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Keilor Thunder vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 80-90
30-20 17-18 15-23 18-29
Position#15
Record4-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Casey Cavaliers
31 May 2025
KEIL80
CASE90
20 Apr 2024
KEIL69
CASE87
13 Aug 2022
KEIL75
CASE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
53-98
53
98
-45
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H03/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H17/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
24-22
26-31
25-30
28-28
23-19
14-18
31-22
19-25
27-22
33-22
19-21
9-30
13-22
19-24
8-22
13-30
18-37
28-15
26-23
30-25
19-19
16-25
21-9
13-22
25-16
14-30
19-14
17-10
25-20
18-28
17-26
18-20
171.6Avg total
80.2Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.790.5172.3-8.836%
Season at home (5)83.689.6173.2-6.060%
Season away (6)80.291.3171.5-11.217%
Last 10 (10)80.291.4171.6-11.230%
Last 5 (5)75.487.4162.8-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.092.1174.1-10.133%
vs Similar (10)86.386.3172.6+0.070%
vs Weaker (5)85.082.8167.8+2.260%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
20-13
21-19
18-22
18-17
17-20
18-20
22-21
19-28
23-19
23-19
29-17
25-17
20-25
19-12
21-19
26-11
25-26
11-25
23-23
28-16
25-8
16-16
13-21
23-23
22-28
21-30
25-12
27-27
27-26
25-18
16-19
30-17
29-19
17-25
16-22
18-15
14-25
15-13
22-16
169.1Avg total
87.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.081.9168.9+5.164%
Season at home (5)85.686.2171.8-0.620%
Season away (6)88.278.3166.5+9.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.082.1169.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)88.282.0170.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.289.1169.3-8.822%
vs Similar (9)80.882.6163.3-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Keilor ThunderCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H03/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/05
NBL1 South
88.0Avg total
41.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.645.286.8-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.945.986.8-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.444.586.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.047.088.0-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.286.2-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.946.987.8-6.127%-
vs Similar (10)42.545.487.9-2.930%-
vs Weaker (5)42.039.881.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South
86.4Avg total
45.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.186.2-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.145.185.2-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)44.343.087.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.686.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.640.889.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.845.886.7-5.028%-
vs Similar (9)41.840.882.6+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.343.394.7+8.0100%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder wins
2
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HKilsyth78-94
17/05/25HWaverley75-70
10/05/25AKnox69-75
03/05/25HNunawading102-100
26/04/25ANW Tasmania53-98
25/04/25AHobart Chargers88-95
13/04/25HFrankston87-84
11/04/25ADandenong103-111
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers81-83 OT
17/05/25AFrankston92-83
11/05/25AWaverley95-90
10/05/25HMt Gambier91-93
03/05/25AKilsyth82-61
26/04/25HDiamond Valley94-97 OT
25/04/25AKnox85-73
12/04/25ANunawading94-83
06/04/25HHobart Chargers75-78
04/04/25AMt Gambier81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game81.783.680.2
Allowed / game90.589.691.3
Point differential-8.8-6.0-11.2
Avg total172.3173.2171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%20%100%
Points / game87.085.688.2
Allowed / game81.986.278.3
Point differential+5.1-0.6+9.8
Avg total168.9171.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %18%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1312192%92.877.9+14.9
2 Mt Gambier139469%96.883.2+13.6
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Frankston138562%91.885.5+6.3
5 Hobart Chargers127558%85.681.7+3.9
6 Ballarat127558%88.295.0-6.8
7 Melbourne Tigers116555%86.079.6+6.4
8 Eltham116555%85.585.8-0.4
9 Kilsyth137654%84.885.2-0.3
10 Nunawading126650%86.088.1-2.1
11 Bendigo Braves147750%87.794.6-6.9
12 Geelong125742%81.686.1-4.5
13 Waverley125742%89.494.2-4.8
14 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
15 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
16 Keilor Thunder114736%81.790.5-8.8
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania123925%85.987.6-1.7
19 Dandenong123925%87.795.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder3017151880
Casey Cavaliers2018232990
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