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Kataja vs Kouvot Kouvola Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 107-109 (OT)
26-26 23-17 30-27 18-27 10-12
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game104.0
FinlandKorisliigaRound 2· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Kouvot Kouvola
13 Mar 2027
KAT v KOUV
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
KAT112
KOUV88
08 Oct 2025
KAT107
KOUV109
21 Dec 2024
KAT92
KOUV87
11 Nov 2023
KAT105
KOUV85
11 Feb 2023
KAT86
KOUV78
21 Jan 2023
KAT91
KOUV100
10 Apr 2022
KAT81
KOUV77
05 Apr 2022
KAT86
KOUV81
06 Oct 2021
KAT85
KOUV89
07 Nov 2020
KAT94
KOUV83
25 Mar 2020
KAT v KOUV
upcoming
15 Dec 2019
KAT95
KOUV86
27 Mar 2019
KAT79
KOUV78
10 Feb 2019
KAT91
KOUV80
21 Mar 2018
KAT86
KOUV84
14 Mar 2018
KAT79
KOUV81
01 Mar 2017
KAT96
KOUV91
12 Oct 2016
KAT89
KOUV69
06 Dec 2015
KAT102
KOUV77
05 Oct 2015
KAT85
KOUV93
26 Nov 2014
KAT77
KOUV91
15 Oct 2014
KAT87
KOUV78
25 Jan 2014
KAT98
KOUV82
29 Nov 2013
KAT93
KOUV64
01 Apr 2013
KAT99
KOUV71
08 Dec 2012
KAT72
KOUV60
28 Jan 2012
KAT96
KOUV73
13 Nov 2011
KAT77
KOUV55
05 Apr 2011
KAT76
KOUV63
30 Mar 2011
KAT68
KOUV66
15 Jan 2011
KAT75
KOUV72
12 Oct 2010
KAT82
KOUV75
13 Apr 2010
KAT74
KOUV80
09 Apr 2010
KAT94
KOUV92
03 Mar 2010
KAT80
KOUV91
24 Nov 2009
KAT75
KOUV96
08 Apr 2009
KAT85
KOUV89
05 Nov 2008
KAT79
KOUV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kouvot Kouvola winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
90avg 83
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
109-69
109
69
+40
117avg 83
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
89avg 83
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 83
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 83
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 83
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 83
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
82avg 83
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
96avg 83
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 83
A03/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
21-30
16-24
29-29
24-15
36-11
27-23
22-20
16-30
23-16
26-18
29-12
13-25
30-16
21-20
29-20
21-26
15-25
21-16
22-26
19-19
30-23
18-32
15-22
21-20
16-23
21-21
21-23
30-25
26-16
18-28
13-30
21-21
27-25
26-28
17-17
17-21
15-24
21-18
24-11
178.2Avg total
90.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.088.2178.2+1.840%
Last 5 (5)84.891.2176.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.396.0184.3-7.70%
vs Similar (16)84.687.2171.8-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.181.8170.9+7.364%
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvot KouvolaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKouvola
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
89avg 73
H01/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
76-84
76
84
-8
63avg 73
A05/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
90avg 73
H08/03
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
108-84
108
84
+24
105avg 73
H15/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
100-88
100
88
+12
92avg 73
A19/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
69avg 73
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
75avg 73
H26/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
48avg 73
A28/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
48avg 73
H31/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
91-104
91
104
-13
78avg 73
H03/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
24-20
27-28
28-18
22-23
19-21
19-15
16-25
22-28
26-11
21-25
25-14
28-24
27-25
31-21
22-14
23-23
28-25
24-18
25-22
20-21
21-29
19-27
20-28
21-14
10-24
24-18
19-18
6-23
22-21
19-33
17-24
22-28
21-19
11-18
6-12
28-31
15-25
32-21
16-27
175.3Avg total
86.0Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.0104.0195.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)91.0104.0195.0-13.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.089.3175.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)77.694.8172.4-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.494.6176.0-13.122%
vs Similar (18)87.484.2171.6+3.256%
vs Weaker (3)83.778.3162.0+5.367%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
KatajaKouvot Kouvola
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Korisliiga
89.1Avg total
45.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.185.5+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.441.488.7+6.076%-
Last 30 away (13)40.640.881.4-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.589.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.487.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.748.096.7+0.767%-
vs Similar (16)44.140.984.9+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.839.583.4+4.373%-
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H15/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A19/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A28/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H03/10
Korisliiga
87.4Avg total
42.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.986.1-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.485.7-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.486.5-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.487.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.084.2-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.346.786.0-7.322%-
vs Similar (18)43.742.486.1+1.356%-
vs Weaker (3)42.044.786.7-2.733%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.2
55.3%
2.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
33.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
74.0%13.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.8
51.9%
2.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.6
30.5%
33.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
74.0%14.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WLLLLLWWWL
Kouvot Kouvola
LLLWLWWWLW
#5
League position
#11
+2.6
Net rating
-3.4
114.7
Offensive rating
107.1
112.1
Defensive rating
110.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.8%
3-point %
30.5%
62.5%
Assist %
50.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 107.1Defence112.1 · 110.5Shooting56.0% · 49.2%3-point %37.8% · 30.5%Ball care17.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Kouvot Kouvola
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kataja wins
2
Kouvot Kouvola wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-74
19/04/25HSalon Vilpas99-100 OT
15/04/25HKarhu Basket87-99
12/04/25AKarhu Basket79-87
09/04/25HKarhu Basket82-96
05/04/25AKarhu Basket79-93
29/03/25HBisons Loimaa93-81
26/03/25ABisons Loimaa94-76
22/03/25HBisons Loimaa109-69
19/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-104
31/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls60-77
28/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls64-101
26/03/25HHelsinki Seagulls93-87 OT
22/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls80-105
19/03/25APyrinto Tampere100-88
15/03/25HKTP Kotka Basket108-84
08/03/25HHonka94-78
05/03/25AKobrat76-84
01/03/25HBC Nokia94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total151.0-151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Kouvot Kouvola
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game104.0104.0-
Point differential-13.0-13.0-
Avg total195.0195.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas220100%105.086.0+19.0
2 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki110100%104.091.0+13.0
3 Lahti Basketball110100%85.079.0+6.0
4 Karhu Basket110100%78.074.0+4.0
5 Kataja110100%77.074.0+3.0
6 Honka21150%85.097.5-12.5
7 KTP Kotka Basket1010%74.077.0-3.0
8 Pyrinto Tampere1010%74.078.0-4.0
9 Helsinki Seagulls1010%79.085.0-6.0
10 Kobrat1010%74.080.0-6.0
11 Bisons Loimaa1010%82.089.0-7.0
12 Kouvot Kouvola1010%91.0104.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kataja2623301810107
Kouvot Kouvola2617272712109
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