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Kataja vs Honka Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record7-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game99.6
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v Honka
20 Mar 2027
KAT v HON
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
KAT99
HON108
10 Jan 2026
KAT74
HON79
30 Dec 2024
KAT85
HON75
05 Nov 2022
KAT80
HON68
14 Mar 2015
KAT97
HON78
06 Dec 2014
KAT88
HON74
26 Apr 2014
KAT109
HON86
21 Apr 2014
KAT82
HON72
06 Dec 2013
KAT97
HON88
30 Oct 2013
KAT77
HON65
30 Jan 2011
KAT80
HON86
27 Oct 2010
KAT76
HON81
13 Jan 2010
KAT77
HON67
07 Oct 2009
KAT83
HON99
16 Feb 2009
KAT84
HON73
01 Nov 2008
KAT89
HON80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Honka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
56avg 73
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 73
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 73
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 73
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 73
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 73
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 73
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 73
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 73
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
17-31
9-23
14-26
25-26
31-24
23-16
23-17
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
171.6Avg total
84.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.385.6171.9+0.844%
Season at home (5)93.686.6180.2+7.060%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.687.0171.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.083.4164.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.680.3152.9-7.743%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.281.8166.0+2.554%
vs Weaker (10)89.077.1166.1+11.980%
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#5
W
107-104
107
104
+3
95avg 83
A29/09
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 83
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
88avg 83
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 83
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
W
100-86
100
86
+14
92avg 83
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 83
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
94-96
94
96
-2
85avg 83
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
119-105
119
105
+14
119avg 83
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
94-91
94
91
+3
no box
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
78-119
78
119
-41
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
29-25
29-33
29-18
26-18
34-18
21-30
18-25
23-19
25-22
17-25
20-19
22-29
30-20
28-20
28-30
16-24
30-22
26-21
28-19
28-35
24-27
19-25
29-22
27-28
21-23
22-25
24-20
39-25
30-23
26-24
24-33
28-25
21-31
22-23
23-12
18-44
15-25
32-29
13-21
199.2Avg total
99.6Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)99.699.6199.2+0.070%
Season at home (5)96.892.0188.8+4.880%
Season away (5)102.4107.2209.6-4.860%
Last 10 (10)99.699.6199.2+0.070%
Last 5 (5)97.0104.0201.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)95.395.4190.8-0.144%
vs Similar ◀ (19)88.794.6183.3-5.942%
vs Weaker (2)99.588.5188.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
KatajaHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
89.8Avg total
44.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.384.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.341.688.9+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.981.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.345.589.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.684.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.141.379.4-3.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.541.286.7+4.277%-
vs Weaker (10)45.241.386.5+3.950%-
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A29/09
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A07/11
Korisliiga
101.7Avg total
50.6Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.548.294.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.745.692.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.350.997.1-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)50.651.1101.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.2107.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.249.098.2+0.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)44.548.693.1-4.247%-
vs Weaker (2)53.041.094.0+12.050%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
54.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.718.2
73.7%
75.8%18.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWLLLLLWWL
Honka
LWWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
-2.1
Net rating
+0.5
95.2
Offensive rating
100.4
97.3
Defensive rating
99.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
32.7%
55.0%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 100.4Defence97.3 · 99.9Shooting50.5% · 52.9%3-point %34.4% · 32.7%Ball care12.9% · 11.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kataja   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
Honka wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Kataja v Honka99-108
10/01/26Kataja v Honka74-79
04/11/25Honka v Kataja98-88
30/12/24Kataja v Honka85-75
22/10/24Honka v Kataja92-95 OT
13/12/22Honka v Kataja75-95
05/11/22Kataja v Honka80-68
14/03/15Kataja v Honka97-78
06/12/14Kataja v Honka88-74
22/10/14Honka v Kataja99-87
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
29/09/26HHelsinki Seagulls102-83
19/05/26ASalon Vilpas69-100
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AKarhu Basket78-119
03/11/26HHelsinki Seagulls94-91
30/10/26AKTP Kotka Basket119-105
24/10/26HKipina94-96
21/10/26AKipina100-109
16/10/26HLahti Basketball100-86
10/10/26AKataja108-99
06/10/26HPyrinto Tampere97-96 OT
03/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-91
29/09/26ASalon Vilpas107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game86.393.677.2
Allowed / game85.686.684.2
Point differential+0.8+7.0-7.0
Avg total171.9180.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Honka
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game99.696.8102.4
Allowed / game99.692.0107.2
Point differential+0.0+4.8-4.8
Avg total199.2188.8209.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina109190%96.988.6+8.3
2 KTP Kotka Basket108280%95.985.2+10.7
3 Honka107370%99.699.6+0.0
4 Pyrinto Tampere106460%87.386.7+0.6
5 Salon Vilpas95456%86.980.0+6.9
6 Helsinki Seagulls105550%81.983.1-1.2
7 Kataja94544%86.385.6+0.8
8 Karhu Basket104640%86.684.7+1.9
9 Lahti Basketball104640%81.887.9-6.1
10 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki103730%86.791.5-4.8
11 Kouvot Kouvola102820%85.891.4-5.6
12 Bisons Loimaa102820%75.986.6-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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