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Kouvot Kouvola vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 95-76
23-15 27-23 19-24 26-14
Position#11
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game88.2
FinlandKorisliiga· MLL Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja
09 Jan 2027
KOUV v KAT
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
KOUV95
KAT76
08 Feb 2026
KOUV85
KAT79
09 Dec 2025
KOUV90
KAT108
01 Nov 2024
KOUV68
KAT94
12 Jan 2024
KOUV84
KAT69
17 Mar 2023
KOUV78
KAT102
22 Nov 2022
KOUV67
KAT79
13 Apr 2022
KOUV60
KAT73
08 Apr 2022
KOUV86
KAT68
04 Apr 2022
KOUV88
KAT86
04 Dec 2021
KOUV105
KAT94
06 Jan 2021
KOUV88
KAT86
31 Jan 2020
KOUV81
KAT73
09 Dec 2019
KOUV84
KAT88
05 Apr 2019
KOUV97
KAT78
03 Jan 2019
KOUV75
KAT61
21 Jan 2018
KOUV105
KAT86
20 Oct 2017
KOUV87
KAT74
10 Mar 2017
KOUV77
KAT93
30 Dec 2016
KOUV93
KAT82
19 Feb 2016
KOUV89
KAT84
22 Nov 2015
KOUV91
KAT94
15 Apr 2015
KOUV97
KAT84
30 Dec 2014
KOUV68
KAT90
08 Mar 2014
KOUV93
KAT85
04 Oct 2013
KOUV64
KAT84
27 Jan 2013
KOUV61
KAT91
17 Oct 2012
KOUV67
KAT66
08 Jan 2012
KOUV60
KAT62
02 Oct 2011
KOUV66
KAT80
02 Apr 2011
KOUV68
KAT75
05 Mar 2011
KOUV66
KAT78
01 Dec 2010
KOUV79
KAT77
15 Apr 2010
KOUV80
KAT72
11 Apr 2010
KOUV75
KAT94
07 Apr 2010
KOUV86
KAT62
27 Jan 2010
KOUV77
KAT75
10 Oct 2009
KOUV94
KAT80
18 Feb 2009
KOUV78
KAT105
02 Jan 2009
KOUV72
KAT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kouvot KouvolaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKouvola
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 75
A19/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
96-80
96
80
+16
82avg 75
A22/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
62avg 75
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
88-112
88
112
-24
74avg 75
A10/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 75
A14/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
103-99
103
99
+4
97avg 75
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 75
H30/09
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
82avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
63avg 75
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 75
A14/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
15-24
23-23
21-19
20-22
23-19
30-24
23-15
15-22
24-23
16-12
21-17
23-34
25-31
20-17
20-30
24-26
21-21
24-15
24-16
30-20
27-26
22-31
24-22
25-12
23-19
13-28
13-18
18-26
18-34
30-21
25-18
17-25
29-26
14-11
20-27
11-16
30-30
21-18
21-27
175.2Avg total
86.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Season at home (2)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Season away (2)87.095.0182.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)86.788.5175.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)86.291.0177.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)84.792.5177.2-7.828%
vs Similar (8)86.089.4175.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (4)91.591.8183.2-0.250%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 76
H05/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
45-82
45
82
-37
27avg 76
A09/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
63avg 76
H12/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 76
A14/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
75-59
75
59
+16
66avg 76
H16/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
56avg 76
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 76
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 76
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 76
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 76
H10/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
22-19
26-12
15-17
15-17
11-22
16-20
3-23
26-22
21-19
14-21
18-24
15-26
23-22
20-20
23-22
14-14
18-19
24-11
19-15
29-20
17-31
9-23
14-26
25-26
31-24
23-16
23-17
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
163.6Avg total
79.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.088.2181.2+4.850%
Season at home (2)100.595.5196.0+5.050%
Season away (2)85.581.0166.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.684.0163.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)88.290.6178.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.680.3152.9-7.743%
vs Similar (11)85.481.2166.5+4.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.277.7166.8+11.567%
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
Kouvot KouvolaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A22/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H05/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A10/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A14/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/09
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/10
Korisliiga
91.8Avg total
44.2Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.847.190.9-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.744.388.0-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)43.949.993.9-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)44.247.691.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.892.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.848.190.9-5.333%-
vs Similar (8)43.946.590.4-2.638%-
vs Weaker (4)48.244.092.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H12/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
85.3Avg total
40.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.082.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.940.586.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)40.039.679.6+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.485.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.494.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.141.379.4-3.129%-
vs Similar (11)45.240.185.3+5.182%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.239.282.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.2
48.9%
54.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.7
35.1%
32.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.8
74.0%
75.8%12.8
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
75.8%14.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kouvot Kouvola
LLLLWWLWWL
Kataja
LLWWLWLLLW
#11
League position
#7
-2.3
Net rating
-5.4
92.6
Offensive rating
91.1
94.9
Defensive rating
96.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
30.8%
58.9%
Assist %
50.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 91.1Defence94.9 · 96.5Shooting50.6% · 48.4%3-point %35.1% · 30.8%Ball care14.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Kouvot Kouvola   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kouvot Kouvola wins
7
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ALahti Basketball83-91
06/10/26HKipina80-89
03/10/26AHonka91-99
30/09/26HKarhu Basket74-77
18/03/26HKobrat103-99
14/03/26APyrinto Tampere93-78
10/03/26AKataja88-112
05/03/26HBisons Loimaa76-74
22/02/26ALahti Basketball96-80
19/02/26AKobrat83-86
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
29/09/26HHelsinki Seagulls102-83
19/05/26ASalon Vilpas69-100
16/05/26HSalon Vilpas75-59
14/05/26ASalon Vilpas81-90
12/05/26HSalon Vilpas79-86
09/05/26ASalon Vilpas45-82
05/05/26HSalon Vilpas75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kouvot Kouvola
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.077.087.0
Allowed / game89.083.095.0
Point differential-7.0-6.0-8.0
Avg total171.0160.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game93.0100.585.5
Allowed / game88.295.581.0
Point differential+4.8+5.0+4.5
Avg total181.2196.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KTP Kotka Basket440100%90.273.8+16.5
2 Kipina330100%98.786.7+12.0
3 Honka440100%102.897.5+5.2
4 Lahti Basketball32167%84.081.3+2.7
5 Kataja42250%93.088.2+4.8
6 Salon Vilpas42250%94.290.2+4.0
7 Helsinki Seagulls42250%77.579.0-1.5
8 Karhu Basket41325%80.582.2-1.8
9 Pyrinto Tampere41325%85.592.8-7.2
10 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki41325%83.891.5-7.8
11 Bisons Loimaa41325%66.082.2-16.2
12 Kouvot Kouvola4040%82.089.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kouvot Kouvola2327192695
Kataja1523241476
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