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Keila KK vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-89
11-16 15-23 25-21 23-29
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game77.3
Keila KK
vs
Prometey 🏆
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v Prometey
06 Oct 2023
KEIL74
PRM89
30 Dec 2022
KEIL69
PRM117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
45avg 54
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
46avg 54
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
55avg 54
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 54
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 54
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
40avg 54
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
30-13
14-16
25-24
28-15
17-21
12-19
23-20
16-19
12-25
16-18
12-21
34-17
20-23
24-30
16-18
18-15
16-22
17-12
9-16
21-23
22-19
10-27
8-14
23-19
13-33
16-28
22-15
28-8
19-19
21-21
22-24
15-22
20-21
9-22
22-18
12-19
17-7
9-29
18-22
151.6Avg total
72.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.777.3148.0-6.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)70.777.3148.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)72.479.2151.6-6.840%
Last 5 (5)69.482.0151.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.587.3156.8-17.814%
vs Similar (4)88.588.0176.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (4)95.579.0174.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 82
H29/03
Eurocup
Viimsi
#8
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
no box
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
59-57
59
57
+2
no box
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
no box
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
no box
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 82
H11/04
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
W
80-57
80
57
+23
78avg 82
H19/04
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
61avg 82
H26/04
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
106-61
106
61
+45
108avg 82
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#19
W
97-77
97
77
+20
100avg 82
H04/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
13-25
28-18
19-15
25-27
18-21
23-24
22-16
17-10
10-20
14-18
18-9
18-12
27-11
22-18
22-26
20-21
24-16
22-14
11-11
28-20
20-20
21-16
18-23
25-16
18-13
19-11
18-17
25-16
13-25
18-20
18-15
18-14
31-7
26-19
31-21
35-15
19-27
24-20
19-15
158.6Avg total
86.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.061.0167.0+45.0100%
Season at home (1)106.061.0167.0+45.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.771.9158.6+14.880%
Last 5 (5)88.870.0158.8+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.380.7168.0+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.073.1164.1+17.996%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
Keila KKPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
77.7Avg total
39.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.642.585.1+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)36.941.177.9-4.241%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.877.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.342.779.0-6.436%-
vs Similar (4)42.843.085.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)52.834.587.2+18.2100%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
Eurocup
Viimsi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H11/04
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H19/04
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/04
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Hamburg
#19
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
43.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.783.0+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (21)46.036.082.0+10.086%-
Last 30 away (9)43.741.785.3+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.479.1+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.434.681.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.340.785.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.437.482.8+8.081%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.0
42.1%
50.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.37.5
26.5%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.710.0
68.2%
70.5%10.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
50.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
32.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
70.5%14.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLWLLLWLWW
Prometey
WWLWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#2
-15.7
Net rating
+23.3
84.8
Offensive rating
120.0
100.5
Defensive rating
96.8
41.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.5%
3-point %
36.5%
53.1%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence84.8 · 120.0Defence100.5 · 96.8Shooting41.1% · 57.1%3-point %26.5% · 36.5%Ball care17.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Keila KK   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
2
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Prometey v Keila KK107-68
30/12/22Keila KK v Prometey69-117
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23ARigas Zelli56-77
27/09/23AParnu66-83
24/09/23AViimsi90-72
23/04/23ATartu Ulikool74-95
18/04/23HTartu Ulikool61-83
14/04/23ATartu Ulikool60-65
17/03/23AValmiera Glass Via94-88
11/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo56-83
03/03/23HTartu Ulikool80-75
26/02/23HTal Tech87-71
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HHamburg97-77
30/09/23HViimsi106-61
26/04/23HTurk Telekom74-76
19/04/23HPromitheas80-57
11/04/23HHamburg87-79
08/04/23HVEF Riga77-62
07/04/23HTartu Ulikool89-67
03/04/23HViimsi59-57
01/04/23AViimsi105-107 OT
29/03/23HVenezia93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
Home--
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game70.7-70.7
Allowed / game77.3-77.3
Point differential-6.7--6.7
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+45.0+45.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey110100%106.061.0+45.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo220100%89.063.5+25.5
3 BK Liepaja220100%97.083.0+14.0
4 Parnu220100%80.070.5+9.5
5 Tallinna Kalev220100%82.575.5+7.0
6 Tal Tech32167%83.771.3+12.3
7 Rigas Zelli32167%70.363.3+7.0
8 VEF Riga21150%86.077.0+9.0
9 Ventspils21150%92.092.5-0.5
10 Tartu Ulikool31233%72.372.7-0.3
11 Rapla31233%74.776.7-2.0
12 Valmiera Glass Via31233%75.780.0-4.3
13 Keila KK31233%70.777.3-6.7
14 BK Ogre2020%74.585.5-11.0
15 Viimsi3030%64.097.3-33.3
16 Latvijas Universitate2020%63.098.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1115252374
Prometey1623212989
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