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Kataja vs BC Nokia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-85
20-13 32-25 18-28 11-19
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena (Joensuu)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kataja v BC Nokia
09 Oct 2024
KAT92
NOK74
03 May 2024
KAT104
NOK90
29 Apr 2024
KAT80
NOK93
22 Apr 2024
KAT99
NOK75
17 Feb 2024
KAT81
NOK73
21 Oct 2023
KAT81
NOK85
13 Jan 2023
KAT94
NOK54
10 Jan 2023
KAT95
NOK81
12 Mar 2022
KAT81
NOK92
13 Oct 2021
KAT83
NOK74
13 Jan 2021
KAT98
NOK86
29 Feb 2020
KAT89
NOK86
28 Sep 2019
KAT79
NOK72
08 Mar 2019
KAT93
NOK100
25 Nov 2018
KAT91
NOK82
10 Apr 2018
KAT82
NOK103
03 Jan 2018
KAT86
NOK88
29 Nov 2017
KAT99
NOK76
07 Apr 2017
KAT80
NOK61
03 Apr 2017
KAT81
NOK66
15 Feb 2017
KAT86
NOK70
13 Nov 2016
KAT102
NOK75
05 Apr 2016
KAT99
NOK69
01 Apr 2016
KAT88
NOK94
24 Jan 2016
KAT82
NOK81
24 Oct 2015
KAT107
NOK95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
no box
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-96 OT
107
96
+11
no box
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 65
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 65
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
96-85
96
85
+11
86avg 65
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 65
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 65
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 65
A14/10
Korisliiga
Legia
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
52avg 65
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-27
16-19
26-26
13-21
22-24
20-31
23-23
31-20
24-23
24-17
9-28
10-22
23-18
24-19
22-17
15-23
27-17
21-20
8-18
29-17
24-27
22-18
21-23
14-14
22-22
16-16
16-15
17-13
23-17
12-11
25-30
15-26
20-18
27-20
18-24
15-22
14-23
10-17
23-23
163.2Avg total
79.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.075.5151.5+0.575%
Season at home (2)78.073.5151.5+4.5100%
Season away (2)74.077.5151.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)79.284.0163.2-4.850%
Last 5 (5)76.679.2155.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.288.9161.1-16.80%
vs Similar (17)88.083.4171.4+4.665%
vs Weaker (1)86.084.0170.0+2.0100%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H10/03
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#7
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H17/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A26/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
106-111
106
111
-5
no box
H01/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
no box
A08/04
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
83avg 81
H30/09
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
69avg 81
A07/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 81
A10/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 81
H13/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
24-27
35-20
15-21
29-24
25-23
26-21
23-27
21-18
14-22
25-16
24-22
20-12
14-14
13-36
20-21
33-21
13-28
27-35
33-27
20-21
13-20
18-31
23-29
21-12
17-11
23-15
22-25
17-12
25-15
20-12
18-28
27-24
31-23
26-24
13-20
22-17
22-22
21-24
19-27
173.9Avg total
87.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.077.8163.8+8.275%
Season at home (2)83.576.5160.0+7.050%
Season away (2)88.579.0167.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.886.1173.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)83.682.4166.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.393.2167.5-18.80%
vs Similar (19)82.577.6160.1+4.968%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.066.2144.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
KatajaBC Nokia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Korisliiga
Legia
#6
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
80.7Avg total
39.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.484.3-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.843.487.2+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.581.5-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.780.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.344.780.0-9.325%-
vs Similar (17)44.842.987.8+1.953%-
vs Weaker (1)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H10/03
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#7
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A26/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H01/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/04
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H30/09
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A07/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A10/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/10
Korisliiga
81.4Avg total
43.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.339.380.6+2.059%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.138.381.4+4.869%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.179.9-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.081.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.841.277.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (18)43.240.683.8+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.229.869.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.313.7
48.5%
51.0%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.011.9
32.9%
33.6%35.6
🏀 Free throws15.411.7
75.9%
73.5%11.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.5
58.0%
51.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.2
31.2%
33.6%21.8
🏀 Free throws18.214.2
78.1%
73.5%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LLWWWLWWLL
BC Nokia
LWWWLLLWWW
#7
League position
#2
-3.9
Net rating
+10.3
102.5
Offensive rating
106.6
106.4
Defensive rating
96.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
31.2%
59.2%
Assist %
52.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 106.6Defence106.4 · 96.2Shooting49.0% · 54.0%3-point %32.9% · 31.2%Ball care16.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Kataja   ■ BC Nokia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kataja wins
2
BC Nokia wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Kataja v BC Nokia94-54
10/01/23Kataja v BC Nokia95-81
01/11/22BC Nokia v Kataja75-83 OT
30/03/22BC Nokia v Kataja57-65
12/03/22Kataja v BC Nokia81-92
15/12/21BC Nokia v Kataja73-75
13/10/21Kataja v BC Nokia83-74
13/01/21Kataja v BC Nokia98-86
04/11/20BC Nokia v Kataja90-68
29/02/20Kataja v BC Nokia89-86
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ALegia62-85
14/10/23AKarhu Basket80-88
11/10/23HPyrinto Tampere77-71
08/10/23AKTP Kotka Basket68-67
05/10/23AChernomorets96-85
03/10/23HBoras71-78
30/09/23HKobrat79-76
29/04/23HSalon Vilpas107-96 OT
23/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls78-99
21/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-95
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HSalon Vilpas84-90
10/10/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-91
07/10/23AKarhu Basket80-67
30/09/23HPyrinto Tampere83-63
08/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-101
01/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls106-111
26/03/23AHelsinki Seagulls67-83
22/03/23AKobrat84-78
17/03/23HLahti Basketball103-95
10/03/23HPyrinto Tampere100-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.078.074.0
Allowed / game75.573.577.5
Point differential+0.5+4.5-3.5
Avg total151.5151.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.083.588.5
Allowed / game77.876.579.0
Point differential+8.2+7.0+9.5
Avg total163.8160.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls54180%96.683.6+13.0
2 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki54180%89.684.0+5.6
3 BC Nokia43175%86.077.8+8.2
4 Kataja43175%76.075.5+0.5
5 Kouvot Kouvola53260%96.485.6+10.8
6 Karhu Basket53260%79.278.8+0.4
7 KTP Kotka Basket53260%83.683.8-0.2
8 Kobrat42250%84.880.5+4.2
9 Salon Vilpas52340%82.081.6+0.4
10 Bisons Loimaa51420%83.291.6-8.4
11 Pyrinto Tampere5050%78.493.6-15.2
12 Lahti Basketball4040%88.5109.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2032181181
BC Nokia1325281985
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