PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Almaty vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 76-58
25-10 17-16 20-11 14-21
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game75.0
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#6
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.0
KazakhstanNational League· SC Champ
Other2024-25
Meetings · Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau
17 May 2026
ALMA80
KASP101
16 May 2026
ALMA77
KASP69
22 Feb 2026
ALMA71
KASP83
21 Feb 2026
ALMA79
KASP95
23 Nov 2025
ALMA75
KASP69
22 Nov 2025
ALMA67
KASP70
15 Apr 2025
ALMA80
KASP74
07 Apr 2025
ALMA89
KASP74
27 Oct 2024
ALMA70
KASP68
26 Oct 2024
ALMA76
KASP58
12 Jan 2024
ALMA91
KASP79
11 Jan 2024
ALMA81
KASP84
06 Nov 2020
ALMA72
KASP73
05 Nov 2020
ALMA83
KASP64
02 Mar 2019
ALMA100
KASP78
01 Mar 2019
ALMA89
KASP76
21 Oct 2017
ALMA63
KASP72
16 Jan 2016
ALMA52
KASP63
15 Jan 2016
ALMA66
KASP62
15 Dec 2015
ALMA70
KASP82
09 Feb 2015
ALMA58
KASP75
08 Feb 2015
ALMA81
KASP89
07 Nov 2014
ALMA88
KASP77
25 Feb 2014
ALMA66
KASP81
24 Feb 2014
ALMA69
KASP112
30 Oct 2013
ALMA70
KASP97
29 Oct 2013
ALMA59
KASP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 80
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
62avg 80
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
103-105
103
105
-2
98avg 80
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
89-121
89
121
-32
86avg 80
A30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
85-112
85
112
-27
75avg 80
A31/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
98-108
98
108
-10
82avg 80
H06/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A04/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A05/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-68
89
68
+21
85avg 80
A08/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
81avg 80
A09/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
9-25
13-23
27-15
12-21
20-22
24-27
15-24
23-24
32-20
20-29
28-32
26-31
22-29
25-38
16-23
28-29
23-23
14-29
20-31
29-28
25-24
24-33
20-23
23-22
17-14
19-25
15-16
20-19
19-15
32-26
19-26
19-12
17-17
32-19
21-20
19-15
17-17
28-16
18-21
178.6Avg total
85.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.875.0158.8+8.875%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)83.875.0158.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)85.493.2178.6-7.830%
Last 5 (5)86.681.6168.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.689.2167.8-10.619%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.081.5163.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (7)91.478.7170.1+12.771%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
L
58-89
58
89
-31
48avg 67
H06/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
51-97
51
97
-46
41avg 67
A19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
73-113
73
113
-40
66avg 67
A20/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
57avg 67
A04/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
78avg 67
A05/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
63avg 67
H07/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
88avg 67
A08/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
88avg 67
A09/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
84avg 67
H19/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
71-56
71
56
+15
74avg 67
H20/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
13-31
21-21
10-17
12-17
7-31
17-20
15-29
18-26
24-26
18-30
13-31
13-30
9-23
26-27
21-22
11-23
32-22
21-24
16-26
14-22
16-21
16-20
20-26
23-20
19-26
23-11
18-17
22-23
14-18
18-18
30-22
24-18
20-23
10-21
28-19
19-7
15-16
18-17
19-16
159.4Avg total
71.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season at home (2)76.568.5145.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)83.577.5161.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.787.7159.4-16.040%
Last 5 (5)77.276.2153.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)71.491.2162.6-19.917%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.374.2158.5+10.2100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
AlmatyKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A31/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H06/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A09/10
National League
86.0Avg total
42.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.944.688.5-0.745%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.445.189.5-0.740%-
Last 30 away (19)43.744.388.0-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.686.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)43.548.291.8-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.535.074.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (7)46.436.983.3+9.686%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H06/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A20/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A04/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H19/10
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H20/10
National League
78.2Avg total
33.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.345.680.9-10.313%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.945.980.8-11.119%-
Last 30 away (14)35.745.280.9-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)33.944.378.2-10.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)33.847.581.3-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.238.079.2+3.267%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Almaty wins
5
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau81-84
07/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-82
06/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty75-86
27/03/21Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty87-52
26/03/21Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty89-85
06/11/20Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau72-73
05/11/20Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau83-64
31/10/20Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty65-71
30/10/20Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty62-68
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24APavlodar82-69
08/10/24APavlodar89-68
05/10/24AAstana 290-86
04/10/24AAstana 274-77
06/04/24HTobol Kostanay98-108
31/03/24ATobol Kostanay85-112
30/03/24ATobol Kostanay89-121
17/03/24AIrbis Almaty103-105
16/03/24AIrbis Almaty71-94
06/03/24HAstana 273-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HAstana 271-56
19/10/24HAstana 282-81
09/10/24ATobol Kostanay84-81
08/10/24ATobol Kostanay83-74
07/04/24HAtyrau66-89
05/04/24AAtyrau80-95
04/04/24AAtyrau69-102
20/03/24ATobol Kostanay73-113
19/03/24ATobol Kostanay51-97
06/03/24HAktobe58-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
Home--
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %75%-75%
Points / game83.8-83.8
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+8.8-+8.8
Avg total158.8-158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.076.583.5
Allowed / game73.068.577.5
Point differential+7.0+8.0+6.0
Avg total153.0145.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kaspiy Aktau440100%80.073.0+7.0
2 Almaty43175%83.875.0+8.8
3 Tobol Kostanay42250%93.278.2+15.0
4 Irbis Almaty42250%75.273.0+2.2
5 Atyrau42250%83.083.2-0.2
6 Aktobe42250%82.084.0-2.0
7 Astana 241325%75.079.2-4.2
8 Pavlodar4040%70.897.2-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty2517201476
Kaspiy Aktau1016112158
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.