PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-94
34-49 44-45
Position#71
Record19-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game76.6
Kentucky
USA
vs
Auburn 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record26-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kentucky v Auburn
01 Mar 2025
KENT78
AUBU94
25 Feb 2023
KENT86
AUBU54
13 Feb 2021
KENT82
AUBU80
29 Feb 2020
KENT73
AUBU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H02/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A05/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
42-33
30-33
48-40
45-46
34-43
31-54
53-44
33-19
47-38
33-26
42-38
41-37
37-45
41-40
41-21
40-47
43-49
43-41
40-41
156.7Avg total
79.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.676.6162.2+8.968%
Season at home (17)89.672.8162.5+16.882%
Season away (11)79.382.5161.8-3.345%
Last 10 (10)79.177.6156.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.277.0157.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)91.087.0178.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (17)80.880.6161.4+0.247%
vs Weaker (10)91.269.2160.4+22.080%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H26/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A30/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H05/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H08/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-20
31-31
41-29
46-45
41-34
51-48
44-34
54-36
38-48
43-42
34-32
46-36
42-33
52-52
33-27
34-33
29-24
53-46
50-40
56-36
156.6Avg total
84.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.168.4153.5+16.793%
Season at home (16)87.065.4152.4+21.694%
Season away (12)82.672.4155.0+10.292%
Last 10 (10)84.072.6156.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)85.871.8157.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Similar (5)75.071.8146.8+3.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.267.4154.6+19.896%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +6.1+6.1
KentuckyAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A05/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
36.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.934.676.5+7.474%-
Last 30 away (11)36.043.479.4-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.474.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.277.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.046.087.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (17)37.839.877.6-2.047%-
vs Weaker (10)42.731.974.6+10.880%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H26/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A30/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/02
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
37.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.371.2+8.683%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.131.372.3+9.889%-
Last 30 away (12)38.231.469.6+6.775%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.169.5+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.268.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.529.871.2+11.796%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kentucky wins
3
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Auburn v Kentucky59-70
25/02/23Kentucky v Auburn86-54
22/01/22Auburn v Kentucky80-71
13/02/21Kentucky v Auburn82-80
16/01/21Auburn v Kentucky66-59
29/02/20Kentucky v Auburn73-66
01/02/20Auburn v Kentucky75-66
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AOklahoma83-82
22/02/25AAlabama83-96
20/02/25HVanderbilt82-61
16/02/25ATexas78-82
12/02/25HTennessee75-64
08/02/25HSouth Carolina80-57
05/02/25AOle Miss84-98
02/02/25HArkansas79-89
29/01/25ATennessee78-73
25/01/25AVanderbilt69-74
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HOle Miss106-76
22/02/25HGeorgia82-70
20/02/25HArkansas67-60
15/02/25AAlabama94-85
12/02/25AVanderbilt80-68
08/02/25HFlorida81-90
05/02/25HOklahoma98-70
01/02/25AOle Miss92-82
30/01/25ALSU87-74
26/01/25HTennessee53-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %68%82%45%
Points / game85.689.679.3
Allowed / game76.672.882.5
Point differential+8.9+16.8-3.3
Avg total162.2162.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (1)62% (8)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %93%94%92%
Points / game85.187.082.6
Allowed / game68.465.472.4
Point differential+16.7+21.6+10.2
Avg total153.5152.4155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2826293%85.168.4+16.7
2 Florida2824486%83.667.1+16.5
3 Tennessee2823582%74.360.8+13.6
4 Alabama2823582%91.580.1+11.4
5 Missouri2821775%84.370.9+13.4
6 Texas A&M2820871%73.966.7+7.2
7 Kentucky2819968%85.676.6+8.9
8 Ole Miss2819968%77.570.5+7.0
9 Vanderbilt2819968%79.873.3+6.5
10 Mississippi St.2819968%79.073.2+5.8
11 Arkansas28171161%76.469.9+6.6
12 Georgia28171161%75.369.2+6.1
13 Oklahoma28171161%77.973.8+4.1
14 Texas28161257%78.470.4+8.0
15 LSU28141450%75.672.2+3.4
16 South Carolina28111739%70.171.9-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky344478
Auburn494594
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.