Osijek vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 May 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 87-78

27-15 19-26 22-14 19-23

Position#11

Record11-16

FormWWLLL

Points / game70.0

Allowed / game73.7

Osijek 🏆

Kastela

Position#14

Record4-23

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game85.4

Premijer ligaRound 8

Other2015-16

Meetings · Osijek v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Osijek

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

68-77

-9

A12/03

Premijer liga

Kvarner

62-68

-6

H19/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

65-70

-5

A23/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

61-49

+12

H09/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

80-69

+11

H12/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

72-68

A16/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

65-58

H19/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

66-73

-7

A23/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

59-85

-26

A27/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

63-97

-34

A30/04

Premijer liga

7-23

18-16

16-19

27-19

15-18

17-12

16-20

14-18

10-20

17-17

22-13

16-20

18-12

11-13

12-9

20-15

16-13

18-23

19-21

27-12

20-15

20-12

21-20

11-21

12-14

18-21

15-16

20-7

18-25

16-22

15-14

17-12

8-22

22-18

14-25

15-20

17-30

18-19

17-19

11-29

137.5Avg total

66.1Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	70.0	73.7	143.7	-3.7	41%
Season at home (13)	70.8	65.0	135.8	+5.8	77%
Season away (14)	69.2	81.7	150.9	-12.5	7%
Last 10 (10)	66.1	71.4	137.5	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	76.2	141.2	-11.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	62.0	74.2	136.2	-12.2	33%
vs Similar (18)	70.3	74.7	144.9	-4.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	77.8	73.8	151.6	+4.0	60%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

72-74

-2

H12/03

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

82-72

+10

A19/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

61-83

-22

H23/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

55-87

-32

H09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

64-73

-9

A12/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

68-72

-4

H16/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

85-90

-5

A20/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

91-104 OT

104

-13

H23/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

46-89

-43

A26/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

94-71

+23

H30/04

Premijer liga

15-21

17-14

19-23

21-16

27-15

16-17

24-19

15-21

9-21

11-19

16-23

25-20

18-24

11-19

15-18

11-26

17-19

7-21

24-16

16-17

15-20

12-20

20-21

21-11

24-28

22-19

20-15

19-28

19-21

13-18

22-18

32-29

14-24

8-15

14-25

10-25

26-17

22-20

29-16

17-18

153.3Avg total

71.8Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	73.7	85.4	159.1	-11.6	15%
Season at home (14)	75.4	83.4	158.8	-7.9	21%
Season away (13)	71.9	87.5	159.5	-15.6	8%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	81.5	153.3	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	85.2	162.0	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	74.2	86.2	160.4	-12.0	15%
vs Similar (3)	74.7	87.3	162.0	-12.7	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OsijekKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	16.9	35.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	21.5	36.8	-6.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	19.2	33.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.2	36.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.3	19.0	32.3	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	23.1	42.5	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	23.6	41.3	-5.9	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.1	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	18.6	35.8	-1.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.3	34.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.9	18.2	32.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

25-39

-14

A12/03

Premijer liga

Kvarner

32-30

H19/03

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

27-37

-10

A23/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

29-25

H09/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

34-36

-2

H12/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

40-27

+13

A16/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

30-35

-5

H19/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

34-47

-13

A23/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

30-40

-10

A27/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

35-49

-14

A30/04

Premijer liga

68.1Avg total

31.6Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.8	37.9	72.7	-3.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	35.6	71.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	40.0	74.3	-5.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.6	36.5	68.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.6	73.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	29.3	37.2	66.5	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	35.4	38.2	73.6	-2.8	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.4	37.4	76.8	+2.0	60%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

32-35

-3

H12/03

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

43-32

+11

A19/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

20-40

-20

H23/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

29-43

-14

H09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

24-40

-16

A12/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

27-40

-13

H16/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

46-47

-1

A20/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

32-39

-7

H23/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

22-39

-17

A26/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

48-37

+11

H30/04

Premijer liga

71.5Avg total

32.3Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.4	80.1	-6.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	43.3	79.5	-7.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	43.5	80.6	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	39.2	71.5	-6.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.4	75.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	36.2	43.2	79.3	-7.0	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.8	19.0	35.9	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	15.6	32.7	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	22.2	38.8	-5.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.6	34.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	21.0	36.3	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	28%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.5	40.0	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.0	21.4	40.3	-2.4	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	16.8	34.3	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	14.5	32.9	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.9	35.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.3	35.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.8	32.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	16.0	33.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.9	21.0	39.8	-2.1	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.4	35.8	70.2	-1.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	30.1	65.6	+5.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	41.1	74.5	-7.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	34.9	69.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	36.6	67.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.7	37.0	69.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	33.9	35.2	69.1	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	42.6	79.8	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	40.7	80.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	44.5	79.5	-9.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	37.8	42.3	80.2	-4.5	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	43.3	79.0	-7.7	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Osijek wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
16/04/16	Kastela v Osijek	68-72
09/01/16	Osijek v Kastela	82-76
03/10/15	Kastela v Osijek	89-80
06/05/15	Osijek v Kastela	71-75
14/04/15	Kastela v Osijek	77-75
07/02/15	Kastela v Osijek	87-76
08/11/14	Osijek v Kastela	85-75

Osijeklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/16	A	Skrljevo	63-97
27/04/16	A	Alkar	59-85
23/04/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	66-73
19/04/16	H	Zabok	65-58
16/04/16	A	Kastela	72-68
12/04/16	H	Skrljevo	80-69
09/04/16	H	Alkar	61-49
23/03/16	A	GKK Sibenik	65-70
19/03/16	H	Kvarner	62-68
12/03/16	A	Alkar	68-77

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/16	H	Jolly Sibenik	94-71
26/04/16	A	Zabok	46-89
23/04/16	H	Alkar	91-104 OT
20/04/16	A	Skrljevo	85-90
16/04/16	H	Osijek	68-72
12/04/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	64-73
09/04/16	H	Zabok	55-87
23/03/16	H	Zabok	61-83
19/03/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	82-72
12/03/16	H	Skrljevo	72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	41%
Home	LLWWW	77%
Away	LWLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	41%	77%	7%
Points / game	70.0	70.8	69.2
Allowed / game	73.7	65.0	81.7
Point differential	-3.7	+5.8	-12.5
Avg total	143.7	135.8	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	31%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	15%
Home	LLLLW	21%
Away	LWLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	15%	21%	8%
Points / game	73.7	75.4	71.9
Allowed / game	85.4	83.4	87.5
Point differential	-11.6	-7.9	-15.6
Avg total	159.1	158.8	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	10	10	0	100%	92.2	68.0	+24.2
2	Zagreb	30	22	8	73%	82.9	76.7	+6.2
3	Cibona	10	7	3	70%	89.0	76.3	+12.7
4	Kvarner	30	18	12	60%	80.9	79.7	+1.2
5	Split	30	17	13	57%	76.6	74.0	+2.6
6	Zadar	10	5	5	50%	78.2	73.8	+4.4
7	Skrljevo	27	13	14	48%	79.6	79.5	+0.1
8	Alkar	27	13	14	48%	73.3	74.3	-1.0
9	Jolly Sibenik	27	13	14	48%	75.2	76.3	-1.1
10	Gorica	30	14	16	47%	78.7	80.9	-2.3
11	Zabok	27	12	15	44%	70.9	69.4	+1.6
12	Osijek	27	11	16	41%	70.0	73.7	-3.7
13	GKK Sibenik	30	12	18	40%	76.2	83.6	-7.4
14	Kastela	27	4	23	15%	73.7	85.4	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Osijek	27	19	22	19	87
Kastela	15	26	14	23	78

← all games of the day

Osijek vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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