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Neptunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 100-88
25-15 21-28 28-28 26-17
Position#7
Record12-22
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#6
Record16-18
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game87.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Juventus
12 May 2027
NEP v JUV
upcoming
23 Sep 2026
NEP99
JUV84
01 Jun 2026
NEP102
JUV84
27 May 2026
NEP83
JUV96
06 Apr 2026
NEP95
JUV89
08 Nov 2025
NEP85
JUV72
17 May 2025
NEP100
JUV88
30 Nov 2024
NEP63
JUV74
30 Oct 2024
NEP105
JUV74
07 Jan 2024
NEP78
JUV91
18 Oct 2023
NEP92
JUV90
13 Feb 2023
NEP98
JUV97
30 Nov 2022
NEP99
JUV86
06 Nov 2021
NEP79
JUV88
14 Apr 2021
NEP89
JUV91
14 Feb 2021
NEP69
JUV86
14 Oct 2020
NEP88
JUV97
08 Feb 2020
NEP115
JUV89
21 Sep 2019
NEP80
JUV67
25 Apr 2019
NEP101
JUV87
21 Oct 2018
NEP81
JUV70
31 Mar 2018
NEP87
JUV91
10 Dec 2017
NEP109
JUV78
04 May 2017
NEP87
JUV69
29 Apr 2017
NEP93
JUV75
11 Feb 2017
NEP70
JUV79
16 Oct 2016
NEP75
JUV60
24 Jan 2016
NEP101
JUV74
23 Dec 2015
NEP82
JUV65
10 Jun 2015
NEP69
JUV84
04 Jun 2015
NEP64
JUV75
29 May 2015
NEP88
JUV75
31 Mar 2015
NEP69
JUV71
02 Dec 2014
NEP84
JUV73
09 Feb 2014
NEP87
JUV85
03 Jan 2013
NEP96
JUV83
24 Mar 2012
NEP88
JUV69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 80
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 80
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 80
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 80
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 80
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
49-84
49
84
-35
38avg 80
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 80
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 80
H14/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
7-20
8-27
18-22
16-15
21-25
21-27
21-26
21-18
23-20
21-14
26-28
15-17
175.2Avg total
83.9Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.988.4172.3-4.535%
Season at home (17)82.486.1168.5-3.735%
Season away (17)85.490.6176.0-5.335%
Last 10 (10)83.991.3175.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)78.686.6165.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.289.9169.2-10.719%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.991.9178.7-5.014%
vs Weaker (7)90.679.6170.1+11.086%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
98avg 78
H13/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
55avg 78
A16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
85avg 78
H21/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 78
A23/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-96
75
96
-21
62avg 78
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
94-86
94
86
+8
81avg 78
H30/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
99avg 78
A03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-104
90
104
-14
80avg 78
H07/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 78
H10/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
92avg 78
H14/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
24-16
25-25
23-33
20-17
20-23
17-24
18-26
36-24
17-18
25-20
22-32
16-24
17-23
25-13
14-18
16-18
17-21
18-31
24-26
27-23
27-24
23-21
17-18
25-18
23-26
23-21
23-20
21-21
23-30
24-26
22-27
22-19
26-23
26-22
28-15
29-22
29-24
22-22
21-23
183.0Avg total
91.2Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.287.1172.3-2.047%
Season at home (18)88.691.3179.9-2.744%
Season away (16)81.382.5163.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)91.291.8183.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)96.289.0185.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.594.0174.5-13.510%
vs Similar ◀ (16)91.090.6181.6+0.456%
vs Weaker (4)87.079.8166.8+7.275%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
NeptunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H14/05
LKL
85.2Avg total
39.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.884.7-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.542.884.3-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.385.2-5.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.482.4-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.644.983.5-6.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.948.189.0-7.314%-
vs Weaker (7)42.341.083.3+1.343%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A23/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H07/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H10/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H14/05
LKL
89.5Avg total
45.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.687.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.044.189.1+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.242.985.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)45.943.689.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.446.096.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.643.683.2-4.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)46.644.190.7+2.662%-
vs Weaker (4)42.241.583.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.2
59.1%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.2%
75.0%17.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.325.9
57.2%
55.6%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.8
37.1%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
75.0%15.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWLLLLLW
Juventus
WWLWWLLWLL
#7
League position
#6
-9.3
Net rating
-0.3
107.2
Offensive rating
118.8
116.5
Defensive rating
119.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
37.1%
71.8%
Assist %
49.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 118.8Defence116.5 · 119.0Shooting53.9% · 56.7%3-point %31.6% · 37.1%Ball care22.3% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
21/04/25Juventus v Neptunas100-94
12/12/24Juventus v Neptunas82-93
30/11/24Neptunas v Juventus63-74
30/10/24Neptunas v Juventus105-74
06/10/24Juventus v Neptunas92-99
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HMazeikiai85-79
11/05/25ABC Wolves84-96
07/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas49-84
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HNevezis101-91
10/05/25HSiauliai102-79
07/05/25HRytas90-104
03/05/25AMazeikiai94-85
30/04/25HBC Wolves94-86
26/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas75-96
23/04/25AJonava72-78
21/04/25HNeptunas100-94
16/04/25ARytas75-90
13/04/25HJonava109-115 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeWLLWW35%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %35%35%35%
Points / game83.982.485.4
Allowed / game88.486.190.6
Point differential-4.5-3.7-5.3
Avg total172.3168.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Juventus
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game85.288.681.3
Allowed / game87.191.382.5
Point differential-2.0-2.7-1.2
Avg total172.3179.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3432294%91.773.5+18.2
2 Rytas3428682%93.183.4+9.7
3 Jonava34191556%89.489.7-0.3
4 Lietkabelis34181653%82.881.4+1.4
5 BC Wolves34181653%89.889.3+0.5
6 Juventus34161847%85.287.1-2.0
7 Siauliai35142140%91.595.6-4.1
8 Neptunas34122235%83.988.4-4.5
9 Nevezis35112431%90.590.3+0.1
10 Mazeikiai343319%79.398.2-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas25212826100
Juventus1528281788
← all games of the day
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