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Bursaspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-93
20-28 29-20 23-26 26-19
Position#9
Record8-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#4
Record14-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 20· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
82-105
82
105
-23
75avg 80
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 80
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 80
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 80
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 80
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
85-111
85
111
-26
74avg 80
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 80
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 80
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
90avg 80
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 80
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-26
21-21
20-35
16-22
21-23
27-26
23-13
23-22
28-14
27-25
26-32
17-25
20-29
20-22
28-21
15-28
27-17
19-20
20-20
30-25
10-30
26-24
19-32
23-25
27-21
14-28
16-22
16-21
23-20
17-22
12-20
22-25
22-18
18-16
26-29
28-21
21-18
21-19
23-18
179.0Avg total
86.2Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.789.2173.9-4.542%
Season at home (10)86.794.5181.2-7.830%
Season away (9)82.483.3165.8-0.956%
Last 10 (10)86.292.8179.0-6.630%
Last 5 (5)84.692.8177.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)87.793.4181.1-5.833%
vs Similar (18)86.487.8174.2-1.450%
vs Weaker (3)90.379.3169.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 84
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
89avg 84
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
56avg 84
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
84avg 84
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 84
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 84
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 84
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
92avg 84
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 84
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 84
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-26
14-10
20-17
24-17
16-27
25-17
28-20
18-24
15-25
17-25
20-21
20-25
29-20
11-25
22-20
31-25
22-16
14-17
21-25
17-25
22-24
16-14
25-16
23-13
25-26
22-25
13-24
23-24
20-21
27-29
25-27
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
14-26
21-21
15-18
22-19
171.0Avg total
84.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.984.2172.1+3.774%
Season at home (9)94.184.0178.1+10.1100%
Season away (10)82.384.3166.6-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.586.5171.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)87.088.4175.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.884.8161.5-8.025%
vs Similar (15)90.988.1178.9+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.377.0166.3+12.390%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.3Avg total
43.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.484.0-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.543.984.5-3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.983.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.388.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.889.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.646.387.9-4.833%-
vs Similar (18)41.041.382.3-0.350%-
vs Weaker (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
87.6Avg total
43.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.587.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.341.688.9+5.777%-
Last 30 away (17)42.643.285.9-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.287.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.846.583.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (15)47.443.290.6+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.939.783.6+4.270%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
76.0%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.124.9
62.1%
54.1%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.0%
35.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
76.0%17.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
WLLLLLLWWL
Tofas
LWLLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#4
+4.6
Net rating
+3.6
114.5
Offensive rating
113.8
109.9
Defensive rating
110.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.4%
3-point %
30.0%
55.0%
Assist %
67.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 113.8Defence109.9 · 110.2Shooting53.8% · 56.2%3-point %34.4% · 30.0%Ball care14.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds34.8% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bursaspor wins
6
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Tofas v Bursaspor94-71
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATurk Telekom93-76
08/02/25HFenerbahce97-98 OT
02/02/25AAnadolu Efes68-83
25/01/25HManisa80-96
18/01/25HPetkim Spor85-111
13/01/25ADarussafaka81-85
04/01/25HMersin SK85-97
30/12/24HYalovaspor104-93
22/12/24ABuyukcekmece87-84
13/12/24HGalatasaray82-105
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ABilbao72-84
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
12/02/25AMersin SK95-101
09/02/25ABuyukcekmece83-88
05/02/25ABasket Zaragoza80-79
01/02/25HGalatasaray88-83
29/01/25HFC Porto82-90
25/01/25ABesiktas70-95
19/01/25AKarsiyaka93-81
15/01/25AMaroussi77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%30%56%
Points / game84.786.782.4
Allowed / game89.294.583.3
Point differential-4.5-7.8-0.9
Avg total173.9181.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%100%50%
Points / game87.994.182.3
Allowed / game84.284.084.3
Point differential+3.7+10.1-2.0
Avg total172.1178.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1918195%90.980.5+10.4
2 Anadolu Efes1914574%89.979.3+10.7
3 Besiktas1914574%89.181.4+7.7
4 Tofas1914574%87.984.2+3.7
5 Galatasaray2012860%88.383.8+4.5
6 Mersin SK1911858%83.585.6-2.1
7 Bahcesehir Kol.2011955%81.880.1+1.8
8 Petkim Spor1981142%82.883.1-0.3
9 Buyukcekmece1981142%84.985.3-0.4
10 Bursaspor1981142%84.789.2-4.5
11 Karsiyaka2081240%86.387.9-1.6
12 Turk Telekom2081240%82.584.2-1.6
13 Darussafaka2071335%81.287.0-5.7
14 Manisa1961332%86.290.0-3.8
15 Merkezefendi1941521%79.588.3-8.8
16 Yalovaspor2041620%79.588.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2029232698
Tofas2820261993
← all games of the day
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