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Melbourne Tigers W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 70-77 (OT)
19-17 15-14 12-11 19-23 5-12
Position#15
Record6-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game60.9
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Keilor Thunder W
06 Jun 2025
MELB80
KEIL91
01 Jun 2024
MELB70
KEIL77
10 Jul 2022
MELB73
KEIL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-20
16-23
24-25
19-19
14-27
20-33
22-14
18-19
18-13
21-14
11-10
24-20
20-20
21-17
18-15
15-24
12-23
15-21
28-27
23-25
7-15
24-20
15-19
12-22
15-10
16-18
29-18
13-20
19-13
10-19
25-26
30-31
25-23
16-28
21-19
16-17
29-21
24-26
12-17
159.6Avg total
77.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.381.2161.6-0.950%
Season at home (6)85.289.2174.3-4.033%
Season away (6)75.573.3148.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)77.582.1159.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)78.882.6161.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.882.2151.0-13.521%
vs Similar (3)70.369.0139.3+1.367%
vs Weaker (3)82.381.3163.7+1.067%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
26-10
28-13
27-17
22-13
21-18
25-17
26-8
22-17
13-16
18-17
13-23
11-24
23-15
22-22
15-20
19-8
–
–
–
–
13-22
10-18
24-15
22-9
26-20
24-18
18-27
15-10
22-18
16-23
14-8
27-18
30-21
18-16
24-12
22-10
137.6Avg total
77.3Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.460.9138.3+16.592%
Season at home (7)81.456.0137.4+25.4100%
Season away (6)72.766.7139.3+6.083%
Last 10 (10)77.360.3137.6+17.090%
Last 5 (5)69.053.0122.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.976.8145.7-7.831%
vs Similar (2)76.570.5147.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.160.7138.8+17.492%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.4+5.4
Melbourne Tigers WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
78.0Avg total
37.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.978.1-5.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.943.081.9-4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.740.774.4-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.678.0-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.443.278.6-7.833%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.072.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (3)42.338.080.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
78.9Avg total
42.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.337.674.9-0.341%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.237.176.3+2.157%-
Last 30 away (15)35.538.173.5-2.627%-
Last 10 (9)42.736.278.9+6.467%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.139.173.1-5.025%-
vs Similar (2)29.041.570.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.534.778.2+8.773%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24ANunawading W94-87 OT
18/05/24HBallarat W92-101
11/05/24ALaunceston W67-78
10/05/24AHobart Chargers W72-68
04/05/24ASandringham W69-79
27/04/24HEltham W70-95
21/04/24ADiamond Valley W83-72
20/04/24AWaverley W68-56
14/04/24HKnox W75-93
13/04/24HRingwood W85-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HKilsyth W94-59
19/05/24ANunawading W79-67
18/05/24HHobart Chargers W83-75
11/05/24ADandenong Rangers W69-64
04/05/24HBallarat W20-0
28/04/24HWaverley W79-65
26/04/24AMt. Gambier W55-80
21/04/24HLaunceston W94-60
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W103-53
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game80.385.275.5
Allowed / game81.289.273.3
Point differential-0.9-4.0+2.2
Avg total161.6174.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game77.481.472.7
Allowed / game60.956.066.7
Point differential+16.5+25.4+6.0
Avg total138.3137.4139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W1312192%77.460.9+16.5
2 Knox W1210283%82.870.8+12.1
3 Sandringham W1210283%78.270.3+7.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W1410471%78.573.3+5.2
5 Mt. Gambier W139469%79.868.8+11.1
6 Bendigo Braves W149564%92.279.6+12.6
7 Ringwood W148657%79.679.4+0.3
8 Eltham W126650%78.875.1+3.8
9 Melbourne Tigers W126650%80.381.2-0.9
10 Geelong W136746%78.778.6+0.1
11 Frankston W115645%71.072.8-1.8
12 Ballarat W125742%67.277.9-10.7
13 Diamond Valley W114736%81.082.1-1.1
14 Hobart Chargers W145936%72.376.1-3.8
15 Waverley W124833%73.479.1-5.7
16 Launceston W1441029%71.579.9-8.4
17 Casey Cavaliers W123925%73.287.0-13.8
18 Nunawading W1221017%70.583.2-12.7
19 Kilsyth W1321115%70.283.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Melbourne Tigers W19151219570
Keilor Thunder W171411231277
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