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Parnu vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-66
22-15 21-20 22-9 18-22
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.0
Parnu 🏆
vs
Keila KK
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v Keila KK
10 Oct 2026
PAR70
KEIL75
27 Dec 2025
PAR76
KEIL72
25 Jan 2025
PAR91
KEIL82
02 May 2024
PAR87
KEIL67
28 Apr 2024
PAR60
KEIL53
24 Apr 2024
PAR79
KEIL71
27 Sep 2023
PAR83
KEIL66
18 Jan 2023
PAR89
KEIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
67avg 68
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
56avg 68
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 68
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
53avg 68
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A16/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
67avg 68
H20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 68
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 68
H24/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
78avg 68
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 68
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
19-20
12-24
20-25
23-20
16-20
17-14
15-18
19-15
17-29
28-20
21-15
10-14
18-22
25-17
15-25
13-15
17-19
26-24
21-19
14-19
21-20
16-17
27-26
14-13
20-22
23-19
23-17
19-21
17-32
17-20
19-22
19-24
26-13
26-17
20-15
25-17
14-22
19-21
19-15
159.2Avg total
79.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.678.4158.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.286.8159.0-14.50%
vs Similar (21)77.577.1154.6+0.352%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.880.2168.0+7.660%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
68-107
68
107
-39
no box
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
60-65
60
65
-5
45avg 58
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
46avg 58
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
55avg 58
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 58
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
15-30
15-32
23-19
30-26
18-15
23-31
20-19
18-18
30-13
14-16
25-24
28-15
17-21
12-19
23-20
16-19
12-25
16-18
12-21
34-17
20-23
24-30
16-18
18-15
16-22
17-12
9-16
21-23
22-19
10-27
8-14
23-19
13-33
16-28
22-15
28-8
19-19
21-21
22-24
161.2Avg total
77.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.383.9161.2-6.650%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.087.9157.8-17.914%
vs Similar (4)88.588.0176.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (5)97.282.4179.6+14.8100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
ParnuKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H24/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
77.4Avg total
37.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.876.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.538.276.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)39.237.576.7+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.377.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.845.078.8-11.20%-
vs Similar (21)39.337.476.7+1.948%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.633.675.2+8.080%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
81.9Avg total
41.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.482.2-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.942.685.5+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.279.4-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.681.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.543.780.2-7.233%-
vs Similar (4)42.843.085.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)51.636.488.0+15.2100%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.8
49.1%
50.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.3
31.5%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
70.5%13.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.8
44.7%
50.5%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.2
27.5%
32.1%24.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.0
72.7%
70.5%10.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWLWLWLWLL
Keila KK
WLLLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#12
-0.3
Net rating
-10.1
102.9
Offensive rating
88.7
103.2
Defensive rating
98.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
43.2%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.5%
3-point %
27.5%
50.5%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 88.7Defence103.2 · 98.8Shooting48.5% · 43.2%3-point %31.5% · 27.5%Ball care16.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Parnu wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
07/10/22Keila KK v Parnu90-92
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23ATal Tech77-75
26/05/23AViimsi91-69
24/05/23HViimsi72-95
22/05/23AViimsi80-71
20/05/23HViimsi78-82
16/05/23AViimsi87-86 OT
12/05/23ATartu Ulikool68-78
10/05/23HTartu Ulikool85-79
08/05/23ATartu Ulikool71-72
05/05/23HTartu Ulikool81-95
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23AViimsi90-72
23/04/23ATartu Ulikool74-95
18/04/23HTartu Ulikool61-83
14/04/23ATartu Ulikool60-65
17/03/23AValmiera Glass Via94-88
11/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo56-83
03/03/23HTartu Ulikool80-75
26/02/23HTal Tech87-71
19/02/23HTallinna Kalev103-100 OT
14/02/23APrometey68-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keila KK110100%90.072.0+18.0
2 Tallinna Kalev110100%78.072.0+6.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%74.071.0+3.0
4 Parnu110100%77.075.0+2.0
5 Tal Tech1010%75.077.0-2.0
6 Tartu Ulikool1010%71.074.0-3.0
7 Rapla1010%72.078.0-6.0
8 Viimsi1010%72.090.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2221221883
Keila KK152092266
← all games of the day
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