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Kentucky vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-84
0-0 32-49 0-0 45-35
Position#107
Record19-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.4
Kentucky
USA
vs
Florida 🏆
USA
Position#28
Record24-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky v Florida
07 Mar 2026
KENT77
FLOR84
04 Jan 2025
KENT106
FLOR100
31 Jan 2024
KENT91
FLOR94
04 Feb 2023
KENT72
FLOR67
12 Feb 2022
KENT78
FLOR57
27 Feb 2021
KENT67
FLOR71
22 Feb 2020
KENT65
FLOR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-43
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-35
0-0
43-42
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-46
0-0
33-47
0-0
41-24
0-0
34-43
0-0
49-49
0-0
34-39
0-0
44-47
0-0
39-35
0-0
35-40
0-0
28-21
0-0
44-42
0-0
46-31
0-0
45-46
0-0
33-45
0-0
52-51
158.6Avg total
79.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.473.4154.7+8.063%
Season at home (20)83.569.0152.6+14.575%
Season away (10)77.182.0159.1-4.940%
Last 10 (10)79.179.5158.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.787.0160.7-13.317%
vs Similar (14)77.676.4154.0+1.157%
vs Weaker (10)91.360.9152.2+30.4100%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
95-48
95
48
+47
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A26/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
111-77
111
77
+34
H01/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-20
0-0
47-28
0-0
46-36
0-0
54-41
0-0
30-19
0-0
56-48
0-0
43-27
0-0
43-39
0-0
43-34
0-0
49-49
0-0
39-29
0-0
37-33
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-43
0-0
36-39
0-0
48-32
0-0
53-34
0-0
58-43
0-0
47-35
0-0
61-39
163.2Avg total
93.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.871.5159.3+16.380%
Season at home (19)89.370.1159.4+19.289%
Season away (11)85.473.9159.3+11.564%
Last 10 (10)93.270.0163.2+23.2100%
Last 5 (5)94.671.8166.4+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)76.580.0156.5-3.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.670.9159.5+17.886%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +12.3+12.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +10.9+10.9
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +12.3+12.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +10.9+10.9
KentuckyFlorida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.271.6+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.032.570.5+5.555%-
Last 30 away (10)33.240.573.7-7.330%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.172.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.742.875.5-10.217%-
vs Similar (14)33.638.472.1-4.821%-
vs Weaker (10)42.526.068.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A29/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/03
NCAA
73.3Avg total
42.8Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.432.573.9+8.973%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.631.874.5+10.889%-
Last 30 away (11)39.233.672.8+5.545%-
Last 10 (10)42.830.573.3+12.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.877.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.831.873.6+10.179%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kentucky wins
3
Florida wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Florida v Kentucky92-83
04/01/25Kentucky v Florida106-100
01/02/24Kentucky v Florida91-94 OT
06/01/24Florida v Kentucky85-87
23/02/23Florida v Kentucky74-82
05/02/23Kentucky v Florida72-67
05/03/22Florida v Kentucky63-71
12/02/22Kentucky v Florida78-57
27/02/21Kentucky v Florida67-71
09/01/21Florida v Kentucky58-76
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ATexas A&M85-96
28/02/26HVanderbilt91-77
25/02/26ASouth Carolina72-63
22/02/26AAuburn74-75
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71
05/02/26HOklahoma94-78
31/01/26AArkansas85-77
28/01/26AVanderbilt55-80
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HMississippi St.108-74
01/03/26HArkansas111-77
26/02/26ATexas84-71
21/02/26AOle Miss94-75
18/02/26HSouth Carolina76-62
14/02/26HKentucky92-83
12/02/26AGeorgia86-66
08/02/26ATexas A&M86-67
01/02/26HAlabama100-77
29/01/26ASouth Carolina95-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %63%75%40%
Points / game81.483.577.1
Allowed / game73.469.082.0
Point differential+8.0+14.4-4.9
Avg total154.7152.6159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %80%89%64%
Points / game87.889.385.4
Allowed / game71.570.173.9
Point differential+16.3+19.2+11.5
Avg total159.3159.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%79%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3024680%87.871.5+16.3
2 Vanderbilt3124777%86.975.1+11.8
3 Arkansas3123874%90.280.0+10.3
4 Alabama3022873%92.083.6+8.4
5 Georgia3122971%90.479.3+11.1
6 Tennessee31211068%80.169.4+10.6
7 Texas A&M30201067%88.379.1+9.3
8 Missouri31201165%79.975.3+4.6
9 Kentucky30191163%81.473.4+8.0
10 Texas30181260%84.376.5+7.9
11 Oklahoma30161453%82.677.2+5.3
12 Auburn30161453%83.579.7+3.8
13 LSU30151550%81.177.7+3.4
14 Mississippi St.31141745%78.781.4-2.7
15 South Carolina31131842%75.076.2-1.2
16 Ole Miss31121939%75.375.9-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kentucky03204577
Florida04903584
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