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Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-73
21-22 21-12 12-22 20-17
Position#3
Record24-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.1
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#4
Record24-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game83.2
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - 3rd place
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay
24 Dec 2024
AKTO73
TOBO78
23 Dec 2024
AKTO70
TOBO78
22 May 2024
AKTO74
TOBO73
21 May 2024
AKTO90
TOBO86
14 Mar 2024
AKTO87
TOBO91
13 Mar 2024
AKTO95
TOBO88
12 Apr 2023
AKTO72
TOBO53
11 Apr 2023
AKTO81
TOBO88
08 Oct 2022
AKTO83
TOBO98
07 Oct 2022
AKTO72
TOBO74
14 May 2022
AKTO81
TOBO73
07 May 2022
AKTO72
TOBO69
06 May 2022
AKTO67
TOBO70
08 Apr 2022
AKTO71
TOBO65
07 Apr 2022
AKTO93
TOBO82
12 Mar 2022
AKTO71
TOBO59
11 Mar 2022
AKTO0
TOBO20
22 Mar 2021
AKTO67
TOBO77
21 Mar 2021
AKTO101
TOBO103
04 Nov 2020
AKTO77
TOBO79
03 Nov 2020
AKTO85
TOBO78
22 Dec 2019
AKTO81
TOBO99
21 Dec 2019
AKTO82
TOBO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 79
A09/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
85-70
85
70
+15
89avg 79
A10/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 79
A19/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
93-78
93
78
+15
85avg 79
A20/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 79
H27/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
86-91
86
91
-5
84avg 79
H28/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-89
105
89
+16
104avg 79
A14/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
97-109
97
109
-12
96avg 79
A15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 79
H21/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
17-19
10-12
24-23
22-20
22-17
24-16
17-17
19-28
14-23
14-19
22-17
17-20
37-14
16-25
23-19
22-23
15-23
15-21
23-6
13-15
24-33
21-16
28-27
25-20
16-22
19-16
18-23
16-24
31-23
27-23
31-19
19-26
24-27
24-21
30-35
18-25
29-18
25-23
18-20
168.1Avg total
84.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.182.1167.2+3.060%
Season at home (19)86.384.2170.5+2.163%
Season away (21)84.080.2164.2+3.757%
Last 10 (10)84.983.2168.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)91.291.2182.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.381.6158.9-4.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.882.3169.1+4.573%
vs Weaker (10)90.276.1166.3+14.180%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
112-85
112
85
+27
120avg 91
H31/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
108-98
108
98
+10
101avg 91
A06/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
91avg 91
A20/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
93avg 91
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
92avg 91
H30/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
63avg 91
H01/05
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 91
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
89-105
89
105
-16
90avg 91
H14/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
111avg 91
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 91
A21/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
23-23
29-14
31-20
28-29
24-25
33-24
23-20
25-21
18-19
13-26
26-12
30-19
24-15
19-24
13-23
22-19
24-27
22-17
19-28
16-25
12-14
22-14
17-25
25-21
12-22
21-20
13-12
24-16
23-31
23-27
19-31
26-19
27-24
21-24
35-30
25-18
18-29
23-25
20-18
177.5Avg total
89.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.683.2172.8+6.562%
Season at home (20)96.885.2181.9+11.670%
Season away (19)82.181.1163.2+1.153%
Last 10 (10)89.787.8177.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.489.0173.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.091.0161.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.386.6171.9-1.343%
vs Weaker (13)102.781.0183.7+21.7100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
AktobeTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A09/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A19/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A20/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H27/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/05
National League
85.4Avg total
42.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.883.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.742.283.8-0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)43.139.782.8+3.459%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.689.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.942.981.8-4.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.542.583.0-2.145%-
vs Weaker (10)48.036.984.9+11.1100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H31/03
National League
Almaty
#6
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A06/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A20/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A21/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H01/05
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/05
National League
89.9Avg total
45.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.789.4+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.642.291.8+7.472%-
Last 30 away (12)42.343.585.8-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.489.9+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.885.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.349.088.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.543.186.6+0.429%-
vs Weaker (13)51.840.892.7+11.092%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aktobe wins
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24HTobol Kostanay90-86
15/05/24ATobol Kostanay97-109
14/05/24ATobol Kostanay105-89
04/05/24AIrbis Almaty78-81
28/04/24HIrbis Almaty86-91
27/04/24HIrbis Almaty75-73
20/04/24AIrbis Almaty93-78
19/04/24AIrbis Almaty69-87
10/04/24AAstana 285-70
09/04/24AAstana 271-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24AAktobe86-90
15/05/24HAktobe109-97
14/05/24HAktobe89-105
06/05/24AAtyrau71-75
01/05/24HAtyrau67-78
30/04/24HAtyrau87-91
21/04/24AAtyrau86-81
20/04/24AAtyrau82-78
06/04/24AAlmaty108-98
31/03/24HAlmaty112-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWLWLW63%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %60%63%57%
Points / game85.186.384.0
Allowed / game82.184.280.2
Point differential+3.0+2.1+3.7
Avg total167.2170.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%26%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL62%
HomeWLLLW70%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %62%70%53%
Points / game89.696.882.1
Allowed / game83.285.281.1
Point differential+6.5+11.7+1.1
Avg total172.8181.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty4036490%87.672.0+15.6
2 Atyrau40271368%80.973.9+7.0
3 Tobol Kostanay39241562%89.683.2+6.5
4 Aktobe40241660%85.182.1+3.0
5 Astana 232141844%76.476.6-0.2
6 Almaty31102132%81.887.0-5.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau3162519%72.689.3-16.7
8 Pavlodar311303%73.492.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2121122074
Tobol Kostanay2212221773
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