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Karpos vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-71
18-25 25-8 21-23 13-15
Position#11
Record0-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game82.8
Karpos 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record8-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A07/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H12/10
BIBL
Cibona
#7
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/11
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
14-21
22-20
25-17
10-24
22-18
19-14
8-27
20-22
21-20
20-20
16-22
16-18
14-32
15-26
15-18
19-30
22-27
16-25
22-20
25-20
15-16
24-22
16-24
25-8
6-16
11-24
29-26
13-19
17-19
20-17
23-18
16-18
15-18
15-17
16-14
33-19
15-14
12-26
18-15
155.9Avg total
72.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.882.8154.5-11.00%
Season at home (3)79.785.0164.7-5.30%
Season away (5)67.081.4148.4-14.40%
Last 10 (10)72.883.1155.9-10.310%
Last 5 (5)74.876.8151.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.890.8159.5-22.00%
vs Similar (8)73.176.8149.9-3.612%
vs Weaker (18)85.673.9159.4+11.767%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A06/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H09/10
ABA League
Murcia
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A12/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
W
93-92
93
92
+1
A15/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H19/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H22/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A29/10
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A02/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H09/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-16
20-22
15-25
24-14
23-16
15-11
29-21
16-19
20-19
16-22
25-26
24-21
25-21
22-21
22-29
19-31
15-24
14-19
14-12
23-20
27-22
18-9
17-17
18-11
12-26
15-9
19-15
16-25
19-17
22-28
22-14
23-16
28-25
21-27
23-11
12-21
5-10
13-19
14-18
154.2Avg total
77.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.275.2162.5+12.0100%
Season at home (4)94.074.5168.5+19.5100%
Season away (4)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.576.7154.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)73.472.0145.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.581.0146.5-15.50%
vs Similar (4)72.269.0141.2+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.072.3156.3+11.786%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
KarposBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H12/10
BIBL
Cibona
#7
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/11
BIBL
76.1Avg total
35.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.677.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)38.039.577.5-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.576.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.469.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.047.883.8-11.80%-
vs Similar (8)33.239.072.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker (18)42.636.479.0+6.172%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A06/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H09/10
ABA League
Murcia
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H22/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/10
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/11
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H09/11
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
39.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.677.5+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.579.6+4.686%-
Last 30 away (16)39.835.975.6+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.279.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.541.572.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (4)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.835.979.7+8.091%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.114.1
45.4%
51.9%28.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.4%
34.3%22.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.0
79.2%
73.3%18.0
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.5%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.1
42.2%
34.3%30.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.6%
73.3%16.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
WLLLLLLLLL
Buducnost
LWLWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-16.8
Net rating
+15.8
94.1
Offensive rating
118.4
110.9
Defensive rating
102.6
44.8%
Effective FG%
58.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.4%
3-point %
42.2%
68.4%
Assist %
67.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 118.4Defence110.9 · 102.6Shooting44.8% · 58.7%3-point %29.4% · 42.2%Ball care16.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds19.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Karpos   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
0
Buducnost wins
No previous meetings.
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/16HTirana78-74
07/11/16AFMP Beograd62-67
31/10/16HPetrol Olimpija83-87 OT
23/10/16AMZT Skopje71-74
18/10/16ATrepca80-82
15/10/16ACibona79-102
12/10/16HSutjeska60-94
10/10/16HPartizan77-84
07/10/16AMornar Bar59-83
05/10/16HIgokea79-84
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/16HBayern44-68
05/11/16HCibona95-79
02/11/16AZenit Petersburg79-84
29/10/16APartizan64-61
22/10/16HMornar Bar85-68
19/10/16HUnicaja62-86
15/10/16AIgokea93-92
12/10/16AMurcia77-86
09/10/16HKK Krka Novo mesto91-62
06/10/16AMega Bemax85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.879.767.0
Allowed / game82.885.081.4
Point differential-11.0-5.3-14.4
Avg total154.5164.7148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.294.080.5
Allowed / game75.274.576.0
Point differential+12.0+19.5+4.5
Avg total162.5168.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda880100%83.466.0+17.4
2 Buducnost880100%87.275.2+12.0
3 Cibona86275%86.179.5+6.6
4 Partizan86275%75.870.6+5.1
5 Cedevita85362%85.874.8+11.0
6 KK Krka Novo mesto74357%74.178.3-4.1
7 Igokea94544%75.677.0-1.4
8 FMP Beograd83538%72.175.0-2.9
9 Zadar83538%77.290.6-13.4
10 Mega Bemax93633%82.785.7-3.0
11 Petrol Olimpija72529%82.683.7-1.1
12 Mornar Bar82625%72.976.2-3.4
13 MZT Skopje82625%73.185.0-11.9
14 Karpos8080%71.882.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos1825211377
Buducnost258231571
← all games of the day
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