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Kentucky vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-94 (OT)
41-36 43-48 7-10
Position#50
Record15-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Florida 🏆
USA
Position#73
Record14-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Florida
07 Mar 2026
KENT77
FLOR84
04 Jan 2025
KENT106
FLOR100
31 Jan 2024
KENT91
FLOR94
04 Feb 2023
KENT72
FLOR67
12 Feb 2022
KENT78
FLOR57
27 Feb 2021
KENT67
FLOR71
22 Feb 2020
KENT65
FLOR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
45-30
51-40
37-45
50-40
47-42
43-35
45-46
44-43
47-29
43-48
54-35
51-61
25-33
37-46
24-26
39-31
166.4Avg total
86.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.576.3164.8+12.379%
Season at home (14)91.675.4167.0+16.386%
Season away (5)79.878.8158.6+1.060%
Last 10 (10)86.779.7166.4+7.080%
Last 5 (5)82.481.2163.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.375.3153.5+3.064%
vs Weaker (18)86.674.2160.7+12.472%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
43-44
44-27
52-30
52-29
45-43
45-37
40-50
40-44
45-59
46-33
44-35
32-44
34-41
37-34
42-33
43-34
36-36
47-34
38-51
169.3Avg total
88.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.476.8162.2+8.670%
Season at home (13)88.173.4161.5+14.785%
Season away (7)80.483.1163.6-2.743%
Last 10 (10)88.580.8169.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)83.277.6160.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.591.0158.5-23.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.778.1156.9+0.636%
vs Weaker (13)87.274.3161.5+12.992%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
KentuckyFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
77.4Avg total
41.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.535.375.8+5.262%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.234.877.9+8.479%-
Last 30 away (10)35.436.271.6-0.830%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.777.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.872.8+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.019.058.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.636.674.3+1.055%-
vs Weaker (17)42.435.477.8+7.165%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/01
NCAA
77.7Avg total
42.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.073.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.732.572.2+7.368%-
Last 30 away (11)35.539.374.7-3.845%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.377.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.876.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.548.075.5-20.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (13)40.931.872.8+9.185%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kentucky wins
1
Florida wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Florida v Kentucky85-87
23/02/23Florida v Kentucky74-82
05/02/23Kentucky v Florida72-67
05/03/22Florida v Kentucky63-71
12/02/22Kentucky v Florida78-57
27/02/21Kentucky v Florida67-71
09/01/21Florida v Kentucky58-76
07/03/20Florida v Kentucky70-71
22/02/20Kentucky v Florida65-59
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79
20/01/24HGeorgia105-96
18/01/24HMississippi St.90-77
13/01/24ATexas A&M92-97 OT
10/01/24HMissouri90-77
06/01/24AFlorida87-85
30/12/23HIllinois State96-70
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HGeorgia102-98 OT
25/01/24HMississippi St.79-70
21/01/24AMissouri79-67
16/01/24ATennessee66-85
13/01/24HArkansas90-68
11/01/24AOle Miss85-103
06/01/24HKentucky85-87
30/12/23HQuinnipiac97-72
22/12/23HGrambling St.96-57
20/12/23AMichigan106-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %79%86%60%
Points / game88.591.679.8
Allowed / game76.375.478.8
Point differential+12.3+16.3+1.0
Avg total164.8167.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%7%20%
Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%85%43%
Points / game85.488.180.4
Allowed / game76.873.483.1
Point differential+8.6+14.7-2.7
Avg total162.2161.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2118386%72.764.2+8.5
2 Ole Miss2118386%76.970.7+6.2
3 Auburn2016480%82.065.9+16.1
4 Kentucky1915479%88.576.3+12.3
5 Oklahoma2116576%78.365.9+12.4
6 Tennessee2015575%78.565.9+12.6
7 Alabama2115671%89.475.6+13.9
8 Florida2014670%85.476.8+8.6
9 Texas2114767%76.668.2+8.3
10 Mississippi St.2114767%74.566.9+7.6
11 Georgia2114767%77.273.7+3.5
12 Texas A&M2012860%73.868.3+5.5
13 LSU2011955%76.772.1+4.5
14 Arkansas20101050%75.276.8-1.6
15 Missouri2081240%73.673.5+0.1
16 Vanderbilt1951426%66.972.1-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Kentucky4143791
Florida36481094
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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