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Karkkila vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-80
20-30 26-20 14-15 23-15
Position#3
Record15-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#7
Record9-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.5
FinlandI Divisioona A· Karkkila sports hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karkkila v ToPo Helsinki
08 Mar 2026
KARK83
TOPO80
28 Feb 2009
KARK62
TOPO75
15 Nov 2008
KARK93
TOPO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 83
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
102-63
102
63
+39
93avg 83
A08/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
107-73
107
73
+34
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
89avg 83
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 83
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 83
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 83
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
111-92
111
92
+19
103avg 83
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
42avg 83
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
99avg 83
H01/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
21-15
18-19
21-17
28-16
22-22
30-13
22-12
30-13
36-19
16-25
25-16
13-15
32-26
20-15
30-22
24-26
21-34
18-17
21-18
24-13
16-23
19-25
19-24
30-20
29-20
20-24
19-18
35-23
31-18
24-29
21-22
23-24
15-15
8-26
18-22
21-14
22-19
32-24
32-15
172.3Avg total
92.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.379.1171.4+13.275%
Season at home (10)96.178.3174.4+17.880%
Season away (10)88.679.9168.5+8.770%
Last 10 (10)92.879.5172.3+13.370%
Last 5 (5)91.683.6175.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.592.4163.9-20.910%
vs Similar (4)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)95.276.6171.9+18.688%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
69-57
69
57
+12
69avg 77
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
A03/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 77
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
65avg 77
H23/01
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
65-54
65
54
+11
53avg 77
A29/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
62avg 77
H06/02
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
73avg 77
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
52-76
52
76
-24
44avg 77
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
84avg 77
A27/02
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
15-10
24-14
17-17
17-22
12-19
11-20
33-17
8-25
27-19
31-23
29-24
21-21
18-34
17-28
28-15
16-14
17-25
14-14
20-15
20-17
18-19
9-12
18-6
19-30
13-25
25-27
14-21
22-23
14-32
18-17
27-18
16-15
15-22
15-18
6-21
24-19
24-19
26-22
9-26
154.1Avg total
74.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.780.5160.2-0.845%
Season at home (10)78.583.9162.4-5.440%
Season away (10)80.977.2158.1+3.750%
Last 10 (10)74.080.1154.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)70.481.8152.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.890.5166.3-14.717%
vs Similar (11)82.182.0164.1+0.136%
vs Weaker (13)79.577.5156.9+2.062%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
KarkkilaToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H18/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/03
I Divisioona A
88.7Avg total
49.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.083.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.938.483.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.441.684.0+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)49.539.288.7+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.887.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.881.3-6.310%-
vs Similar (4)39.240.880.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.637.486.1+11.281%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A03/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/01
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/01
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A29/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H06/02
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A27/02
I Divisioona A
77.5Avg total
34.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.381.2-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.481.3-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.141.181.1-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)34.942.677.5-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.281.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.045.082.0-8.050%-
vs Similar (11)41.741.683.4+0.155%-
vs Weaker (13)39.839.279.1+0.646%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.3
55.7%
51.5%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
30.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.812.1
61.1%
67.7%12.1
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
51.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.2
28.9%
30.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
67.7%10.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
WLWWLLWWWW
ToPo Helsinki
LLLLWLLWLW
#3
League position
#7
+11.6
Net rating
-6.7
99.4
Offensive rating
83.7
87.9
Defensive rating
90.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.7%
3-point %
28.9%
51.4%
Assist %
74.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 83.7Defence87.9 · 90.4Shooting54.3% · 46.4%3-point %34.7% · 28.9%Ball care14.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Karkkila   ■ ToPo Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Karkkila wins
2
ToPo Helsinki wins
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia107-72
22/02/26AACO Basket64-87
15/02/26HHelsingin NMKY111-92
07/02/26AHuima98-82
31/01/26HJyvaskyla78-85
25/01/26HKipina84-95
23/01/26ARaiders Basket95-78
18/01/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki107-73
08/01/26ALappeenranta102-63
21/12/25HRaholan Pyrkiva82-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ARaiders Basket83-86
20/02/26HPyrinto Akatemia52-76
13/02/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki81-90
06/02/26HACO Basket71-103
29/01/26ALappeenranta65-54
23/01/26HHelsingin NMKY67-68
18/01/26AKipina84-98
09/01/26HHuima95-91
03/01/26ARaholan Pyrkiva73-78
19/12/25AJyvaskyla69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%80%70%
Points / game92.396.188.6
Allowed / game79.178.379.9
Point differential+13.2+17.8+8.7
Avg total171.4174.4168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game79.778.580.9
Allowed / game80.583.977.2
Point differential-0.8-5.4+3.7
Avg total160.2162.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%30%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket2120195%92.869.4+23.4
2 Kipina2116576%95.985.0+10.9
3 Karkkila2015575%92.379.1+13.2
4 Jyvaskyla2115671%84.877.7+7.1
5 Raholan Pyrkiva2112957%75.675.4+0.2
6 Helsingin NMKY20101050%79.785.5-5.8
7 ToPo Helsinki2091145%79.780.5-0.8
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki2191243%80.080.3-0.3
9 Pyrinto Akatemia2171433%76.185.8-9.7
10 Huima2151624%77.886.7-8.9
11 Lappeenranta2041620%72.785.1-12.4
12 Raiders Basket2121910%72.889.9-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila2026142383
ToPo Helsinki3020151580
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