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Kastela vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 74-79
20-21 24-23 16-17 14-18
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.0
Kastela
Croatia
vs
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game70.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 3· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Osijek
07 Mar 2026
KAST135
OSIJ62
27 Nov 2024
KAST88
OSIJ73
21 Oct 2023
KAST74
OSIJ79
07 May 2023
KAST74
OSIJ72
09 Oct 2022
KAST80
OSIJ83
16 Dec 2017
KAST96
OSIJ100
16 Apr 2016
KAST68
OSIJ72
03 Oct 2015
KAST89
OSIJ80
14 Apr 2015
KAST77
OSIJ75
07 Feb 2015
KAST87
OSIJ76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 75
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 75
H15/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-14
25-12
20-24
17-16
13-18
15-17
16-18
13-14
14-21
28-12
9-17
13-20
16-12
9-11
23-15
11-29
20-14
21-21
15-22
14-16
14-25
24-22
22-28
18-21
15-14
20-29
17-19
14-23
27-20
23-19
27-24
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
153.8Avg total
76.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.081.0168.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)76.377.5153.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.884.4166.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.578.0150.5-5.538%
vs Similar (6)81.380.5161.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (16)81.470.2151.6+11.294%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
83-53
83
53
+30
no box
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
no box
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
100-69
100
69
+31
102avg 99
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 99
A14/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
20-11
19-8
21-14
17-21
26-21
21-21
15-29
22-18
24-26
30-19
23-33
17-16
19-18
15-14
18-17
13-10
23-13
17-22
14-6
22-21
25-19
26-20
20-24
14-13
21-14
12-28
17-9
21-14
23-22
25-17
17-10
23-20
24-15
32-12
21-22
30-23
23-14
26-21
18-14
156.4Avg total
84.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.570.5169.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)100.069.0169.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.571.9156.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)89.672.4162.0+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.087.2161.2-13.20%
vs Similar (5)69.272.2141.4-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.671.8158.4+14.884%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
KastelaOsijek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
74.5Avg total
36.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.476.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.534.673.1+3.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.680.3-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.174.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.239.172.4-5.912%-
vs Similar (6)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker (16)41.635.877.4+5.881%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A14/10
Prva Liga
77.9Avg total
43.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.379.8+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.835.979.6+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.180.1-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.977.9+8.1100%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.080.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.046.283.2-9.233%-
vs Similar (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.436.680.9+7.884%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.0
50.6%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.510.5
30.4%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
71.2%12.5
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.035.0
68.6%
52.9%70.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.56.0
32.4%
32.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.010.5
55.3%
71.2%10.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WLWLLLWWLW
Osijek
WWWLWWWWLW
#6
League position
#2
+3.7
Net rating
+33.4
106.5
Offensive rating
117.5
102.8
Defensive rating
84.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
63.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
32.4%
65.1%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 117.5Defence102.8 · 84.1Shooting48.4% · 63.3%3-point %30.4% · 32.4%Ball care14.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 23.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Kastela   ■ Osijek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kastela wins
7
Osijek wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Kastela v Osijek74-72 OT
12/04/23Osijek v Kastela79-92
11/01/23Osijek v Kastela87-76
09/10/22Kastela v Osijek80-83
14/04/18Osijek v Kastela87-67
16/12/17Kastela v Osijek96-100
03/05/16Osijek v Kastela87-78
16/04/16Kastela v Osijek68-72
09/01/16Osijek v Kastela82-76
03/10/15Kastela v Osijek89-80
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
27/05/23AZabok91-86
24/05/23HZabok70-83
17/05/23HDubrovnik74-91
13/05/23ADubrovnik67-86
10/05/23AOmis61-58
07/05/23HOsijek74-72 OT
29/04/23ADubrovnik61-69
26/04/23HKK Zagreb91-68
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AMladost97-72
10/10/23HHermes100-69
10/05/23HKvarner86-63
07/05/23AKastela72-74 OT
28/04/23AOmis93-84
26/04/23HDubrovnik67-51
23/04/23AKK Zagreb69-65
15/04/23AKvarner99-96
12/04/23HKastela79-92
01/04/23HOmis83-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.085.089.0
Allowed / game81.072.090.0
Point differential+6.0+13.0-1.0
Avg total168.0157.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.5100.097.0
Allowed / game70.569.072.0
Point differential+28.0+31.0+25.0
Avg total169.0169.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner220100%95.063.5+31.5
2 Osijek220100%98.570.5+28.0
3 KK Zagreb220100%87.565.5+22.0
4 Jazine220100%106.0103.0+3.0
5 Omis21150%84.571.0+13.5
6 Kastela21150%87.081.0+6.0
7 Gorica21150%70.569.0+1.5
8 Mladost21150%81.085.5-4.5
9 Marsonia21150%68.577.5-9.0
10 Hermes21150%76.587.5-11.0
11 Crikvenica2020%73.087.5-14.5
12 Samobor2020%72.587.5-15.0
13 Stoja2020%93.5109.5-16.0
14 Podstrana2020%61.096.5-35.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2024161474
Osijek2123171879
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