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Karsiyaka vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 72-97
16-25 20-24 14-25 22-23
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 5· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce
25 Oct 2026
KAR72
FEN97
31 Jan 2026
KAR55
FEN91
05 Jan 2025
KAR90
FEN101
09 Oct 2023
KAR84
FEN79
13 Mar 2023
KAR102
FEN98
27 Mar 2022
KAR74
FEN72
12 Dec 2020
KAR83
FEN79
01 Dec 2019
KAR68
FEN57
01 Apr 2019
KAR81
FEN88
11 Mar 2018
KAR69
FEN74
26 Feb 2017
KAR73
FEN85
19 Feb 2016
KAR72
FEN82
20 Feb 2015
KAR69
FEN74
07 Feb 2014
KAR82
FEN73
06 Feb 2013
KAR69
FEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best odds4.40
Implied22.6%
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.25
Implied77.4%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
19-23
19-20
21-21
21-23
28-30
18-13
29-21
20-14
26-21
20-20
22-19
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
16-14
15-34
31-18
22-16
15-17
29-20
15-16
13-20
18-13
17-21
15-14
15-17
13-20
21-22
24-28
24-22
24-22
24-19
23-21
24-17
163.1Avg total
82.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.878.8160.5+3.050%
Season at home (2)86.575.0161.5+11.5100%
Season away (2)77.082.5159.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)82.780.4163.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.487.3164.6-9.921%
vs Similar (10)86.186.3172.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H02/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
27-23
22-23
18-24
31-15
19-16
25-20
25-25
26-14
16-25
13-12
21-15
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
162.1Avg total
83.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.287.2173.5-1.050%
Season at home (2)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
Season away (2)91.591.5183.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.278.9162.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)82.874.6157.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.789.7162.3-17.00%
vs Similar (18)82.878.4161.2+4.472%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.176.8165.9+12.3100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Actual: Over 158
Over 158
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under 158
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 163.25 · main lineActual: Over 163.25
Over 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 168Actual: Over 168
Over 168
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 168
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Karsiyaka total 73.5Actual: Karsiyaka under 73.5
Over 73.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 73.5
no forecast
@ 2.24
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.24
Karsiyaka total 77.5 · main lineActual: Karsiyaka under 77.5
Over 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.64
Karsiyaka total 81.5Actual: Karsiyaka under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.56
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.34
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.56
Under
1xBet
1.34
Fenerbahce total 82.5Actual: Fenerbahce over 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.32
Fenerbahce total 86.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce over 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.76
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.69
Fenerbahce total 90.5Actual: Fenerbahce over 90.5
Over 90.5
no forecast
@ 2.46
Under 90.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Karsiyaka +6.5Actual: Fenerbahce -6.5
KAR +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.23
FEN -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
Best 5 market prices
KAR
1xBet
2.23
Marathon Be
2.21
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.05
FEN
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.47
Spread Karsiyaka +9.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce -9.5
KAR +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
FEN -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
KAR
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
FEN
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread Karsiyaka +12.5Actual: Fenerbahce -12.5
KAR +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
FEN -12.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
KAR
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.45
FEN
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.26
Marathon Be
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
KarsiyakaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.9Avg total
41.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.75
Last 30 (30)39.944.684.5-4.820%50%
Last 30 at home (15)38.642.981.5-4.320%33%
Last 30 away (15)41.146.387.5-5.220%67%
Last 10 (10)41.041.982.9-0.940%40%
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.644.182.7-5.516%42%
vs Similar (10)41.546.087.5-4.520%60%
vs Weaker (1)48.041.089.0+7.0100%100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
40.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.75
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.4+2.460%53%
Last 30 at home (16)40.137.877.9+2.262%31%
Last 30 away (14)44.041.485.4+2.657%79%
Last 10 (10)40.839.480.2+1.450%50%
Last 5 (5)37.436.674.0+0.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.043.379.3-7.30%67%
vs Similar (18)40.840.481.2+0.456%56%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.136.382.4+9.889%44%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Fenerbahce win
KAR win
no forecast
@ 3.36
FEN win
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Karsiyaka +5.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce -5.5
KAR +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
FEN -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Over/Under 81.75 · main lineActual: Over 81.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Karsiyaka 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Karsiyaka under 38
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
Fenerbahce 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half: KAR + total 81.5
KAR & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
KAR & under
no forecast
@ 5.75
1st half: Draw + total 81.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: FEN + total 81.5
FEN & over
no forecast
@ 2.70
FEN & under
no forecast
@ 2.85
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.04
1st half Spread Karsiyaka +4.5Actual: Fenerbahce -4.5
KAR +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
FEN -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Karsiyaka +6.5Actual: Fenerbahce -6.5
KAR +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
FEN -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.66
1st half Spread Karsiyaka +3.5Actual: Fenerbahce -3.5
KAR +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.04
FEN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Karsiyaka +7.5Actual: Fenerbahce -7.5
KAR +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
FEN -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Fenerbahce (regulation)
KAR
no forecast
@ 3.40
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
FEN
no forecast
@ 1.43

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KAR win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
FEN win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FEN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (KAR:FEN): KAR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
54.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.2
39.0%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.317.6
72.4%
75.4%17.6
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.5
58.7%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.3
34.8%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
75.4%13.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
WLWLWLWWWL
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#5
+3.7
Net rating
+4.9
101.5
Offensive rating
100.7
97.8
Defensive rating
95.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.0%
3-point %
34.8%
59.9%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 100.7Defence97.8 · 95.8Shooting56.3% · 55.7%3-point %39.0% · 34.8%Ball care15.1% · 14.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Karsiyaka wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HCayirova95-79
10/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.82-92
02/10/26HGalatasaray78-71 OT
26/09/26ATurk Telekom72-73
10/05/26HBursaspor84-82
03/05/26ATofas78-87
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67
18/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-74
11/04/26HBuyukcekmece96-87
06/04/26ABesiktas86-92
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84
02/10/26HDubai76-66
29/09/26HBayern100-76
27/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.886.577.0
Allowed / game78.875.082.5
Point differential+3.0+11.5-5.5
Avg total160.5161.5159.5
Over 163.2550%50%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.281.091.5
Allowed / game87.283.091.5
Point differential-1.0-2.0+0.0
Avg total173.5164.0183.0
Over 163.2575%50%100%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%92.883.4+9.4
2 Turk Telekom54180%80.471.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Esenler Erokspor54180%85.682.8+2.8
5 Trabzonspor53260%82.281.8+0.4
6 Karsiyaka42250%81.878.8+3.0
7 Petkim Spor42250%86.086.2-0.2
8 Fenerbahce42250%86.287.2-1.0
9 Tofas42250%81.886.5-4.8
10 Korfez Basket52340%81.883.6-1.8
11 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
12 Galatasaray41325%85.283.2+2.0
13 Bordo Bandirma41325%81.881.0+0.8
14 Denizli Basket51420%80.885.8-5.0
15 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
16 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka1620142272
Fenerbahce2524252397
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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