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Kaspiy Aktau vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-70
18-20 16-16 24-16 25-18
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#7
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game85.7
KazakhstanNational League· Halyk Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe
04 Dec 2024
KASP83
AKTO70
03 Dec 2024
KASP92
AKTO71
06 Mar 2024
KASP58
AKTO89
05 Mar 2024
KASP81
AKTO99
09 Dec 2021
KASP63
AKTO65
08 Dec 2021
KASP64
AKTO61
12 Nov 2021
KASP69
AKTO91
11 Nov 2021
KASP57
AKTO63
13 Dec 2020
KASP103
AKTO75
12 Dec 2020
KASP95
AKTO69
18 Jan 2020
KASP59
AKTO96
17 Jan 2020
KASP99
AKTO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
88avg 64
A09/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
84avg 64
H19/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
71-56
71
56
+15
74avg 64
H20/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 64
A26/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-70
68
70
-2
62avg 64
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
53-65
53
65
-12
48avg 64
A30/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
55avg 64
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 64
H11/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
75avg 64
H12/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 64
H03/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-18
18-18
30-22
24-18
20-23
10-21
28-19
19-7
15-16
18-17
19-16
10-25
16-17
11-20
21-14
21-13
12-18
14-25
21-14
15-18
8-16
11-18
19-13
16-10
13-14
21-17
19-33
15-17
17-23
15-20
26-25
20-16
15-28
15-24
26-10
22-18
17-10
26-18
27-25
146.3Avg total
72.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.573.7147.3-0.245%
Season at home (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
Season away (6)69.273.3142.5-4.233%
Last 10 (10)72.673.7146.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.674.6147.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.689.3157.9-20.714%
vs Similar (8)75.075.4150.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 79
H22/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
54avg 79
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 79
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 79
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 79
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 79
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 79
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 79
A03/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-12
12-22
20-17
32-19
19-12
18-27
12-20
16-18
20-20
11-17
15-20
20-19
22-25
15-27
27-18
32-21
17-30
26-21
26-22
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
165.0Avg total
80.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.385.7167.0-4.333%
Season at home (6)83.080.8163.8+2.250%
Season away (3)78.095.3173.3-17.30%
Last 10 (10)80.684.4165.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)80.887.0167.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.984.4165.3-3.436%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker (6)91.777.3169.0+14.383%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Kaspiy AktauAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H19/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H20/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A26/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A30/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H11/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/12
National League
67.9Avg total
33.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.143.076.1-9.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.043.677.6-9.629%-
Last 30 away (16)32.242.574.8-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.867.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.065.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.145.877.9-13.65%-
vs Similar (8)34.837.672.4-2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.028.067.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
82.1Avg total
41.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.183.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.741.083.7+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)42.941.284.1+1.842%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.582.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.142.383.4-1.129%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)49.236.585.7+12.7100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kaspiy Aktau wins
7
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
03/12/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe92-71
06/03/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe58-89
05/03/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe81-99
27/10/23Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau89-75
26/10/23Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau85-74
14/04/22Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau56-52
13/04/22Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau74-80
09/12/21Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe63-65
08/12/21Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe64-61
12/11/21Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe69-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24HAktobe92-71
12/11/24HAtyrau76-78
11/11/24HAtyrau73-85
31/10/24AIrbis Almaty69-74
30/10/24AIrbis Almaty53-65
27/10/24AAlmaty68-70
26/10/24AAlmaty58-76
20/10/24HAstana 271-56
19/10/24HAstana 282-81
09/10/24ATobol Kostanay84-81
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109
20/10/24HAtyrau101-94
19/10/24HAtyrau84-89
08/10/24HIrbis Almaty62-75
07/10/24HIrbis Almaty81-78
22/05/24HTobol Kostanay74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW45%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game73.578.869.2
Allowed / game73.774.273.3
Point differential-0.2+4.6-4.2
Avg total147.3153.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.383.078.0
Allowed / game85.780.895.3
Point differential-4.3+2.2-17.3
Avg total167.0163.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1210283%83.774.1+9.6
2 Tobol Kostanay86275%90.477.9+12.5
3 Irbis Almaty75271%74.767.7+7.0
4 Almaty95456%78.277.1+1.1
5 Kaspiy Aktau115645%73.573.7-0.2
6 Astana 2104640%75.677.1-1.5
7 Aktobe93633%81.385.7-4.3
8 Pavlodar100100%65.587.3-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau1816242583
Aktobe2016161870
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