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Kentucky vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 93-85
46-40 47-45
Position#71
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#26
Record6-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kentucky v Louisville
12 Dec 2026
KENT v LOUI
upcoming
14 Dec 2024
KENT93
LOUI85
31 Dec 2022
KENT86
LOUI63
28 Dec 2019
KENT78
LOUI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H09/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H20/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H23/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
105-76
105
76
+29
H30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A08/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-24
57-38
47-31
53-41
37-46
40-26
43-26
54-42
54-30
54-29
45-33
42-35
48-33
57-43
30-37
36-33
34-50
45-29
38-36
40-31
161.4Avg total
91.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.170.3161.4+20.890%
Season at home (7)96.967.4164.3+29.4100%
Season away (3)77.777.0154.7+0.767%
Last 10 (10)91.170.3161.4+20.890%
Last 5 (5)85.274.0159.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.577.2157.8+3.275%
vs Similar ◀ (6)91.385.2176.5+6.250%
vs Weaker (20)90.077.3167.3+12.675%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#232
W
93-45
93
45
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
79-70 OT
79
70
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-14
52-31
26-40
29-37
48-27
52-41
35-27
41-34
37-29
52-32
24-28
38-34
32-39
32-30
31-40
32-46
37-33
28-43
32-36
45-38
144.8Avg total
76.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.168.7144.8+7.460%
Season at home (8)74.169.5143.6+4.650%
Season away (2)84.065.5149.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.168.7144.8+7.460%
Last 5 (5)69.675.0144.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.882.2153.0-11.411%
vs Similar ◀ (5)64.672.6137.2-8.040%
vs Weaker (6)83.764.5148.2+19.283%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +13.1+13.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +13.1+13.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
KentuckyLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A04/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A08/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/12
NCAA
76.8Avg total
42.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.478.1+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.336.281.5+9.179%-
Last 30 away (11)35.636.772.4-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.676.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.541.877.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.236.077.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (20)43.135.578.6+7.770%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#232
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H12/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.737.470.1-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.836.369.1-3.528%-
Last 30 away (12)32.739.171.8-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.365.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.266.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.741.073.7-8.321%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)29.434.063.4-4.620%-
vs Weaker (6)35.728.864.5+6.850%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kentucky wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
21/12/23Louisville v Kentucky76-95
31/12/22Kentucky v Louisville86-63
26/12/20Louisville v Kentucky62-59
28/12/19Kentucky v Louisville78-70 OT
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HColgate78-67
08/12/24AGonzaga90-89 OT
04/12/24AClemson66-70
30/11/24HGeorgia State105-76
26/11/24HWestern Kentucky87-68
23/11/24HJackson State108-59
20/11/24HLipscomb97-68
13/11/24ADuke77-72
09/11/24HBucknell100-72
05/11/24HWright State103-62
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HUTEP77-74
08/12/24HDuke65-76
04/12/24HOle Miss63-86
29/11/24HOklahoma64-69
28/11/24AWest Virginia79-70 OT
27/11/24AIndiana89-61
23/11/24HWinthrop76-61
20/11/24HBellarmine100-68
09/11/24HTennessee55-77
05/11/24HMorehead State93-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%100%67%
Points / game91.196.977.7
Allowed / game70.367.477.0
Point differential+20.8+29.4+0.7
Avg total161.4164.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %60%50%100%
Points / game76.174.184.0
Allowed / game68.769.565.5
Point differential+7.4+4.6+18.5
Avg total144.8143.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee990100%82.457.2+25.2
2 Florida10100100%86.265.1+21.1
3 Oklahoma990100%81.766.0+15.7
4 Missouri109190%89.366.2+23.1
5 Auburn109190%87.465.7+21.7
6 Kentucky109190%91.170.3+20.8
7 Ole Miss109190%82.764.2+18.5
8 Vanderbilt109190%83.569.5+14.0
9 Georgia98189%82.364.4+17.9
10 Mississippi St.98189%86.269.2+17.0
11 Arkansas119282%80.565.6+14.9
12 Texas A&M119282%74.665.0+9.6
13 Texas108280%80.263.4+16.8
14 LSU108280%80.070.3+9.7
15 Alabama97278%89.278.1+11.1
16 South Carolina107370%74.965.8+9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs119282%84.769.2+15.5
2 Pittsburgh119282%81.667.0+14.6
3 Clemson119282%77.564.6+12.8
4 Duke108280%79.759.9+19.8
5 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
6 Florida State118373%78.167.7+10.4
7 Wake Forest118373%67.464.8+2.5
8 NC State117464%73.166.0+7.1
9 California117464%81.576.3+5.3
10 North Carolina106460%86.878.7+8.1
11 Louisville106460%76.168.7+7.4
12 Virginia106460%61.460.2+1.2
13 Boston College106460%69.969.0+0.9
14 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
15 Syracuse105550%79.379.5-0.2
16 Georgia Tech94544%76.774.0+2.7
17 Virginia Tech104640%70.370.2+0.1
18 Miami (FL)103730%77.673.5+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky464793
Louisville404585
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