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Kataja W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 62-64
17-19 20-19 10-16 15-10
Position#16
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.1
Allowed / game67.7
Kataja W
Finland
vs
LePy W 🏆
Finland
Position#11
Record6-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game59.1
Allowed / game65.1
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Motonet Areena (Joensuu)
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
43-74
43
74
-31
30avg 37
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-59
33
59
-26
17avg 37
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
48avg 37
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
55-70
55
70
-15
46avg 37
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
62-53
62
53
+9
61avg 37
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
52-54
52
54
-2
41avg 37
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
43-68
43
68
-25
33avg 37
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
43avg 37
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
31-63
31
63
-32
18avg 37
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
48avg 37
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
11-15
13-28
5-14
3-16
10-9
15-23
5-11
15-20
17-17
14-26
13-11
8-22
18-20
15-14
14-14
23-13
11-12
14-14
14-14
11-8
19-14
15-17
7-15
9-16
16-13
13-20
5-19
14-13
12-14
11-14
13-16
6-24
12-15
3-14
10-10
8-21
26-17
10-21
15-17
113.5Avg total
48.7Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)49.167.7116.8-18.77%
Season at home (8)51.069.1120.1-18.10%
Season away (7)46.966.1113.0-19.314%
Last 10 (10)48.764.8113.5-16.110%
Last 5 (5)47.063.6110.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)50.269.4119.7-19.29%
vs Similar (5)62.659.0121.6+3.660%
vs Weaker (2)67.556.5124.0+11.050%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
BC Nokia W
#1
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 49
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 49
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
65-59 OT
65
59
+6
no box
A25/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
47-74
47
74
-27
28avg 49
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
45-62
45
62
-17
30avg 49
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
43avg 49
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 49
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 49
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 49
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 49
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-19
11-15
10-11
17-23
27-13
14-19
15-23
18-16
8-15
13-9
13-12
13-19
10-21
16-21
8-13
5-21
19-26
14-5
7-10
15-24
16-10
12-13
12-17
18-27
25-19
21-16
19-10
9-24
25-15
24-10
13-24
20-17
17-15
16-10
10-11
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
129.5Avg total
62.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)59.165.1124.2-6.140%
Season at home (7)57.469.0126.4-11.629%
Season away (8)60.561.8122.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)62.567.0129.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)65.866.4132.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.267.8123.0-12.733%
vs Similar (7)58.763.3122.0-4.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)72.063.5135.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Kataja WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kataja WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
13-25
13
25
-12
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
57.9Avg total
26.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.933.361.2-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.830.958.7-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)28.035.763.7-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)26.331.657.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)26.631.057.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)26.335.361.7-9.017%-
vs Similar (5)33.626.860.4+6.860%-
vs Weaker (2)31.526.558.0+5.050%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
71.8Avg total
33.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)30.836.166.9-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (7)30.337.367.6-7.029%-
Last 30 away (8)31.235.166.4-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.471.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.838.867.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (7)30.433.463.9-3.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kataja Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja W: 48.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
40.2%19.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.46.2
21.1%
24.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.410.6
64.6%
63.2%10.6
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.815.2
40.2%
40.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.0
24.3%
24.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.913.6
65.1%
63.2%13.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja W
LLLLLWLLLL
LePy W
LWLWLLLWLW
#16
League position
#11
-20.4
Net rating
-6.6
62.5
Offensive rating
78.4
82.9
Defensive rating
84.9
33.0%
Effective FG%
38.7%
35.5%
Opp. effective FG%
39.1%
30.5%
Turnover %
27.6%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
21.1%
3-point %
24.3%
67.1%
Assist %
73.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence62.5 · 78.4Defence82.9 · 84.9Shooting33.0% · 38.7%3-point %21.1% · 24.3%Ball care30.5% · 27.6%Off. rebounds24.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Kataja W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kataja W wins
1
LePy W wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23LePy W v Kataja W61-55
Kataja Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HPuhuttaret W59-76
21/01/24AHyPo W31-63
14/01/24HTapiolan Honka II W50-57
07/01/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W43-68
17/12/23HEspoo Team II W52-54
10/12/23APantterit W62-53
03/12/23HKorihait W55-70
26/11/23ATurun NMKY W59-74
19/11/23HLappeenranta W33-59
12/11/23APyrinto II W43-74
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
21/01/24AEspoo Team II W63-53
14/01/24HPantterit W71-73
07/01/24AKorihait W83-72
17/12/23HTurun NMKY W55-64
06/12/23APuhuttaret W45-62
03/12/23HHyPo W47-74
25/11/23ATapiolan Honka II W65-59 OT
17/11/23AHBA W73-78
12/11/23HBC Nokia W66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %7%0%14%
Points / game49.151.046.9
Allowed / game67.769.166.1
Point differential-18.7-18.1-19.3
Avg total116.8120.1113.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%29%50%
Points / game59.157.460.5
Allowed / game65.169.061.8
Point differential-6.1-11.6-1.2
Avg total124.2126.4122.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1514193%75.960.7+15.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1511473%70.563.3+7.2
3 Lappeenranta W1511473%60.354.6+5.7
4 Lahti Basketball W1610662%66.759.6+7.1
5 Turun NMKY W159660%60.962.5-1.6
6 Pyrinto II W169756%66.562.3+4.2
7 HBA W158753%69.767.2+2.5
8 HyPo W157847%62.762.4+0.3
9 Espoo Team II W157847%65.867.9-2.1
10 Puhuttaret W146843%66.967.5-0.6
11 Tapiolan Honka II W156940%68.365.8+2.5
12 Jyvaskyla BA W156940%63.566.8-3.3
13 LePy W156940%59.165.1-6.1
14 Korihait W145936%64.571.0-6.5
15 Pantterit W1541127%62.169.2-7.1
16 Kataja W151147%49.167.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja W1720101562
LePy W1919161064
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