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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-80
26-15 18-20 20-27 24-18
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game71.3
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena (Kauhajoki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
54-70
54
70
-16
no box
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A05/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
H08/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A11/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
H13/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
56-92
56
92
-36
47avg 58
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 58
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 58
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 58
A11/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
12-24
12-15
12-15
20-20
18-15
19-28
7-21
23-15
26-20
30-19
17-18
23-16
16-29
18-21
22-19
17-12
12-23
22-21
20-15
12-28
14-20
21-17
19-26
20-19
13-20
11-27
12-26
21-16
22-25
20-19
18-26
12-17
15-25
12-20
28-18
28-13
21-24
8-19
15-13
151.9Avg total
71.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.378.3151.7-5.033%
Season at home (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Season away (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)71.480.5151.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)68.483.6152.0-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)73.081.0154.0-8.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.077.6168.6+13.488%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
no box
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
no box
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-96 OT
107
96
+11
no box
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 67
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 67
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
96-85
96
85
+11
86avg 67
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 67
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 67
H11/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-21
12-22
14-24
10-26
28-27
15-26
18-15
17-23
15-27
16-19
26-26
13-21
22-24
20-31
23-23
31-20
24-23
24-17
9-28
10-22
23-18
24-19
22-17
15-23
27-17
21-20
8-18
29-17
24-27
22-18
21-23
14-14
22-22
16-16
16-15
17-13
23-17
12-11
25-30
163.4Avg total
78.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.771.3146.0+3.3100%
Season at home (2)78.073.5151.5+4.5100%
Season away (1)68.067.0135.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.984.5163.4-5.650%
Last 5 (5)78.275.4153.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.489.4161.8-17.00%
vs Similar (18)88.483.3171.7+5.167%
vs Weaker (2)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H08/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H13/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/10
Korisliiga
76.0Avg total
36.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.479.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.736.177.8+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.441.581.8-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.776.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.477.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)36.539.976.4-3.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.437.282.6+8.269%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/10
Korisliiga
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.584.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.541.986.4+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)38.943.382.2-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.044.780.7-8.730%-
vs Similar (18)45.242.787.9+2.656%-
vs Weaker (2)44.030.074.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.2
46.6%
51.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.66.8
21.5%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
73.5%13.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.615.2
49.7%
51.0%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.211.2
32.7%
33.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.813.4
79.8%
73.5%13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WLLLLWLWLL
Kataja
WWWLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
-18.9
Net rating
+4.6
85.2
Offensive rating
104.8
104.2
Defensive rating
100.2
39.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
21.5%
3-point %
32.7%
57.4%
Assist %
53.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 104.8Defence104.2 · 100.2Shooting39.8% · 49.4%3-point %21.5% · 32.7%Ball care22.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Karhu Basket wins
1
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Karhu Basket v Kataja79-64
01/03/23Kataja v Karhu Basket75-79
18/01/23Karhu Basket v Kataja95-59
19/11/22Kataja v Karhu Basket71-81
19/01/22Kataja v Karhu Basket78-106
13/11/21Karhu Basket v Kataja92-67
06/02/21Karhu Basket v Kataja84-80
31/10/20Kataja v Karhu Basket82-77
26/02/20Kataja v Karhu Basket89-95
12/12/19Karhu Basket v Kataja89-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23ASalon Vilpas72-69
07/10/23HBC Nokia67-80
03/10/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-86
26/09/23HNes Ziona56-92
16/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls66-91
13/05/23HHelsinki Seagulls79-76 OT
11/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls79-85
08/05/23HHelsinki Seagulls96-72
05/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls64-84
02/05/23HHelsinki Seagulls54-70
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HPyrinto Tampere77-71
08/10/23AKTP Kotka Basket68-67
05/10/23AChernomorets96-85
03/10/23HBoras71-78
30/09/23HKobrat79-76
29/04/23HSalon Vilpas107-96 OT
23/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls78-99
21/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-95
18/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls71-94
15/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game73.367.076.5
Allowed / game78.380.077.5
Point differential-5.0-13.0-1.0
Avg total151.7147.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.778.068.0
Allowed / game71.373.567.0
Point differential+3.3+4.5+1.0
Avg total146.0151.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja330100%74.771.3+3.3
2 Helsinki Seagulls43175%93.581.8+11.8
3 BC Nokia43175%86.077.8+8.2
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki43175%91.887.0+4.8
5 Kouvot Kouvola32167%98.785.3+13.3
6 Kobrat42250%84.880.5+4.2
7 Salon Vilpas42250%84.581.8+2.8
8 KTP Kotka Basket42250%81.283.0-1.8
9 Karhu Basket31233%73.378.3-5.0
10 Bisons Loimaa41325%82.291.2-9.0
11 Pyrinto Tampere3030%72.384.0-11.7
12 Lahti Basketball4040%88.5109.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2618202488
Kataja1520271880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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