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Karsiyaka vs Bursaspor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#15
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game84.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Bursaspor
05 Mar 2027
KAR v BUR
upcoming
10 May 2026
KAR84
BUR82
29 Mar 2025
KAR82
BUR78
05 Nov 2023
KAR95
BUR75
26 May 2023
KAR91
BUR83
24 Dec 2022
KAR81
BUR80
16 Oct 2021
KAR76
BUR62
27 Mar 2021
KAR84
BUR85
01 Feb 2020
KAR76
BUR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
72-97
72
97
-25
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
28-30
18-13
29-21
20-14
26-21
20-20
22-19
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
16-25
20-24
14-25
22-23
162.2Avg total
81.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Season at home (3)81.782.3164.0-0.767%
Season away (2)77.082.5159.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)81.380.9162.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.886.9163.7-10.221%
vs Similar (10)86.186.3172.4-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
L
92-94
92
94
-2
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
25-25
15-22
24-19
18-29
20-18
21-19
27-18
24-27
25-10
18-19
24-16
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
20-20
25-21
21-19
27-28
20-20
16-21
31-28
13-21
15-20
13-23
17-22
19-18
165.3Avg total
81.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.484.2160.6-7.820%
Season at home (2)74.584.0158.5-9.50%
Season away (3)77.784.3162.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)81.683.7165.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)76.484.2160.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.392.4172.7-12.222%
vs Similar (12)84.787.0171.7-2.342%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
KarsiyakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.7Avg total
40.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.684.2-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.443.381.8-4.919%-
Last 30 away (14)41.046.087.0-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.781.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.244.082.2-5.816%-
vs Similar (10)41.546.087.5-4.520%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.041.089.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.4Avg total
42.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.045.585.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.986.8-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.246.184.3-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.384.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.847.186.9-7.322%-
vs Similar (12)40.443.183.5-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.2
53.8%
54.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.5
38.3%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
75.4%16.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.2%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.0
38.0%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
75.4%11.7
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LWLWLWLWWW
Bursaspor
LLWLLLWWWL
#10
League position
#15
+1.7
Net rating
-8.2
99.0
Offensive rating
94.0
97.2
Defensive rating
102.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.3%
3-point %
38.0%
61.4%
Assist %
73.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 94.0Defence97.2 · 102.2Shooting55.2% · 57.1%3-point %38.3% · 38.0%Ball care15.1% · 18.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karsiyaka wins
2
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Karsiyaka v Bursaspor84-82
10/01/26Bursaspor v Karsiyaka86-84
29/03/25Karsiyaka v Bursaspor82-78
30/11/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka70-76
01/03/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka68-102
05/11/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor95-75
30/05/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka76-92
26/05/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor91-83 OT
30/04/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka106-99
24/12/22Karsiyaka v Bursaspor81-80
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HFenerbahce72-97
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67
18/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-74
11/04/26HBuyukcekmece96-87
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ACayirova64-83
17/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.80-90
12/10/26AGalatasaray93-88
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82
26/04/26HBuyukcekmece91-72
18/04/26AMersin SK86-84
12/04/26HTurk Telekom92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game79.881.777.0
Allowed / game82.482.382.5
Point differential-2.6-0.7-5.5
Avg total162.2164.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game76.474.577.7
Allowed / game84.284.084.3
Point differential-7.8-9.5-6.7
Avg total160.6158.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%92.883.4+9.4
2 Turk Telekom54180%80.471.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Esenler Erokspor54180%85.682.8+2.8
5 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
6 Trabzonspor53260%82.281.8+0.4
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray52340%88.680.2+8.4
9 Korfez Basket52340%81.883.6-1.8
10 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
11 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
12 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
13 Denizli Basket51420%80.885.8-5.0
14 Bordo Bandirma51420%79.085.2-6.2
15 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
16 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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