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Keilor Thunder W vs Eltham W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 75-72
16-16 23-9 14-24 22-23
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#9
Record12-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
24-18
18-27
15-10
22-18
16-23
14-8
27-18
30-21
18-16
24-12
22-10
17-19
14-15
11-12
23-19
22-19
19-13
22-22
15-19
25-11
27-21
21-26
11-20
22-13
21-16
13-9
23-27
14-29
17-11
14-23
11-20
15-22
14-6
21-11
19-9
23-13
24-20
18-18
23-17
147.3Avg total
78.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.863.9140.7+13.090%
Season at home (10)77.359.6136.9+17.790%
Season away (10)76.468.1144.5+8.390%
Last 10 (10)78.768.6147.3+10.190%
Last 5 (5)75.268.4143.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.675.6142.1-9.033%
vs Similar (4)72.072.2144.2-0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.462.6141.1+15.894%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
20-9
15-19
16-18
24-31
23-20
22-15
21-19
23-13
17-20
21-16
23-26
14-27
21-20
15-20
29-16
25-20
19-20
22-18
17-20
11-18
30-16
27-12
22-20
24-16
26-19
21-22
18-22
18-9
24-19
24-18
20-27
25-26
24-25
17-17
15-23
29-22
7-13
23-20
24-17
159.3Avg total
83.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.075.9156.9+5.160%
Season at home (10)82.477.6160.0+4.850%
Season away (10)79.774.2153.9+5.570%
Last 10 (10)83.076.3159.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.383.9154.2-13.622%
vs Similar (8)75.473.0148.4+2.450%
vs Weaker (13)85.274.9160.1+10.285%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Keilor Thunder WEltham W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
75.4Avg total
41.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.836.173.9+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.275.1+2.664%-
Last 30 away (15)36.836.172.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.475.4+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.472.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.839.471.2-7.722%-
vs Similar (4)33.038.071.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.433.876.2+8.675%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H02/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
79.6Avg total
41.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.379.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.942.283.1-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.736.875.4+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.879.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.942.679.4-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)42.137.579.6+4.562%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
2
Eltham W wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23Eltham W v Keilor Thunder W82-62
16/07/22Eltham W v Keilor Thunder W80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24ASandringham W88-68
05/07/24HDiamond Valley W69-48
29/06/24HDandenong Rangers W56-83
22/06/24ABendigo Braves W79-65
15/06/24ARingwood W84-78
07/06/24HMt. Gambier W78-73
01/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W77-70 OT
25/05/24HKilsyth W94-59
19/05/24ANunawading W79-67
18/05/24HHobart Chargers W83-75
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24AKilsyth W83-72
04/07/24HWaverley W81-91
29/06/24ABendigo Braves W86-73
28/06/24ASandringham W89-79
22/06/24HLaunceston W90-66
15/06/24ACasey Cavaliers W83-78
02/06/24HGeelong W79-83
01/06/24ADiamond Valley W84-75
26/05/24HHobart Chargers W90-85
24/05/24AMt. Gambier W65-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game76.877.376.4
Allowed / game63.959.668.1
Point differential+13.0+17.7+8.3
Avg total140.7136.9144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%50%70%
Points / game81.082.479.7
Allowed / game75.977.674.2
Point differential+5.2+4.8+5.5
Avg total156.9160.0153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2119290%85.271.5+13.7
2 Keilor Thunder W2018290%76.863.9+13.0
3 Dandenong Rangers W2014670%79.872.8+7.0
4 Mt. Gambier W2113862%77.369.9+7.4
5 Sandringham W2113862%75.972.0+3.9
6 Ballarat W2113862%73.075.0-2.1
7 Eltham W2012860%81.075.9+5.2
8 Geelong W2011955%82.079.1+2.9
9 Waverley W2011955%75.875.5+0.2
10 Bendigo Braves W21111052%87.179.0+8.1
11 Frankston W21101148%75.175.8-0.6
12 Ringwood W2191243%76.778.3-1.6
13 Hobart Chargers W2081240%72.274.9-2.6
14 Diamond Valley W2071335%75.579.5-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2071335%76.081.3-5.3
16 Kilsyth W2051525%69.679.7-10.1
17 Launceston W2051525%70.580.6-10.1
18 Nunawading W2041620%70.082.8-12.8
19 Casey Cavaliers W2141719%73.085.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1623142275
Eltham W169242372
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