PythiaBasketballBETA
Latvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Keila Coolbet will host Tal Tech on 15 November 2026 in the Latvia-Estonian League, with the model favouring Tal Tech at 95% thanks to their 6-4 record, 73.7 points per game and 73.8 allowed, compared with Keila Coolbet's 0-9 record, 70.3 points per game and 91.1 allowed. Keila Coolbet's nine-game season has yielded 0 wins, 70.3 points per game and 91.1 allowed, while their three-game home slate remains winless with 72.0 points per game and 88.0 allowed; they have lost five straight, most recently 65-92 to BK Liepaja, 77-101 to BK Ogre and 82-89 to Rigas Juniori. Tal Tech, meanwhile, has played ten games, winning six and losing four, averaging 73.7 points scored and 73.8 allowed, and their six-game road record is 4-2 with 72.3 points per game and 72.0 allowed; they have won two of their last five, including a 79-58 victory over Keila KK, but also lost 66-92 to Rigas Zelli and 67-74 to AEL. In the seven previous matchups, Tal Tech has won all seven, most recently 90-79 on 16 January 2026. Pythia projects a 68-87 score for the game, a total of 155.3 points, and a 5% chance that Keila Coolbet will win; the model assigns a 95% probability that Tal Tech will win. The game carries a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 70.3 | 91.1 | 161.4 | -20.8 | 0% |
| Season at home (3) | 72.0 | 88.0 | 160.0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| Season away (6) | 69.5 | 92.7 | 162.2 | -23.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.1 | 92.2 | 164.3 | -20.1 | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.2 | 92.2 | 164.4 | -20.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 74.6 | 94.5 | 169.1 | -19.9 | 4% |
| vs Similar (3) | 83.7 | 86.3 | 170.0 | -2.7 | 33% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 73.7 | 73.8 | 147.5 | -0.1 | 60% |
| Season at home (4) | 75.8 | 76.5 | 152.2 | -0.8 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 72.3 | 72.0 | 144.3 | +0.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.8 | 74.5 | 146.3 | -2.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.4 | 71.8 | 144.2 | +0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 71.9 | 84.7 | 156.7 | -12.8 | 13% |
| vs Similar (8) | 81.4 | 78.9 | 160.2 | +2.5 | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 88.9 | 71.6 | 160.4 | +17.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.8 | 46.2 | 84.0 | -8.4 | 17% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.4 | 45.2 | 84.7 | -5.8 | 25% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 36.0 | 47.3 | 83.3 | -11.3 | 7% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.0 | 44.9 | 78.9 | -10.9 | 0% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 46.6 | 80.8 | -12.4 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 36.7 | 46.5 | 83.2 | -9.9 | 11% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 48.3 | 43.3 | 91.7 | +5.0 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 40.3 | 78.4 | -2.2 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 42.3 | 41.0 | 83.3 | +1.3 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 34.9 | 39.8 | 74.7 | -4.8 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.7 | 36.2 | 70.9 | -1.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 34.6 | 69.2 | +0.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 34.9 | 42.5 | 77.3 | -7.6 | 13% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 39.5 | 40.2 | 79.8 | -0.8 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 43.6 | 35.7 | 79.3 | +7.9 | 71% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.7 | 20.7 | 52.5% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.8 | 31.4% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.6 | 10.1 | 68.3% | 10.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.4 | 18.7 | 52.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 7.8 | 31.4% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.6 | 13.0 | 68.3% | 13.0 |
Keila Coolbet
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 | Keila Coolbet v Tal Tech | 79-90 OT |
| 13/12/25 | Tal Tech v Keila Coolbet | 86-63 |
| 21/04/25 | Tal Tech v Keila Coolbet | 84-70 |
| 17/04/25 | Keila Coolbet v Tal Tech | 63-76 |
| 14/04/25 | Tal Tech v Keila Coolbet | 79-66 |
| 09/03/25 | Keila Coolbet v Tal Tech | 79-86 |
| 09/10/24 | Tal Tech v Keila Coolbet | 86-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 65-92 |
| 31/10/26 | A | BK Ogre | 77-101 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Rigas Juniori | 82-89 |
| 24/10/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 77-98 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Keila KK | 60-81 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Ventspils | 68-85 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 77-85 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Valmiera Glass Via | 56-95 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Rigas Zelli | 71-94 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Rigas Zelli | 88-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Spartak Pleven | 72-76 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 66-92 |
| 03/11/26 | A | AEL | 67-74 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Keila KK | 79-58 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 78-59 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Tartu Ulikool | 41-65 |
| 21/10/26 | H | BK Ogre | 82-78 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Ventspils | 85-82 |
| 14/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 78-71 |
| 10/10/26 | H | VEF Riga | 70-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.3 | 72.0 | 69.5 |
| Allowed / game | 91.1 | 88.0 | 92.7 |
| Point differential | -20.8 | -16.0 | -23.2 |
| Avg total | 161.4 | 160.0 | 162.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 60% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | WWLWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Points / game | 73.7 | 75.8 | 72.3 |
| Allowed / game | 73.8 | 76.5 | 72.0 |
| Point differential | -0.1 | -0.8 | +0.3 |
| Avg total | 147.5 | 152.2 | 144.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rigas Zelli | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 93.7 | 74.1 | +19.6 |
| 2 |  VEF Riga | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 90.2 | 76.0 | +14.2 |
| 3 |  Valmiera Glass Via | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 89.8 | 76.4 | +13.4 |
| 4 |  Tartu Ulikool | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.8 | 76.4 | +6.4 |
| 5 |  Ventspils | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 86.1 | 83.4 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Tal Tech | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 73.7 | 73.8 | -0.1 |
| 7 |  Parnu | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 78.1 | +0.7 |
| 8 |  BC Kalev/Cramo | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 85.1 | 81.9 | +3.2 |
| 9 |  Keila KK | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 74.3 | 81.6 | -7.3 |
| 10 |  BK Ogre | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 86.7 | 86.7 | +0.0 |
| 11 |  BK Liepaja | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 82.4 | 77.3 | +5.1 |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 |  Viimsi | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 74.3 | 86.8 | -12.5 |
| 14 |  Latvijas Universitate | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 76.8 | 91.6 | -14.8 |
| 15 | Keila Coolbet | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
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