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Legia vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-62
22-15 23-14 17-10 23-23
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Legia 🏆
vs
Position#39
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Bemowo
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
78-55
78
55
+23
no box
H25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
no box
H27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H03/06
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
A06/06
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
90avg 68
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Fribourg Olympic
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
70avg 68
H26/09
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
60avg 68
H28/09
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 68
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
61-62
61
62
-1
44avg 68
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 68
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-8
12-16
23-15
13-16
14-22
11-15
15-18
23-10
14-29
23-18
12-24
24-14
33-17
15-27
21-18
19-23
27-27
23-19
29-14
11-12
18-13
21-17
16-14
15-15
21-22
19-10
11-19
15-23
18-18
28-30
18-17
16-17
14-10
14-19
20-15
13-18
21-23
20-15
18-20
28-23
147.6Avg total
75.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.672.0147.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)72.871.6144.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (20)79.778.0157.7+1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)98.687.2185.9+11.488%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
no box
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
no box
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-96 OT
107
96
+11
no box
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 67
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 67
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
96-85
96
85
+11
86avg 67
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 67
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 67
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 67
A14/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
28-27
15-26
18-15
17-23
15-27
16-19
26-26
13-21
22-24
20-31
23-23
31-20
24-23
24-17
9-28
10-22
23-18
24-19
22-17
15-23
27-17
21-20
8-18
29-17
24-27
22-18
21-23
14-14
22-22
16-16
16-15
17-13
23-17
12-11
25-30
15-26
20-18
27-20
18-24
165.0Avg total
80.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season away (1)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.184.9165.0-4.850%
Last 5 (5)78.477.8156.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.189.3162.4-16.20%
vs Similar (17)88.083.4171.4+4.665%
vs Weaker (2)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
LegiaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/06
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/06
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Fribourg Olympic
#22
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/09
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
77.1Avg total
39.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.983.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.936.879.7+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.943.087.9+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.577.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.474.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (20)41.439.580.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.641.593.1+10.188%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Korisliiga
82.4Avg total
39.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.784.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.042.186.1+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.482.0-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.582.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.944.680.5-8.727%-
vs Similar (17)44.842.987.8+1.953%-
vs Weaker (2)44.030.074.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.3
48.3%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
33.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.4
70.9%
73.0%12.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.514.7
49.7%
52.2%29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.8
33.2%
33.8%35.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.7
76.8%
73.0%12.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Legia
WLLLWWWLLW
Kataja
LWWWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#39
-1.4
Net rating
+1.6
101.7
Offensive rating
106.3
103.1
Defensive rating
104.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
33.2%
65.9%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 106.3Defence103.1 · 104.7Shooting48.2% · 49.7%3-point %32.0% · 33.2%Ball care17.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Legia   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Legia wins
0
Kataja wins
No previous meetings.
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ASpojnia Stargard87-81
11/10/23HDziki Warszawa61-62
06/10/23ACzarni Slupsk80-82
28/09/23HObradoiro CAB66-74
26/09/23HFribourg Olympic70-59
22/09/23HZielona Gora90-72
06/06/23AOstrow Wielkopolski88-85
03/06/23HOstrow Wielkopolski73-85
27/05/23HSlask Wroclaw63-65
25/05/23HSlask Wroclaw78-55
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AKarhu Basket80-88
11/10/23HPyrinto Tampere77-71
08/10/23AKTP Kotka Basket68-67
05/10/23AChernomorets96-85
03/10/23HBoras71-78
30/09/23HKobrat79-76
29/04/23HSalon Vilpas107-96 OT
23/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls78-99
21/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-95
18/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Legia
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.571.096.0
Allowed / game81.578.085.0
Point differential+2.0-7.0+11.0
Avg total165.0149.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
3 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
4 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
5 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
6 Basket Zaragoza220100%87.576.5+11.0
7 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
8 Manisa330100%86.778.0+8.7
9 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
10 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
11 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
12 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
13 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
14 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
15 Sabah Baku43175%80.876.0+4.8
16 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 FC Porto32167%83.078.3+4.7
19 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
22 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
25 Keravnos31233%87.082.7+4.3
26 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
27 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%88.089.0-1.0
28 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
29 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
30 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
31 TSU1010%81.086.0-5.0
32 Bakken Bears1010%76.082.0-6.0
33 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
34 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
35 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
36 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
37 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
38 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
39 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
40 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
41 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Legia2223172385
Kataja1514102362
← all games of the day
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