Kentucky vs Brown Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 88-54

39-27 49-27

Position#71

Record10-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game72.8

Kentucky 🏆

Brown

Position#184

Record7-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game69.7

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brown winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kentucky

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Duke

77-72

A13/11

NCAA

Lipscomb

#51

97-68

+29

H20/11

NCAA

Jackson State

#221

108-59

108

+49

H23/11

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#182

87-68

+19

H26/11

NCAA

Georgia State

#274

105-76

105

+29

H30/11

NCAA

Clemson

#22

66-70

-4

A04/12

NCAA

Gonzaga

#37

90-89 OT

A08/12

NCAA

Colgate

#267

78-67

+11

H12/12

NCAA

Louisville

#26

93-85

H14/12

NCAA

Ohio State

#172

65-85

-20

H21/12

NCAA

37-46

40-26

43-26

54-42

54-30

54-29

45-33

42-35

48-33

57-43

30-37

36-33

34-50

45-29

38-36

40-31

46-40

47-45

30-39

35-46

160.5Avg total

86.6Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.1	72.8	161.8	+16.3	83%
Season at home (9)	92.9	71.3	164.2	+21.6	89%
Season away (3)	77.7	77.0	154.7	+0.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	73.9	160.5	+12.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	79.2	157.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	80.5	77.2	157.8	+3.2	75%
vs Similar (8)	88.2	85.1	173.4	+3.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	89.8	76.3	166.1	+13.6	78%

This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brown

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maine Black Bears

#135

67-69

-2

H10/11

NCAA

New Hampshire Wildcats

#342

76-58

+18

H16/11

NCAA

Holy Cross

#284

65-73

-8

H17/11

NCAA

Sacred Heart

#240

89-70

+19

H17/11

NCAA

Canisius

#369

83-76

A23/11

NCAA

Stony Brook

#339

77-54

+23

H27/11

NCAA

Vermont

#97

60-53

A04/12

NCAA

Bryant University

#81

76-75

A06/12

NCAA

Rhode Island

#137

84-80 OT

H11/12

NCAA

Kansas

#114

53-87

-34

A22/12

NCAA

29-33

38-36

38-29

30-33

35-40

39-35

50-35

35-25

48-51

43-24

34-30

31-28

29-25

36-40

40-35

33-39

32-26

31-42

22-45

142.5Avg total

73.0Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	72.8	69.7	142.5	+3.1	64%
Season at home (6)	76.3	67.3	143.7	+9.0	67%
Season away (5)	68.6	72.6	141.2	-4.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	69.5	142.5	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	69.8	139.8	+0.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.7	75.2	145.9	-4.5	36%
vs Similar (10)	72.0	68.2	140.2	+3.8	70%
vs Weaker (6)	77.8	66.2	144.0	+11.7	83%

This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

KentuckyBrown

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Duke

37-46

-9

A13/11

NCAA

Lipscomb

#51

43-26

+17

H20/11

NCAA

Jackson State

#221

54-30

+24

H23/11

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#182

45-33

+12

H26/11

NCAA

Georgia State

#274

48-33

+15

H30/11

NCAA

Clemson

#22

30-37

-7

A04/12

NCAA

Gonzaga

#37

34-50

-16

A08/12

NCAA

Colgate

#267

38-36

H12/12

NCAA

Louisville

#26

46-40

H14/12

NCAA

Ohio State

#172

30-39

-9

H21/12

NCAA

77.5Avg total

40.5Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.1	77.3	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	44.5	36.2	80.7	+8.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	34.7	35.8	70.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	41.8	77.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.4	36.9	77.2	+3.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.8	34.5	77.3	+8.3	72%	-

This opponent (Brown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maine Black Bears

#135

29-33

-4

H10/11

NCAA

New Hampshire Wildcats

#342

38-29

H16/11

NCAA

Holy Cross

#284

30-33

-3

H17/11

NCAA

Sacred Heart

#240

39-35

H17/11

NCAA

Canisius

#369

35-25

+10

A23/11

NCAA

Stony Brook

#339

43-24

+19

H27/11

NCAA

Vermont

#97

31-28

A04/12

NCAA

Bryant University

#81

36-40

-4

A06/12

NCAA

Rhode Island

#137

33-39

-6

H11/12

NCAA

Kansas

#114

31-42

-11

A22/12

NCAA

67.3Avg total

34.5Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	32.7	67.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.2	34.1	68.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	31.3	65.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	32.8	67.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	34.6	69.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.4	36.0	70.4	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	33.3	30.5	63.8	+2.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.2	28.7	64.8	+7.5	83%	-

This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	42.0	88.4	+4.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	48.1	44.0	92.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	42.9	38.0	80.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	35.9	80.9	+9.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	33.0	75.2	+9.2	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	47.0	47.0	94.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	47.0	41.8	88.8	+5.2	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.1	73.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	34.7	72.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.5	74.8	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.2	71.8	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	32.2	63.6	-0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.6	38.6	74.2	-3.1	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.1	34.7	69.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	37.5	79.2	+4.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kentucky wins

Brown wins

No previous meetings.

Kentuckylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/24	H	Ohio State	65-85
14/12/24	H	Louisville	93-85
12/12/24	H	Colgate	78-67
08/12/24	A	Gonzaga	90-89 OT
04/12/24	A	Clemson	66-70
30/11/24	H	Georgia State	105-76
26/11/24	H	Western Kentucky	87-68
23/11/24	H	Jackson State	108-59
20/11/24	H	Lipscomb	97-68
13/11/24	A	Duke	77-72

Brownlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/24	A	Kansas	53-87
11/12/24	H	Rhode Island	84-80 OT
06/12/24	A	Bryant University	76-75
04/12/24	A	Vermont	60-53
27/11/24	H	Stony Brook	77-54
23/11/24	A	Canisius	83-76
17/11/24	H	Sacred Heart	89-70
17/11/24	H	Holy Cross	65-73
16/11/24	H	New Hampshire Wildcats	76-58
10/11/24	H	Maine Black Bears	67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	83%
Home	WWWWL	89%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	9	3
Win %	83%	89%	67%
Points / game	89.1	92.9	77.7
Allowed / game	72.8	71.3	77.0
Point differential	+16.3	+21.6	+0.7
Avg total	161.8	164.2	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	78%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	33%

Brown

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	64%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	LWWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	67%	60%
Points / game	72.8	76.3	68.6
Allowed / game	69.7	67.3	72.6
Point differential	+3.1	+9.0	-4.0
Avg total	142.5	143.7	141.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	18%	17%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tennessee	12	12	0	100%	81.2	56.6	+24.6
2	Florida	13	13	0	100%	87.4	63.5	+23.9
3	Oklahoma	13	13	0	100%	83.1	67.5	+15.5
4	Auburn	13	12	1	92%	88.3	64.8	+23.5
5	Vanderbilt	13	12	1	92%	86.5	66.1	+20.5
6	Georgia	13	12	1	92%	82.6	64.2	+18.5
7	Mississippi St.	13	12	1	92%	83.9	68.0	+15.9
8	Texas	13	11	2	85%	84.5	62.0	+22.5
9	Missouri	13	11	2	85%	87.3	67.6	+19.7
10	LSU	13	11	2	85%	84.2	67.0	+17.2
11	Arkansas	13	11	2	85%	82.5	65.5	+17.1
12	Ole Miss	13	11	2	85%	80.8	65.5	+15.3
13	Texas A&M	13	11	2	85%	76.2	62.6	+13.5
14	Alabama	13	11	2	85%	89.9	77.2	+12.7
15	Kentucky	12	10	2	83%	89.1	72.8	+16.3
16	South Carolina	13	10	3	77%	75.6	65.6	+10.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Ivy League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Columbia	14	11	3	79%	80.1	70.9	+9.1
2	Princeton	14	10	4	71%	76.9	72.1	+4.8
3	Brown	11	7	4	64%	72.8	69.7	+3.1
4	Cornell	12	7	5	58%	83.3	76.8	+6.5
5	Yale	12	6	6	50%	80.8	70.6	+10.2
6	Dartmouth	12	5	7	42%	77.3	73.6	+3.8
7	Harvard	12	4	8	33%	66.8	71.5	-4.8
8	Penn	13	4	9	31%	63.4	74.3	-10.9