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Kentucky vs Gonzaga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-94
20-43 39-51
Position#107
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Gonzaga 🏆
USA
Position#9
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky v Gonzaga
05 Dec 2025
KENT59
GONZ94
10 Feb 2024
KENT85
GONZ89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gonzaga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A28/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H05/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
47-43
28-43
37-35
28-15
49-36
58-26
49-33
46-53
42-43
47-19
52-34
27-44
39-39
50-20
38-26
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
150.4Avg total
84.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.663.6150.2+23.062%
Season at home (7)86.459.0145.4+27.471%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)84.266.2150.4+18.060%
Last 5 (5)84.260.6144.8+23.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.391.0168.3-13.70%
vs Similar (20)79.480.2159.7-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)92.954.9147.7+38.0100%
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H20/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
98-43
98
43
+55
H04/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H12/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
122-50
122
50
+72
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H26/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-101
61
101
-40
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-27
41-41
27-35
49-46
46-27
52-16
49-30
34-38
44-38
46-25
45-32
32-33
59-27
63-23
45-42
50-43
47-32
53-29
29-53
32-48
157.6Avg total
89.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.867.0157.8+23.888%
Season at home (5)98.657.0155.6+41.6100%
Season away (3)77.783.7161.3-6.067%
Last 10 (10)89.168.5157.6+20.680%
Last 5 (5)91.072.4163.4+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)68.591.0159.5-22.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.668.0156.5+20.686%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +11.0+11.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +11.0+11.0
KentuckyGonzaga
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A28/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
28-15
28
15
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
39.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.974.4+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.631.270.8+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)37.142.879.9-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.531.170.6+8.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.628.468.0+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.748.784.3-13.00%-
vs Similar (20)37.039.076.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (7)44.121.465.6+22.7100%-
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A23/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A27/11
NCAA
78.2Avg total
43.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.333.175.4+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.531.875.3+11.781%-
Last 30 away (14)40.934.675.5+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.378.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.044.072.0-16.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.332.475.6+10.982%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
2
Gonzaga wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Gonzaga v Kentucky89-90 OT
10/02/24Kentucky v Gonzaga85-89
21/11/22Gonzaga v Kentucky88-72
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54
22/11/25HLoyola Maryland88-46
18/11/25HMichigan State66-83
15/11/25HEastern Illinois99-53
12/11/25ALouisville88-96
08/11/25HValparaiso107-59
05/11/25HNicholls State77-51
28/03/25ATennessee65-78
23/03/25HIllinois84-75
Gonzagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AMichigan61-101
26/11/25HMaryland100-61
25/11/25AAlabama95-85
18/11/25HSouthern Utah122-50
15/11/25AArizona State77-65
12/11/25HCreighton90-63
09/11/25HOklahoma83-68
04/11/25HTexas Southern98-43
23/03/25AHouston76-81
20/03/25HGeorgia89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game86.686.488.0
Allowed / game63.659.096.0
Point differential+23.0+27.4-8.0
Avg total150.2145.4184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gonzaga
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game90.898.677.7
Allowed / game67.057.083.7
Point differential+23.8+41.6-6.0
Avg total157.8155.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU880100%92.268.4+23.9
2 Vanderbilt990100%96.873.0+23.8
3 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
4 Missouri98189%90.469.0+21.4
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Auburn97278%87.974.4+13.4
8 Arkansas86275%88.272.6+15.6
9 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
10 Alabama86275%94.982.2+12.6
11 Texas96367%88.473.7+14.8
12 Kentucky85362%86.663.6+23.0
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 South Carolina85362%81.072.0+9.0
15 Ole Miss85362%77.568.6+8.9
16 Mississippi St.85362%82.478.2+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)98189%82.263.8+18.4
2 Santa Clara98189%81.966.1+15.8
3 Gonzaga87188%90.867.0+23.8
4 Pacific97278%75.065.0+10.0
5 Seattle86275%80.465.6+14.8
6 Loyola Marymount107370%79.767.9+11.8
7 San Francisco95456%75.768.6+7.1
8 Portland95456%82.280.8+1.4
9 Oregon State94544%72.373.2-0.9
10 San Diego Toreros73443%73.772.7+1.0
11 Pepperdine93633%75.676.7-1.1
12 Washington State93633%78.179.8-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky203959
Gonzaga435194
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