 82
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 82
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 82
A12/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
18-22
21-15
19-22
21-18
23-19
20-20
18-18
23-26
37-19
23-37
11-19
35-24
21-30
16-24
29-29
24-15
36-11
27-23
22-20
16-30
23-16
26-18
29-12
13-25
30-16
21-20
29-20
21-26
15-25
21-16
22-26
19-19
30-23
18-32
15-22
21-20
16-23
21-21
21-23
175.1Avg total
88.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)88.685.6174.2+3.055%
Season at home (19)91.987.0178.9+4.963%
Season away (19)85.384.2169.5+1.147%
Last 10 (10)88.486.7175.1+1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.486.6172.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.396.0184.3-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.386.3170.6-2.140%
vs Weaker (12)88.881.5170.2+7.267%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-71
90
71
+19
80avg 74
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 74
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 74
A14/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
74avg 74
H19/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
76avg 74
H23/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
98avg 74
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
107-78
107
78
+29
105avg 74
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
85avg 74
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 74
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
H12/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
17-16
27-19
23-21
18-21
19-23
20-20
18-18
29-15
24-13
12-21
20-24
15-21
26-18
23-22
21-22
21-26
23-20
17-15
26-20
25-21
35-30
23-27
20-20
25-26
32-14
31-20
19-18
26-21
25-15
16-21
26-22
19-19
23-30
32-18
22-15
20-21
23-16
21-21
23-21
171.4Avg total
90.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.580.2165.7+5.274%
Season at home (20)87.176.7163.8+10.485%
Season away (18)83.784.2167.8-0.561%
Last 10 (10)90.880.6171.4+10.290%
Last 5 (5)97.283.2180.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.387.3165.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.482.1166.5+2.364%
vs Weaker (16)88.679.9168.6+8.788%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Korisliiga
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.985.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.741.187.8+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.882.6+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.685.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.748.096.7+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.940.484.3+3.560%-
vs Weaker (12)43.639.883.4+3.867%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A14/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H23/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A26/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H28/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H05/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
Korisliiga
86.9Avg total
46.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.185.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.283.2+4.762%-
Last 30 away (14)45.743.188.9+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.186.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.693.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.741.080.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.840.981.7-0.145%-
vs Weaker (16)48.441.289.6+7.269%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.4
57.3%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.2
35.0%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
73.9%13.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.1
52.2%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.4
64.7%
73.9%13.4
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LLLWWWLLWL
Karhu Basket
WWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+2.4
Net rating
+13.4
113.1
Offensive rating
116.3
110.6
Defensive rating
102.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
36.0%
67.1%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 116.3Defence110.6 · 102.9Shooting55.0% · 53.0%3-point %35.0% · 36.0%Ball care18.6% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.2% · 36.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kataja wins
6
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
08/01/25Kataja v Karhu Basket92-90
09/11/24Karhu Basket v Kataja78-101
11/05/24Karhu Basket v Kataja97-73
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
02/03/24Kataja v Karhu Basket84-92
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AKarhu Basket79-87
09/04/25HKarhu Basket82-96
05/04/25AKarhu Basket79-93
29/03/25HBisons Loimaa93-81
26/03/25ABisons Loimaa94-76
22/03/25HBisons Loimaa109-69
19/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-107
12/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94-101
08/03/25HKarhu Basket82-75
05/03/25ABisons Loimaa71-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HKataja87-79
09/04/25AKataja96-82
05/04/25HKataja93-79
28/03/25HPyrinto Tampere107-78
26/03/25APyrinto Tampere103-98
23/03/25HPyrinto Tampere87-81
19/03/25HSalon Vilpas85-83
14/03/25ABisons Loimaa85-73
08/03/25AKataja75-82
05/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayLLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %55%63%47%
Points / game88.691.985.3
Allowed / game85.687.084.2
Point differential+3.0+4.9+1.1
Avg total174.2178.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %74%85%61%
Points / game85.587.183.7
Allowed / game80.276.784.2
Point differential+5.2+10.4-0.5
Avg total165.7163.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls4034685%94.782.2+12.5
2 Karhu Basket38281074%85.580.2+5.2
3 Kataja38211755%88.685.6+3.0
4 Salon Vilpas41212051%83.983.4+0.5
5 BC Nokia32161650%84.985.0-0.1
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki37181949%82.182.8-0.7
7 Pyrinto Tampere35171849%84.686.1-1.5
8 Kouvot Kouvola36171947%83.986.1-2.2
9 Bisons Loimaa35142140%79.583.5-4.1
10 Honka32122038%83.387.5-4.1
11 KTP Kotka Basket32112134%85.887.6-1.9
12 Kobrat3252716%78.188.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja3026181387
Karhu Basket2516283099
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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