PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-45
0-0 45-26 0-0 36-19
Position#273
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#33
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#127
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A08/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#313
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H15/02
NCAA
LSU
#65
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Florida
#103
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-23
0-0
49-49
0-0
37-30
0-0
40-34
0-0
27-36
0-0
51-28
0-0
25-27
0-0
42-35
0-0
29-28
0-0
50-48
0-0
31-31
0-0
34-28
0-0
36-27
0-0
33-33
0-0
40-37
0-0
33-29
0-0
42-31
0-0
31-50
0-0
30-40
0-0
41-30
140.6Avg total
73.2Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.267.4140.6+5.890%
Last 5 (5)70.267.2137.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)71.670.1141.8+1.575%
vs Weaker (19)75.265.1140.2+10.184%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#311
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
67-74 OT
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-31
0-0
52-46
0-0
16-15
0-0
42-34
0-0
30-40
0-0
35-31
0-0
37-42
0-0
34-36
0-0
32-45
0-0
25-40
0-0
25-34
0-0
42-46
0-0
37-39
0-0
29-24
0-0
28-35
0-0
30-32
0-0
36-40
0-0
40-40
0-0
23-28
0-0
36-31
139.4Avg total
67.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.072.4139.4-5.430%
Last 5 (5)66.872.8139.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.178.2145.3-11.113%
vs Similar (12)66.969.4136.3-2.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)73.062.5135.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
KentuckyMorehead State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#127
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#313
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H15/02
NCAA
LSU
#65
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Florida
#103
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
32.8Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.530.565.1+4.068%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.429.865.2+5.667%-
Last 30 away (10)33.031.864.8+1.270%-
Last 10 (10)32.831.063.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)33.633.166.8+0.562%-
vs Weaker (19)35.329.664.9+5.774%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#311
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
16-15
16
15
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A05/03
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.034.566.4-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.833.670.4+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)28.335.163.4-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)29.734.964.6-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)29.835.265.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.138.469.5-7.313%-
vs Similar (12)31.031.762.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AFlorida71-70
04/03/20HTennessee73-81
29/02/20HAuburn73-66
26/02/20ATexas A&M69-60
22/02/20HFlorida65-59
19/02/20ALSU79-76
15/02/20HOle Miss67-62
12/02/20AVanderbilt78-64
08/02/20ATennessee77-64
05/02/20HMississippi St.80-72
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/20ATennessee State67-74 OT
01/03/20AEastern Kentucky76-80
28/02/20AAustin Peay58-67
22/02/20HTennessee State66-63
21/02/20HBelmont67-80
15/02/20AMurray State57-85
14/02/20HEastern Kentucky71-78
08/02/20AEastern Illinois65-71
07/02/20ASiu Edwardsville58-49
01/02/20HUT Martin85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Morehead State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC110100%105.035.0+70.0
2 Illinois110100%122.060.0+62.0
3 Wake Forest110100%111.051.0+60.0
4 Xavier110100%101.049.0+52.0
5 UAB110100%99.050.0+49.0
6 Kennesaw State110100%87.040.0+47.0
7 Nebraska110100%102.055.0+47.0
8 Houston110100%89.045.0+44.0
9 Providence110100%97.056.0+41.0
10 New Hampshire110100%93.054.0+39.0
11 Chattanooga Mocs110100%99.063.0+36.0
12 Louisville110100%79.044.0+35.0
13 Virginia110100%89.054.0+35.0
14 James Madison110100%89.055.0+34.0
15 Furman110100%95.062.0+33.0
16 Georgia Southern110100%97.065.0+32.0
17 Mercer110100%79.048.0+31.0
18 Iowa110100%97.067.0+30.0
19 Ohio State110100%94.067.0+27.0
20 Citadel110100%89.064.0+25.0
21 Abilene Christian110100%70.047.0+23.0
22 Ohio110100%84.061.0+23.0
23 Western Carolina110100%98.076.0+22.0
24 Appalachian State110100%81.061.0+20.0
25 Maryland110100%85.067.0+18.0
26 Quinnipiac110100%84.066.0+18.0
27 Memphis110100%73.056.0+17.0
28 Virginia Tech110100%77.062.0+15.0
29 Miami (Ohio)110100%81.067.0+14.0
30 Michigan110100%96.082.0+14.0
31 Nevada110100%62.048.0+14.0
32 Eastern Kentucky110100%80.067.0+13.0
33 Drake110100%80.070.0+10.0
34 South Florida110100%94.084.0+10.0
35 Southern W.110100%82.072.0+10.0
36 Georgetown110100%70.062.0+8.0
37 UMass Lowell110100%76.068.0+8.0
38 Mount St. Mary's110100%62.055.0+7.0
39 Navy110100%78.071.0+7.0
40 Oklahoma State110100%75.068.0+7.0
41 Austin Peay110100%72.066.0+6.0
42 Pacific110100%66.060.0+6.0
43 Western Kentucky110100%93.087.0+6.0
44 UALR110100%71.066.0+5.0
45 Bradley110100%61.059.0+2.0
46 Toledo1010%59.061.0-2.0
47 Prairie View A&M1010%66.071.0-5.0
48 Nebraska O.1010%66.072.0-6.0
49 Northern Iowa1010%87.093.0-6.0
50 UC Riverside1010%60.066.0-6.0
51 George Washington1010%71.078.0-7.0
52 Morgan State1010%55.062.0-7.0
53 UT Arlington1010%68.075.0-7.0
54 San Francisco1010%68.076.0-8.0
55 UMBC Retrievers1010%62.070.0-8.0
56 Florida Col.1010%84.094.0-10.0
57 Kansas State1010%70.080.0-10.0
58 USC Upstate1010%72.082.0-10.0
59 North Florida1010%67.080.0-13.0
60 Bowling Green1010%82.096.0-14.0
61 North Dakota1010%67.081.0-14.0
62 North Dakota St1010%48.062.0-14.0
63 Radford1010%62.077.0-15.0
64 St. Marys (CA)1010%56.073.0-17.0
65 Fairleigh Dickinson1010%66.084.0-18.0
66 Old Dominion1010%67.085.0-18.0
67 South Carolina St1010%61.081.0-20.0
68 NC Wilmington1010%76.098.0-22.0
69 Chicago State1010%61.084.0-23.0
70 East Tennessee St1010%47.070.0-23.0
71 Piedmont1010%64.089.0-25.0
72 Illinois State1010%67.094.0-27.0
73 N. Carolina Central1010%67.097.0-30.0
74 North Georgia Nighthawks1010%48.079.0-31.0
75 Florida National1010%65.097.0-32.0
76 Tusculum1010%62.095.0-33.0
77 Limestone College1010%55.089.0-34.0
78 Evansville1010%44.079.0-35.0
79 Towson1010%54.089.0-35.0
80 Lander Bearcats1010%63.099.0-36.0
81 Keene St1010%54.093.0-39.0
82 Fairfield1010%56.097.0-41.0
83 Lamar1010%45.089.0-44.0
84 Carver Bible1010%40.087.0-47.0
85 McNeese State1010%55.0102.0-47.0
86 Alcorn State1010%50.099.0-49.0
87 Oakland1010%49.0101.0-52.0
88 Delaware State1010%51.0111.0-60.0
89 N. Carolina A&T1010%60.0122.0-62.0
90 Culver-Stockton1010%35.0105.0-70.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kentucky04503681
Morehead State02601945
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.