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Fenerbahce vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-67
27-13 19-20 16-20 16-14
Position#1
Record25-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#13
Record10-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game87.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka
12 Feb 2027
FEN v KAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
FEN87
KAR73
06 May 2025
FEN78
KAR67
21 Jan 2024
FEN93
KAR63
31 Oct 2022
FEN100
KAR88
30 Nov 2021
FEN91
KAR69
04 Apr 2021
FEN117
KAR59
29 Mar 2020
FEN v KAR
upcoming
04 Dec 2018
FEN80
KAR72
05 Nov 2017
FEN97
KAR71
30 Oct 2016
FEN84
KAR75
08 Oct 2014
FEN75
KAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
W
101-93
101
93
+8
100avg 83
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 83
H02/04
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 83
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 83
A10/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 83
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
95avg 83
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 83
H22/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 83
H24/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
98-88 OT
98
88
+10
95avg 83
A29/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 83
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
22-20
25-21
27-23
23-21
27-18
16-23
9-21
19-20
17-26
32-16
26-23
28-13
18-18
22-21
21-25
23-29
15-24
19-16
32-19
20-20
27-12
23-29
25-19
18-22
31-20
14-20
20-16
29-20
32-18
15-19
13-15
20-18
26-22
17-21
17-19
18-26
19-21
13-16
13-16
169.9Avg total
87.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.580.9170.4+8.693%
Season at home (13)90.280.7170.9+9.592%
Season away (14)88.881.1169.9+7.793%
Last 10 (10)87.682.3169.9+5.380%
Last 5 (5)85.679.4165.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)86.583.4169.9+3.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.581.8171.3+7.789%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
84avg 78
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
77avg 78
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#3
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 78
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 78
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 78
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 78
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 78
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 78
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
83avg 78
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
79-100
79
100
-21
73avg 78
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-14
24-25
14-26
16-22
33-22
15-27
24-26
27-19
18-24
18-26
16-24
15-20
26-29
17-21
22-31
17-39
28-18
22-14
16-23
16-24
21-14
21-19
17-21
26-19
10-18
23-17
23-24
22-20
22-26
16-21
15-17
21-22
24-19
17-24
19-16
18-35
15-26
14-16
32-23
173.0Avg total
82.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.187.8172.9-2.738%
Season at home (13)91.387.5178.8+3.862%
Season away (13)78.988.1167.0-9.215%
Last 10 (10)82.190.9173.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)80.886.0166.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.191.4173.6-9.30%
vs Similar (15)84.187.8171.9-3.747%
vs Weaker (7)83.375.6158.9+7.757%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
FenerbahceKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H02/04
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A10/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H24/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.6Avg total
45.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.884.3+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.438.484.7+8.076%-
Last 30 away (13)42.241.783.8+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.787.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.887.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)44.941.486.3+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.139.783.8+4.463%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.2Avg total
41.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.885.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.588.4+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.543.082.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.586.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.683.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.043.984.9-2.943%-
vs Similar (15)41.643.384.9-1.747%-
vs Weaker (7)44.940.385.1+4.643%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.8
55.9%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.314.3
87.7%
76.0%14.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.0
57.1%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
76.0%12.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWLW
Karsiyaka
LWLWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#13
+9.3
Net rating
+1.5
120.7
Offensive rating
110.7
111.4
Defensive rating
109.1
57.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.3%
3-point %
33.1%
56.3%
Assist %
52.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 110.7Defence111.4 · 109.1Shooting57.2% · 54.0%3-point %39.3% · 33.1%Ball care16.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce90-101
21/01/24Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka93-63
09/10/23Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce84-79
13/03/23Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce102-98
31/10/22Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka100-88
27/03/22Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce74-72
30/11/21Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka91-69
04/04/21Fenerbahce v Karsiyaka117-59
12/12/20Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce83-79
01/12/19Karsiyaka v Fenerbahce68-57
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25AMerkezefendi63-79
29/04/25AParis98-88 OT
24/04/25HParis89-72
22/04/25HParis83-78
18/04/25HBahcesehir Kol.95-80
13/04/25ATofas89-88
10/04/25ABayern89-77
05/04/25HTurk Telekom94-85
02/04/25HBarcelona75-83
30/03/25HMersin SK101-93
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AManisa79-100
13/04/25HPetkim Spor93-90 OT
04/04/25ADarussafaka75-84
29/03/25HBursaspor82-78
23/03/25AYalovaspor75-78
15/03/25HBuyukcekmece83-94
08/03/25AGalatasaray80-101
28/02/25HBesiktas79-93
11/02/25HGalatasaray88-97
07/02/25AMersin SK87-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %93%92%93%
Points / game89.590.288.8
Allowed / game80.980.781.1
Point differential+8.6+9.5+7.7
Avg total170.4170.9169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%54%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%62%15%
Points / game85.191.378.9
Allowed / game87.887.588.1
Point differential-2.7+3.8-9.2
Avg total172.9178.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2725293%89.580.9+8.6
2 Besiktas2722581%91.281.8+9.4
3 Anadolu Efes2619773%90.580.3+10.3
4 Bahcesehir Kol.28171161%83.280.2+3.0
5 Tofas28171161%87.986.0+1.9
6 Galatasaray28141450%87.686.2+1.4
7 Mersin SK28141450%82.885.8-3.0
8 Buyukcekmece28131546%85.885.1+0.7
9 Turk Telekom28121643%82.883.9-1.1
10 Petkim Spor28111739%82.184.0-1.9
11 Merkezefendi28111739%82.286.3-4.1
12 Bursaspor28111739%84.890.0-5.2
13 Karsiyaka26101638%85.187.8-2.7
14 Manisa2891932%86.489.1-2.7
15 Darussafaka2891932%82.287.4-5.1
16 Yalovaspor2872125%80.288.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2719161678
Karsiyaka1320201467
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