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Florida vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-87
45-37 40-50
Position#73
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.7
Florida
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#50
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida v Kentucky
13 Mar 2026
FLOR71
KENT63
14 Feb 2026
FLOR92
KENT83
06 Jan 2024
FLOR85
KENT87
22 Feb 2023
FLOR74
KENT82
05 Mar 2022
FLOR63
KENT71
09 Jan 2021
FLOR58
KENT76
07 Mar 2020
FLOR70
KENT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A23/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
52-22
37-46
39-34
47-37
41-41
50-54
36-32
35-50
30-31
47-26
40-30
47-46
37-30
33-35
38-37
43-44
44-27
52-30
52-29
45-43
161.4Avg total
87.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.373.7160.0+12.677%
Season at home (9)87.770.1157.8+17.689%
Season away (4)83.281.8165.0+1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.074.4161.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)91.274.2165.4+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.075.5143.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.073.5146.5-0.535%
vs Weaker (10)85.969.0154.9+16.9100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#63
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-41
36-48
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
45-30
51-40
170.0Avg total
92.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.173.4164.5+17.783%
Season at home (11)90.773.2163.9+17.582%
Season away (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.677.4170.0+15.280%
Last 5 (5)86.475.0161.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.555.0119.5+9.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.273.4149.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (15)85.769.5155.1+16.280%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.0+4.0
FloridaKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
40.9Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.766.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.830.867.6+6.161%-
Last 30 away (12)30.335.665.9-5.342%-
Last 10 (10)40.931.372.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.230.672.8+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.036.561.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.634.066.6-1.435%-
vs Weaker (10)39.629.569.1+10.190%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#63
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/12
NCAA
85.0Avg total
47.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.834.172.9+4.862%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.134.574.7+5.665%-
Last 30 away (9)36.033.069.0+3.056%-
Last 10 (9)47.737.385.0+10.389%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.022.558.5+13.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.434.871.2+1.654%-
vs Weaker (14)41.535.176.6+6.464%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida wins
7
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Florida v Kentucky74-82
05/02/23Kentucky v Florida72-67
05/03/22Florida v Kentucky63-71
12/02/22Kentucky v Florida78-57
27/02/21Kentucky v Florida67-71
09/01/21Florida v Kentucky58-76
07/03/20Florida v Kentucky70-71
22/02/20Kentucky v Florida65-59
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HQuinnipiac97-72
22/12/23HGrambling St.96-57
20/12/23AMichigan106-101 OT
15/12/23HEast Carolina70-65
09/12/23HRichmond Spiders87-76
06/12/23HMerrimack Warriors77-57
30/11/23AWake Forest71-82
24/11/23HBaylor91-95
23/11/23APittsburgh86-71
18/11/23HFlorida State89-68
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HIllinois State96-70
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
15/11/23HKansas84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%89%50%
Points / game86.387.783.2
Allowed / game73.770.181.8
Point differential+12.6+17.6+1.5
Avg total160.0157.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %83%82%100%
Points / game91.190.795.0
Allowed / game73.473.276.0
Point differential+17.7+17.5+19.0
Avg total164.5163.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss13130100%77.467.8+9.6
2 South Carolina1413193%74.963.0+11.9
3 Oklahoma1312192%82.563.2+19.3
4 Auburn1311285%84.866.7+18.2
5 Texas1311285%79.264.3+14.8
6 Kentucky1210283%91.173.4+17.7
7 Mississippi St.1411379%75.263.1+12.1
8 Tennessee1310377%77.864.3+13.5
9 Florida1310377%86.373.7+12.6
10 Georgia1310377%75.469.4+6.0
11 Texas A&M139469%76.266.6+9.5
12 Arkansas139469%82.376.4+5.9
13 Alabama138562%92.875.8+17.0
14 LSU138562%76.869.0+7.8
15 Missouri138562%76.571.3+5.2
16 Vanderbilt135838%68.571.0-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida454085
Kentucky375087
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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