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Kentucky vs Gonzaga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-89
32-42 53-47
Position#50
Record16-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Gonzaga 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record17-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Gonzaga
05 Dec 2025
KENT59
GONZ94
10 Feb 2024
KENT85
GONZ89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gonzaga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-45
50-40
47-42
43-35
45-46
44-43
47-29
43-48
54-35
51-61
25-33
37-46
24-26
39-31
41-36
43-48
42-46
50-57
54-38
55-39
172.3Avg total
88.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.778.3168.0+11.473%
Season at home (16)91.678.2169.9+13.475%
Season away (6)84.778.5163.2+6.267%
Last 10 (10)88.184.2172.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.482.0165.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (11)81.879.0160.8+2.855%
vs Weaker (18)88.874.3163.1+14.678%
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#287
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H05/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H07/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A19/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
105-63
105
63
+42
A21/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H26/01
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A28/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H31/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
41-33
55-35
46-39
34-40
42-37
40-40
46-21
54-27
51-36
30-31
47-41
34-35
48-38
45-29
47-29
34-33
28-31
50-23
46-41
152.9Avg total
86.3Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.767.6152.3+17.174%
Season at home (17)85.866.9152.7+18.876%
Season away (6)81.869.5151.3+12.367%
Last 10 (10)86.366.6152.9+19.780%
Last 5 (5)81.866.2148.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)67.970.6138.4-2.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.068.3155.3+18.886%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +9.6+9.6
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +10.1+10.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +9.6+9.6
KentuckyGonzaga
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#73
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A07/02
NCAA
79.2Avg total
41.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.535.376.8+6.166%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.135.178.2+8.080%-
Last 30 away (9)37.835.973.7+1.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.679.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.873.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.019.058.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar (11)38.337.275.5+1.155%-
vs Weaker (17)43.735.178.8+8.671%-
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#287
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H05/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H07/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A21/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A28/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H31/01
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H08/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
42.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.633.074.6+8.670%-
Last 30 at home (22)42.332.174.4+10.177%-
Last 30 away (8)39.835.475.1+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.132.074.1+10.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.630.268.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)33.634.768.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.232.675.8+10.677%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
1
Gonzaga wins
DateGameScore
21/11/22Gonzaga v Kentucky88-72
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AVanderbilt109-77
04/02/24HTennessee92-103
01/02/24HFlorida91-94 OT
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79
20/01/24HGeorgia105-96
18/01/24HMississippi St.90-77
13/01/24ATexas A&M92-97 OT
10/01/24HMissouri90-77
06/01/24AFlorida87-85
Gonzagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HPortland96-64
04/02/24HSt. Marys (CA)62-64
31/01/24HLoyola Marymount92-58
28/01/24APacific82-73
26/01/24HSan Francisco77-72
21/01/24ASan Diego Toreros105-63
19/01/24APepperdine86-61
12/01/24ASanta Clara76-77
07/01/24HSan Diego Toreros101-74
05/01/24HPepperdine86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW73%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22166
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game89.791.684.7
Allowed / game78.378.278.5
Point differential+11.4+13.4+6.2
Avg total168.0169.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Gonzaga
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23176
Win %74%76%67%
Points / game84.785.881.8
Allowed / game67.666.969.5
Point differential+17.1+18.8+12.3
Avg total152.3152.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2421388%72.664.0+8.6
2 Auburn2419579%82.367.1+15.2
3 Ole Miss2318578%76.471.4+5.0
4 Tennessee2217577%80.067.2+12.8
5 Oklahoma2317674%77.866.3+11.5
6 Kentucky2216673%89.778.3+11.4
7 Alabama2417771%90.376.9+13.4
8 Florida2316770%84.776.5+8.3
9 Texas2416867%76.867.8+9.0
10 Mississippi St.2315865%74.268.1+6.1
11 Texas A&M2214864%73.767.9+5.9
12 Georgia2314961%75.973.7+2.2
13 LSU23121152%77.774.5+3.3
14 Arkansas22111150%75.978.0-2.0
15 Missouri2381535%72.974.3-1.3
16 Vanderbilt2361726%66.673.7-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)2519676%73.057.9+15.1
2 San Francisco2519676%79.265.1+14.2
3 Gonzaga2317674%84.767.6+17.1
4 Washington State2317674%75.967.3+8.5
5 Santa Clara2415962%77.072.6+4.4
6 Seattle2314961%74.567.4+7.1
7 San Diego Toreros25141156%72.976.4-3.5
8 Oregon State23111248%69.372.3-3.0
9 Loyola Marymount23101343%73.170.9+2.2
10 Pepperdine2591636%72.574.5-2.0
11 Portland2591636%73.280.8-7.7
12 Pacific2561924%64.577.0-12.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky325385
Gonzaga424789
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